WmsptWx Posted February 3, 2018 Share Posted February 3, 2018 29 minutes ago, canderson said: Driving to Lancaster around noon tomorrow, hope roads aren’t icey! Stay... home... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 3, 2018 Share Posted February 3, 2018 IPT needs to reach 3" of snow in 12 hours to warrant an advisory. Down this way it's 2". Not saying they won't reach it, but that is CTP's official criteria. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 3, 2018 Share Posted February 3, 2018 4 minutes ago, maytownpawx said: IPT needs to reach 3" of snow in 12 hours to warrant an advisory. Down this way it's 2". Not saying they won't reach it, but that is CTP's official criteria. You also forgot that they are ALWAYS the last to pull the trigger. Cracks me up every time a good event comes and there’s a hole in the watch warning area...and it’s CTP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarlislePaWx Posted February 3, 2018 Share Posted February 3, 2018 Boy, a careful review of both NAM's shows fascinating conditions in Cumberland County during the storm tomorrow. It looks like the temp maxes out at 32 degrees for the event at the surface. Both NAM's give 0.6" of liquid for my immediate area. It looks like the storm starts as snow between 7 and 9 AM. That is followed by freezing rain of approximately 0.15" by 1PM. Then the precip rates go bonkers between 1 and 4PM, the column cools enough to change the precip over to snow which falls heavily for several hours. As the intensity begins to diminish around 5pm the snow changes back to freezing rain before ending by 6PM. So, one wild ride on the weather side which ends just in time for the next wild ride on TV. I think the biggest change is the ramping up of precip amounts and having some intense rates for a time during the mid afternoon. Can't wait to see how it plays out...(pun??) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 3, 2018 Share Posted February 3, 2018 Lol let's switch places for tomorrow still have feeling you cash in on a homerun around PD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MAG5035 Posted February 3, 2018 Author Share Posted February 3, 2018 I think CTP's advisory placement is due to the prospect of freezing rain/drizzle. Laurel's and North-Central are supposed to get 2-4" with a possible glaze from some freezing rain. South central counties are up to 2" with a light glaze of ice possible. Our criteria here in Blair (as well as the immediate surrounding counties) is 3" and we're lumped with the LSV counties where criteria is 2". Any accumulation of ice is grounds for an advisory, so that's mostly why those counties are in one. You take that section away and the rest of the alignment makes more sense. It does look weird with the hole with BGM issuing advisories over the rest of the NE PA counties, though one has to remember models have generally been predicting heavier QPF/snowfall in that region of PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 3, 2018 Share Posted February 3, 2018 53 minutes ago, canderson said: Driving to Lancaster around noon tomorrow, hope roads aren’t icey! Taking a bus from Hazleton to Harrisburg tomorrow evening. Hoping for the same as you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 3, 2018 Share Posted February 3, 2018 6 minutes ago, MAG5035 said: I think CTP's advisory placement is due to the prospect of freezing rain/drizzle. Laurel's and North-Central are supposed to get 2-4" with a possible glaze from some freezing rain. South central counties are up to 2" with a light glaze of ice possible. Our criteria here in Blair (as well as the immediate surrounding counties) is 3" and we're lumped with the LSV counties where criteria is 2". Any accumulation of ice is grounds for an advisory, so that's mostly why those counties are in one. You take that section away and the rest of the alignment makes more sense. It does look weird with the hole with BGM issuing advisories over the rest of the NE PA counties, though one has to remember models have generally been predicting heavier QPF/snowfall in that region of PA. I gotta admit MAG, its really odd. Models have upped qpf here as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted February 3, 2018 Share Posted February 3, 2018 36 minutes ago, Wmsptwx said: Lol let's switch places for tomorrow still have feeling you cash in on a homerun around PD. Man I hope u are right. Get the Wednesday storm 2 more tics south and I’ll be giddy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Santa Clause Posted February 3, 2018 Share Posted February 3, 2018 Hope it does for you bro, I get more excited when you and may do well haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 3, 2018 Share Posted February 3, 2018 1 hour ago, Atomixwx said: Stay... home... FINE. My wife called and moved our tickets to next Sunday. The trend of wetter / colder made her a little gunshy to drive the death trap known as 283. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 3, 2018 Share Posted February 3, 2018 Sorry can't get excited for either of these. Bus ride from Hazleton to Harrisburg tomorrow during what might be the worst part of the storm, and then after orientation on Wednesday in Camp Hill get assigned my truck and get dispatched. Just in time for the Tuesday-Wednesday festivities. It really sucks to have to start with a company, try and get used to the truck and the company culture, and have to deal with ****ty weather on top of it. If it wasn't for the great Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, I would have ridden my unemployment (got laid off in December) out until April, but they forced me to put in applications in order to keep the benefit checks coming. Once I got an offer, I had to take it, lest the state would have cut me off for refusing work. So here I am, starting a new trucking job during what might just be the worst weather week of the season. Go figure...fml. