Stormpc Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Flurries west side of Woodbridge near Indy Hill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 On 1/4/2018 at 2:52 AM, supernovasky said: Virga deathband setting up near DC. Expand I'm directly under it and I can confirm decent virga. It's probably coming down pretty good at 5,000 feet lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 On 1/4/2018 at 2:52 AM, supernovasky said: Virga deathband setting up near DC. Expand Last couple frames of the radar are not inspiring at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 On 1/4/2018 at 2:30 AM, Bob Chill said: No. Very different. Let's not get off track. The premise is when a coastal low rapidly deepens it can pull best dynamics closer to the center at the expense of the edges. The euro is the most accurate global at short range with qpf and it was much drier than everything else in our area. That can't be ignored even when meso's show much bigger totals. Expand Ah, so the Euro, then, may have (if what that NAM run showed were to verify) correctly predicted when the low was going to rapidly deepen the most...hence the drier QPF? (And my apologied, didn't mean to take things off topic, just wondering about what things help us and what things screw us, lol) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 should be seeing some flakage soon... https://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid=LWX&product=N0R&overlay=11101111&loop=yes the dark blue i would imagine should be some flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IDB_2015_09_17 Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Flurries 1\4 mile from Mt Vernon Va Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 latest RAP/HRRR have snow coming in hot and heavy by midnight... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snjókoma Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 On 1/4/2018 at 2:55 AM, GATECH said: I got Flurries! Expand On 1/4/2018 at 2:57 AM, SnowGolfBro said: I can confirm this ob! Earlier onset than i expected! Expand On 1/4/2018 at 2:57 AM, Stormpc said: Flurries west side of Woodbridge near Indy Hill. Expand Ummm... This is much much earlier than expected, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSOWxWizard Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Flurries in Rose Hill (Alexandria, VA) just south of the beltway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 On 1/4/2018 at 2:58 AM, Eskimo Joe said: Last couple frames of the radar are not inspiring at all. Expand Didn't Bob say that would happen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
birdsofprey02 Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 On 1/4/2018 at 2:58 AM, dailylurker said: I'm directly under it and I can confirm decent virga. It's probably coming down pretty good at 5,000 feet lol Expand I live on Dairy Farm Road in Gambrills and I definitely see flurries. Right under a dark dark blue on radar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
attml Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 30F / 18DP / 61% humidity BP 30.03 - flurries just started in Severna Park Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Is that a eye forming on radar?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 On 1/4/2018 at 2:59 AM, Deck Pic said: latest RAP/HRRR have snow coming in hot and heavy by midnight... Expand Dual pol radar shows the mid-levels moistening out to Frederick. Pos-bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wawarriors4 Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 On 1/4/2018 at 2:59 AM, Deck Pic said: latest RAP/HRRR have snow coming in hot and heavy by midnight... Expand Its getting hot and heavy here in Stafford, 28/15 Light Snow, visibility about 9/10th of a mile Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 pretty cool looking. synoptic comparisons aside, the radar depiction reminds me of a further south and east jan 2000, without a doubt. atlantic moisture is no joke and not surprised to see it snow moderate/heavy...especially with temps in the 20s...which was exactly how jan 2000 was. https://radar.weather.gov/Conus/northeast_loop.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beachin Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Moderate snow at this point prob 3/4 to near inch a hour about a inch on the ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Went from flurries to legit light snow in just a few minutes. 28/15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 On 1/4/2018 at 2:47 AM, eaglesin2011 said: If....If we can get rid of this dry air.... Not a flake here yet https://ramcam.vcu.edu/ica.html Expand It will NWS just upgraded to a warning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATreglown Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Some good banding heading my way. Roads covered. 28/24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 On 1/4/2018 at 3:04 AM, Stormpc said: Went from flurries to legit light snow in just a few minutes. 28/15 Expand Considering lows this morning dropped into the single digits. It’s going to be covering everything quickly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Wow at the mPING report from Mt Vernon. Now I actually want that virga band to move north. Would be great to get an early start for once. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 4, 2018 Author Share Posted January 4, 2018 24/10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 HRRR has DC with 0.1 QPF by 1a. Don’t buy that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SoCoWx Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 26 degrees in Richmond. Still dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Enjoy your snow friends to the east. I am going to get a good nights sleep and wake up to my leftover scraps from last week. What a disgusting winter this is so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 HRRR back West, a little better than 0z run, much better than 1z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 On 1/4/2018 at 3:01 AM, BristowWx said: Didn't Bob say that would happen? Expand No, I said that's what the nam showed and what can happen with any rapidly deepening coastal. There can be big winners that weren't forecasted well too. Like west of RIC in Mar 2013. All big storms have surprises in places. Sometimes good ones and other times bad ones. I don't know how it's going to play out on the edge. Right now things look half decent. Chips fall and have fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beachin Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Obs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 On 1/4/2018 at 3:06 AM, nj2va said: HRRR has DC with 0.1 QPF by midnight. Don’t buy that. Expand HRRR just went full weenie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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