mitchnick Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 18Z NAM is wonderful and west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, Deck Pic said: 18z ETA nice west move with precip shield they're all asleep at the wheel whining Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, mattie g said: Yet the secondary and tertiary roads in Fairfax County were completely brined like Jewish deli pickles days in advance of 0.5" of snow last week. Wonder how well that'll work against snow if it falls as cold as the NAM advertises it to be. If I remember correctly, the Jan 20th 2016 event happened in the low 20s, correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 2 minutes ago, mattie g said: Yet the secondary and tertiary roads in Fairfax County were completely brined like Jewish deli pickles days in advance of 0.5" of snow last week. There was drifting of salt on the roads last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Decent number of mPING reports around Norfolk and VA Beach. Doubt we will have to fight virga long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 There is enough left over on the streets and sidewalks in Capitol Hill to salt three ship loads of tuna Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 6 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Hours of virga is what you will see before anything reaches the ground unless this thing moves in unexpected direction. If we even see snow west of 95 it will be very early morning I think. You are probably right. I just hope you are wrong. And some of the obs are giving me hope false or otherwise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: Decent number of mPING reports around Norfolk and VA Beach. Doubt we will have to fight virga long. Believe that may be bay effect moistening. Folks in 95 corridor in NC/SC haven't seen a flake under hours of radar returns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Blizzard warning now for Ocean City, MD south on Delmarva. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 HELLO......Mcfly....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Looks like a solid 1" off the NAM through 21 hours IMBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 16 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: If we woke up to 4" and snow it'd be a freaking regional meltdown. Absolutely no prep for snow being done right now. Dude there’s enough residual salt in the roads to destroy Carthage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: Dude there’s enough residual salt in the roads to destroy Carthage. Fact. Maryland salts the earth like the Roman Empire. Sauce on the Blizzard Warning: Quote URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA 252 PM EST Wed Jan 3 2018 MDZ022>025-041200- /O.UPG.KAKQ.WS.W.0001.180104T0000Z-180104T1800Z/ /O.EXA.KAKQ.BZ.W.0001.180104T0000Z-180104T1800Z/ Wicomico-Somerset-Inland Worcester-Maryland Beaches- Including the cities of Salisbury, Crisfield, Princess Anne, Snow Hill, and Ocean City 252 PM EST Wed Jan 3 2018 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Travel will be very dangerous to impossible, including during the morning commute on Thursday. Tree branches could fall as well. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 10 inches are expected, with locally higher amounts up to 12 inches. * WHERE...Wicomico, Somerset, Inland Worcester and Maryland Beaches Counties. * WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Thursday. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds gusting as high as 50 mph will cause whiteout conditions in blowing snow. Significant drifting of the snow is likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 3km appears to be lower (and/or slower) precip, but without the insane cutoff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 3km looks great through 12h Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Just now, MN Transplant said: 3km appears to be lower (and/or slower) precip, but without the insane cutoff. It's certainly West though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Wonder if the old "models not getting the western edge of the precip shield" thing will save I-95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, Cobalt said: It's certainly West though Somehow IAD will beat DCA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terpsnation Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Just now, MN Transplant said: 3km appears to be lower (and/or slower) precip, but without the insane cutoff. The low is further west until about 07z tomorrow, but after that the 18z moves the low east of where 12z had it. But as you said, precip shield more expansive on 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Can someone explain to me why these hi-res models depict "green = rain" inside obvious snow bands? See image above. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ErinInTheSky Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Man... the 3km is looking better every frame. 14h now, precip shield quite west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Yum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 2 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: Yum I'd pay money for that to verify Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Nam 3k is like triple the Euro on the western edge. Trend or flag? I'll go trend. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 2 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: Yum Wait, is that 0.25 QPF along I-95? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Looks like the mid level cloud deck is somewhere between I-64 and I-66. DCA reporting clouds at 25kft, while CHO is reporting 11kft. Should move in right at sunset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 11 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Dude there’s enough residual salt in the roads to destroy Carthage. If I owned a salt truck/plow, I'd name it Scipio Africanus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Just now, Deck Pic said: I guess depends where you are? Bad post on my part, I removed it. I didn't see those .05 and .1 contours so close together...upon further review that's not bad...would argue a 2" - 4" event east of I-95. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 More weenies are happy with the 3k. No doubt about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 3k NAM soundings are glorious. Dendrite to the max. Huge omegas and a deep dendrite growth zone. Hope it’s right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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