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted February 3, 2018 Share Posted February 3, 2018 19 minutes ago, canderson said: FINE. My wife called and moved our tickets to next Sunday. The trend of wetter / colder made her a little gunshy to drive the death trap known as 283. I'll make sure to thank your wife a little extra next time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 3, 2018 Share Posted February 3, 2018 16 minutes ago, Voyager said: Sorry can't get excited for either of these. Bus ride from Hazleton to Harrisburg tomorrow during what might be the worst part of the storm, and then after orientation on Wednesday in Camp Hill get assigned my truck and get dispatched. Just in time for the Tuesday-Wednesday festivities. It really sucks to have to start with a company, try and get used to the truck and the company culture, and have to deal with ****ty weather on top of it. If it wasn't for the great Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, I would have ridden my unemployment (got laid off in December) out until April, but they forced me to put in applications in order to keep the benefit checks coming. Once I got an offer, I had to take it, lest the state would have cut me off for refusing work. So here I am, starting a new trucking job during what might just be the worst weather week of the season. Go figure...fml. If it makes you feel better, your new intro is awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 3, 2018 Share Posted February 3, 2018 7 minutes ago, Atomixwx said: I'll make sure to thank your wife a little extra next time. She never orders appetizers, sorry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted February 3, 2018 Share Posted February 3, 2018 11 minutes ago, canderson said: If it makes you feel better, your new intro is awesome. It does. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 3, 2018 Share Posted February 3, 2018 CTP unimpressed via my zone forecast. Sunday Occasional snow before 1pm, then occasional rain and snow between 1pm and 4pm, then occasional rain and snow, possibly mixed with freezing rain after 4pm. High near 36. South wind around 7 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Little or no ice accumulation expected. New snow accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Sunday Night A chance of rain, snow showers, and freezing rain before 10pm, then a chance of snow showers between 10pm and 1am. Cloudy, with a low around 22. West wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Little or no snow accumulation expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WmsptWx Posted February 3, 2018 Share Posted February 3, 2018 33 minutes ago, canderson said: She never orders appetizers, sorry. She just tells you that so you don't know that she doubles-up on the five star jumbo entree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 RGEM is absolutely terrible. But it jackpots Harrisburg/New Cumberland with 5”. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 ALL of the 0z models,including GFS,Canadian, Euro,RGEM & NAM, now give the Harrisburg area 3-4 inches of snow by tonight. The radar is developing nicely & looks really impressive down in Kentucky & Tennessee & is on the way Northeast! I think if the precip rates are good, this will have a tough time flipping to rain in the Harrisburg area, until possibly the end when the rates decrease. Maybe another over performer is on the way ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 2 hours ago, Blizzard of 93 said: ALL of the 0z models,including GFS,Canadian, Euro,RGEM & NAM, now give the Harrisburg area 3-4 inches of snow by tonight. The radar is developing nicely & looks really impressive down in Kentucky & Tennessee & is on the way Northeast! I think if the precip rates are good, this will have a tough time flipping to rain in the Harrisburg area, until possibly the end when the rates decrease. Maybe another over performer is on the way ? The EPS mean & EPS Control run also have Harrisburg & the I-81 corridor in the 3-4 inch of snow range for today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Beautiful sunrise this morning. Eastern sky looks like it's on fire. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Roads covered here snow falling "fine flakes" 29 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Lots of Virga here, with dew points still in the teens in the Harrisburg area. Once this gets going, I think we stay snow for much of this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 4 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Lots of Virga here, with dew points still in the teens in the Harrisburg area. Once this gets going, I think we stay snow for much of this event. Good Deal!! Anybody...Thoughts on Wednesdays storm. What's temps looking like? Thinking it might be a decent storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Lots of Virga here, with dew points still in the teens in the Harrisburg area. Once this gets going, I think we stay snow for much of this event.Snow breaking out in DC and Balt areas.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Hills to my Southwest are hazy white so snow should be breaking out soon here in Lancaster. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowPlowGuy88 Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 Finally started snowing in Mechanicsburg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, Superstorm said: Hills to my Southwest are hazy white so snow should be breaking out soon her in Lancaster. . Flakes starting to fly in Marysville. The 12z NAM has 3 inches of snow in the Harrisburg area & along the I-81 corridor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted February 4, 2018 Share Posted February 4, 2018 And just like that, snow has started.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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