BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, PWC Split said: Not sure what people are talking about with precip filling in to the NW. precip has collapsed east of 95 in NOVA. Living on the fringe sucks. Dual-pol images show some reflectivities to the west forming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 It's too early to freak out about not getting snow, since the low is still off the coast of NC, but I can't say I'm not getting worried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
insanegrenade Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 This storm is def. over performing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 18 minutes ago, WxMan1 said: Nice flake size here in Crofton MD now, almost MOD snow looking. Nearing 1/2". I have a good feeling about this.. I'm just to you east by like 3 miles and I'm estimating 1.5". Been snowing hard for about an hour now. Snow started around 10 and has been steady. I can see on radar where I'm under a narrow heavy band. It's dropping some snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 4 minutes ago, dailylurker said: I'm just to you east by like 3 miles and I'm estimating 1.5". Been snowing hard for about an hour now. I can see on where I'm under a narrow band. It's dropping some snow. Congratulations! If I can't get under a band, I am sure gonna cheer you on! I hope you get 7 inches! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 26/23 -SN, about 0.3", everything covered in downtown DC including main arteries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWC Split Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 9 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: Dual-pol images show some reflectivities to the west forming. Weenie goggles activated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mikes923 Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Steady light snow here in Ellicott City for the last hour and half or so. Hoping that radar starts to fill in soon Roads/cars covered Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Precip really retreating East right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 I'm curious if the eastern band makes it to DC...Also wouldn't surprise me if a band forms to the north and west.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATreglown Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 22 minutes ago, AfewUniversesBelowNormal said: It's really warm for a storm like this. ??? 26/24 here. I would say it is perfect!! Working out just fine here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Just now, Deck Pic said: I'm curious if the eastern band makes it to DC...Also wouldn't surprise me if a band forms to the north and west.... Looks like something is trying to form near Westminster (surprise) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATreglown Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: 978mb on the SPC page... Woot!! Woot!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 We are going to see a pivot in the next few hours and the good returns will come NW, and there may even be a band to the west of DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 The eastern band is going to clobber DC in the next 1-2 hours if people are still up. I'm staying up until at least then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 I'm staying up to watch DC get demolished. Rush hour Thursday morning is gonna be a thing of beauty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 There will also be some backbuilding in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Just now, Deck Pic said: There will also be some backbuilding in the morning. What time do you see the snow tapering off? I'm debating on staying up or going to bed and waking up early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Looking at HRRR soundings, it looks like dendrite growth will be good throughout the region around 5 a.m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 1 minute ago, NovaTarHeel said: What time do you see the snow tapering off? I'm debating on staying up or going to bed and waking up early. Not sure, but I'm waiting for this band, even if it moderates a bit.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Incredible that most guidance is still initializing and tracking this thing much too far east. Even the short range HRRR is off --- considerably. They were prone to developing meso-lows (diabatically forced) on the parameterized convective regions and then growing those upscale into the main synoptic low. That looked incredibly suspicious from the start. It was pretty clear that the coastal front(s) were better locations for development and track. The tough thing is translating that into a decent snow forecast when almost none of the guidance showed that scenario (except maybe a run or two of the normally overzealous 3km NAM and its latent-heat switchoff issues). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 9 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: The eastern band is going to clobber DC in the next 1-2 hours if people are still up. I'm staying up until at least then. I'm going to try to... I have to be at work at 10... but I will stay up to see the band Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowdude Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Beautiful heavy snow falling across the eastern shore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 CC on DOV radar shows the mixing line pretty close to the MD/DE shore. It's been steady, but is showing some signs of wavering a bit under that intense WAA. Wouldn't shock me to see some PL briefly mix in right on the beaches for a bit. We've already seen a tenacious warm nose further south cut into the totals a bit on the beaches before being forced back out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATreglown Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 18 minutes ago, yoda said: I'm going to try to... I have to be at work at 10... but I will stay up to see the band No work for me tomorrow. Hubby and I own our business. I already did my work in advance, he can take care of the rest. I will return when the snow melts off of my car! I am up long as this storm keeps on going in my area! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 9 minutes ago, ATreglown said: No work for me tomorrow. Hubby and I own our business. I already did my work in advance, he can take care of the rest. I will return when the snow melts off of my car! I am up long as this storm keeps on going in my area! Best way to live, you do what you want, when you want. Enjoy the snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATreglown Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, Jebman said: Best way to live, you what you want, when you want. Enjoy the snow! Thanks!! Me and the beloved dog Petey may have to take a Jeb walk in your honor!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 1 minute ago, ATreglown said: Thanks!! Me and the beloved dog Petey may have to take a Jeb walk in your honor!! Enjoy it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATreglown Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Interesting looking radar. Looks like a sqeeze play going on with radar. Link to follow. https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=AKQ&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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