medmax Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Latest HRRR runs are really impressive. We're talking 12-16" anywhere from 495 interior BOS south to interior SE MA. Another max over Tolland to ORH as we expected. Interior SE MA up to Blue Hills looks to be the bullseye.Right now living in Waltham and working in Burlington. How much do you think we will get along the i95/128 corridor? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 I honestly hope I'm not an idiot for upping totals again. Everything now is band, subsidence, band rather than a nice solid precip shield. I've come to realize I'm a horrific nowcaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, TheSnowman said: OK now Omni confused. I ran to my neighbors grass and he has 4.5-4.75" I went to a completely different area of my spot - 4.75-5.25" But still the most on my grass / driveway is 2.5" What the....... I wonder if strong wind is somehow involved in the different depths between areas a few dozen feet apart with potential minor nuances in topography. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, TheSnowman said: OK now Omni confused. I ran to my neighbors grass and he has 4.5-4.75" I went to a completely different area of my spot - 4.75-5.25" But still the most on my grass / driveway is 2.5" What the....... Drifting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 1 minute ago, CTWeatherFreak said: But I see no evidence of sleet.. .just hearing it. Yeah snow growth just went down the gutter I think east of this band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Funny, even though the radar would suggest a subby hole over me, it is ripping. Maybe I stole Corey's snow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, mostman said: Radar says I’m between the two better bands but... it’s heavy heavy snow here. Not much wind at all. 20:1 covers up a lot of sins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 1 minute ago, weatherwiz said: I honestly hope I'm not an idiot for upping totals again. Everything now is band, subsidence, band rather than a nice solid precip shield. I've come to realize I'm a horrific nowcaster. Wiz, you hearing any pinging on your windows? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, CTWeatherFreak said: But I see no evidence of sleet.. .just hearing it. Hearing it too in Southington. Might be a product of just crappy flake size as these aren't good dendrites. Also, perhaps there is so much latent heat being released...? That happened back in 2013 I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 12 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Our resident accordion man is going to lose it when he sees you have 7". He's got to have some sort of mesoscale screw zone on his property given how much this seems to happen to him. Ripping here with the heaviest of the day so far, heading out to measure shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Just now, CTWeatherFreak said: Wiz, you hearing any pinging on your windows? haha...just actually posted that. I'm in Southington and hearing the same. Probably just wind ripped crappy snowgrowth "flakes" or something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 4, 2018 Author Share Posted January 4, 2018 Vis is basically 0. Neighbors house across the street has vanished in a wall of white. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I honestly hope I'm not an idiot for upping totals again. Everything now is band, subsidence, band rather than a nice solid precip shield. I've come to realize I'm a horrific nowcaster. We used to do that all the time when we were first starting out, now we've realized that unless it's clearly busting, mid-storm updates are usually more emotionally charged than the factual work you did before the system and your final pre-storm map works out better than any update you did more often than not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: I honestly hope I'm not an idiot for upping totals again. Everything now is band, subsidence, band rather than a nice solid precip shield. I've come to realize I'm a horrific nowcaster. Forecasting the movement and evolution of 20-30 mile wide snow bands over a several hour long period is pretty much impossible. Not just you lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J Paul Gordon Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Been ripping here for the last couple hours. Very heavy snow, visibility 1/4 mi or less. Can't see the end of my street. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: Hearing it too in Southington. Might be a product of just crappy flake size as these aren't good dendrites. Also, perhaps there is so much latent heat being released...? That happened back in 2013 I think Im thinking its only happening in the subsidence bands due to poor snow growth as you and others have suggested. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 7 minutes ago, mostman said: Radar says I’m between the two better bands but... it’s heavy heavy snow here. Not much wind at all. I've got the same thing. Maybe DGZ is thick enough that it's under the radar beam? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreBomb Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 it has picked up massively the past 10 minutes here on the north shore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheSnowman Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, WxBlue said: Drifting? I'm talking WIDE wide area of consistent 2.5". Same like 5 spots as I've measured forever. Then I go to others and it's consistently about 5". And Cumberland Clearly does not have 2.5". The radar has been as good as Any storm I can ever remember. There's hardly ever drifting here, I almost never get much wind. But this has been a recurring incident since about 2012. I used to get the most snow of anyone in Cumberland to the point where the NWS would Call me and Question me where I had to send pictures. Now I'm running around all the time trying to find higher amounts cause it makes no sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 26 minutes ago, DomNH said: 5.5'' so this is about 3''/hr fluff right now. Might bang out a cheap foot here. Might? Take the ova Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 4, 2018 Author Share Posted January 4, 2018 CF has collapsed basically down to the Canal so anyone off the Cape in SE MA should be frozen precip now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
25thamendmentfan Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, DomNH said: Forecasting the movement and evolution of 20-30 mile wide snow bands over a several hour long period is pretty much impossible. Not just you lol. Not hearing any reports of power outages so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 9 minutes ago, TheSnowman said: OK now I'm confused. I ran to my neighbors grass and he has 4.5-4.75" I went to a completely different area of my spot - 4.75-5.25" But still the most on my grass / driveway is 2.5" What the....... Septic tank issues... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 1 minute ago, SR Airglow said: We used to do that all the time when we were first starting out, now we've realized that unless it's clearly busting, mid-storm updates are usually more emotionally charged than the factual work you did before the system and your final pre-storm map works out better than any update you did more often than not. I've kept 6-12 for the state but thats going to be too low i feel. 8-14 seems more likely and pretty evenly spread across the state, based on the transient nature of the banding and subsidence zones Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 1 minute ago, SR Airglow said: We used to do that all the time when we were first starting out, now we've realized that unless it's clearly busting, mid-storm updates are usually more emotionally charged than the factual work you did before the system and your final pre-storm map works out better than any update you did more often than not. Definitely agreed...I always feel like when I do mid-storm updates they are more emotionally driven and you see something and start to panic. When I started the update though the radar looked quite solid with the crazy heavy band and not a ton of subsidence but that has since changed. I'm pissed b/c how the radar looks now is what I had exactly envisioned in my head 1 minute ago, DomNH said: Forecasting the movement and evolution of 20-30 mile wide snow bands over a several hour long period is pretty much impossible. Not just you lol. yeah it's such a pain...you think it won't move and then all of a sudden whoosh it's moved Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 1 minute ago, TheSnowman said: I'm talking WIDE wide area of consistent 2.5". Same like 5 spots as I've measured forever. Then I go to others and it's consistently about 5". And Cumberland Clearly does not have 2.5". The radar has been as good as Any storm I can ever remember. There's hardly ever drifting here, I almost never get much wind. But this has been a recurring incident since about 2012. I used to get the most snow of anyone in Cumberland to the point where the NWS would Call me and Question me where I had to send pictures. Now I'm running around all the time trying to find higher amounts cause it makes no sense. You’re getting too wrapped up in it. It’s a beautiful snowy day-enjoy it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 There are chunks of sea ice flying over the roofs of houses on the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 visibility dropping to about 100 yards here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: There are chunks of sea ice flying over the roofs of houses on the coast. Jesus I'd be hiding under my bed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 METAR KBOS 041609Z 36028G33KT 1/8SM R04R/1400V1800FT VCTS +SN BLSN FZFG VV004 M03/M04 A2926 RMK AO2 PK WND 36033/1603 PRESFR P0002 T10281039 $ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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