NortheastPAWx Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 5 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: From Twitter...our trough is digging deeper then expected...our "kicker" is diving under our storm instead of into it Which would mean...? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Just now, NortheastPAWx said: Which would mean...? It should translate to a further NW low that isn’t kick out so easily Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 1 minute ago, hazwoper said: It should translate to a further NW low that isn’t kick out so easily We're in good shape. I think the main enemy right now is occlusion. Still to be determined but models seem to be giving it less credence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tomcatct Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 JB mentioned a little while ago on twitter about an eye feature showing up on radar..pretty cool Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbear5 Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, NortheastPAWx said: Which would mean...? Theoretically if the kicker would cut underneath the main vort it wouldn't be able to force it eastward, preventing that eastern kick many of the models had Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 MAM 0z http://www.thepictaram.club/share/Bdg8M2il-ub Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
viking70 Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 21 minutes ago, Paragon said: Moon bow?! Where? Those are extraordinarily rare.... Here in Ossining. What I am describing is a ring around the moon of white light. There are not colors but a white ring that happens before a storm when there are a lot of water particles in the atmosphere-- like this attachment but without the colors. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 According to bastardi storm is JUST off coast... way west of modeled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 7 minutes ago, Wetbulbs88 said: We're in good shape. I think the main enemy right now is occlusion. Still to be determined but models seem to be giving it less credence. Yeah Will in the NE forum mentioned that that is probably why the models aren't overly juicy. It blows its load during max intensification down south and we get the remains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tomcatct Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 1 minute ago, Hoth said: Yeah Will in the NE forum mentioned that that is probably why the models aren't overly juicy. It blows its load during max intensification down south and we get the remains. Also known as sloppy seconds... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 17 minutes ago, Enigma said: Certainly has the feel of Jan. 2000. well that was not much of a storm for a lot of us, I believe we were dry slotted.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 4, 2018 Author Share Posted January 4, 2018 19/20mm on the Ukie for nyc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Just now, tomcatct said: Also known as sloppy seconds... I was not consistent with the analogy lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherlogix Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 8 minutes ago, viking70 said: Here in Ossining. What I am describing is a ring around the moon of white light. There are not colors but a white ring that happens before a storm when there are a lot of water particles in the atmosphere-- like this attachment but without the colors. . thats a great pic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
F5TornadoF5 Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 6 minutes ago, Rjay said: 19mm on the Ukie for nyc 30 knots for a period too is also impressive for nyc. Uk totals are higher than 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 9 minutes ago, viking70 said: Here in Ossining. What I am describing is a ring around the moon of white light. There are not colors but a white ring that happens before a storm when there are a lot of water particles in the atmosphere-- like this attachment but without the colors. . Wow you took that image? I see colors :-) The reason I asked is because others have told me they have seen colors in moonbows but I've never seen one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 8 minutes ago, Hoth said: Yeah Will in the NE forum mentioned that that is probably why the models aren't overly juicy. It blows its load during max intensification down south and we get the remains. That's climatology for Miller A's though. Usually they do their best up to the Jersey Shore (Monmouth lol) and out east along Long Island and maybe E NE though the Cape usually rains in them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
viking70 Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 5 minutes ago, Paragon said: Wow you took that image? I see colors :-) The reason I asked is because others have told me they have seen colors in moonbows but I've never seen one. No I did not take this picture but what I saw tonight was similar-- a full ring of white around the moon but without colors. I understand that colors may be rare but a white ring around a fullish moon is quite common before a storm from my experience. I have seen colors however, but not tonight. It is a beautiful sight especially because you know that snow is coming after it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 4, 2018 Author Share Posted January 4, 2018 Wow Ukie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ZNSTATED Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Shirley light snow 28 degrees 78% humidity moving in fast Game on Grayson dont disappoint me lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 This storm might just tuck-in and give us a top 10 storm for the reason Rjay mentioned... the kicker missing. You can see the potential by looking at the satellite loops. http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=continental-conus-08-48-1-100 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Without the kicker does the storm hang around a little longer or just come closer with more qpf or both? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joe4alb Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Unreal for a winter storm.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, Metasequoia said: This storm might just tuck-in and give us a top 10 storm for the reason Rjay mentioned... the kicker missing. You can see the potential by looking at the satellite loops. http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=continental-conus-08-48-1-100 Well...top 15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 There’s officially an eye...wow...just off coast too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 1 minute ago, sferic said: Without the kicker does the storm hang around a little longer or just come closer with more qpf or both? I don't think it would really slow it down much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paragon Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 1 minute ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: There’s officially an eye...wow...just off coast too Funny if someone in our subforum makes it into the northern eyewall and records a storm surge lol. There was a storm surge in Feb 1978 in the Rockaways from what I read. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: There’s officially an eye...wow...just off coast too Pointed this out hours ago....but yeah...wild and tucked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, Paragon said: Funny if someone in our subforum makes it into the northern eyewall and records a storm surge lol. There was a storm surge in Feb 1978 in the Rockaways from what I read. There will undoubtedly be some water rise no matter how close it gets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 5 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: There’s officially an eye...wow...just off coast too What? Link? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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