nj2va Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 I know it’s been good for some here but RGEM has performed poorly this winter in MBY with regard to QPF. it’s been way too wet. I’m taking whatever totals it shows for me with a grain of salt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Rgem sends bands of precip all the way back to Garrett county... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 It is interesting that the RGEM is getting precip back over our area. Evan as far as out here. It has performed very well so far this winter. But is still a little bit at range. It looks like it is getting precip into the area with some kind of inverted trough? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 11 minutes ago, nj2va said: I know it’s been good for some here but RGEM has performed poorly this winter in MBY with regard to QPF. it’s been way too wet. I’m taking whatever totals it shows for me with a grain of salt. 8 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: It is interesting that the RGEM is getting precip back over our area. Evan as far as out here. It has performed very well so far this winter. But is still a little bit at range. It looks like it is getting precip into the area with some kind of inverted trough? these two posts back to back are lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, mappy said: these two posts back to back are lol They do live in totally different areas I assume you know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 21 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: It is interesting that the RGEM is getting precip back over our area. Evan as far as out here. It has performed very well so far this winter. But is still a little bit at range. It looks like it is getting precip into the area with some kind of inverted trough? It is extremely light NW of I-95 though, and it could just be virga out there. On the total precip map, the 0.1" line is SE of the cities at hr 48. Not much more over me, about .15" or so. Looks really nice down along the coast, with 0.5"+. Question is, where does it go beyond this point, and my guess is it is headed NE and out. eta- There does appear to be an inverted trough, so I would say that is at least contributing to the depiction of more precip further inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Just now, nj2va said: I thought this was STORM MODE. it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricanegiants Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 I am hoping that the “day” models will bring hope. It makes everything better. Hope meaning comments like “tick West” and “deeper Low” and “hugging the coast”. Yes, me and everyone else. Oh, to see the GFS and King come into surprise agreement in a good way today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 RGEM was a false prophet with that southern slider last January. It way overdid the precip on the NW extent, IIRC it had like 0.4-0.5 back through DC and we only ended up with like 0.1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 RGEM was a false prophet with that southern slider last January. It way overdid the precip on the NW extent, IIRC it had like 0.4-0.5 back through DC and we only ended up with like 0.1. How did it do with the Dec 8-9 storm last month? . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 I haven't followed the RGEM all that closely this year but also believe it's been way too generous with qpf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 5 minutes ago, nj2va said: It predicted about double QPF what I actually got. I’ll see if I can find the runs leading up to it but I’m skeptical of RGEM QPF. The 18z run before the Dec 8/9 event had me at 0.4”+ with SE DC in 0.5”. I wound up with like 1.5” or so on much less QPF. I find that it’s been consistently too wet for my location so I’m treading lightly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 This looks reasonable: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 3 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: This looks reasonable: They're going with the Gfs it would seem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 15 minutes ago, nj2va said: The 18z run before the Dec 8/9 event had me at 0.4”+ with SE DC in 0.5”. I wound up with like 1.5” or so on much less QPF. I find that it’s been consistently too wet for my location so I’m treading lightly. Yeah me too. When it's an outlier from the globals I don't weigh it heavily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 7 minutes ago, mitchnick said: They're going with the Gfs it would seem. In their AFD they mentioned going with consensus/blend, and re evaluate later this afternoon. 0z Euro backed off a bit too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 2, 2018 Author Share Posted January 2, 2018 STORM MODE gone. Have at it and find all the dumbest models to hug. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Whats the latest SREFs got? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 14 minutes ago, DCTeacherman said: Yeah me too. When it's an outlier from the globals I don't weigh it heavily. Yeah, good advice. I’m down for some mood flakes in DC. The beach cameras at Ocean City, etc will be fun to watch on Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: Whats the latest SREFs got? Snowfall mean ticked up .5" or so at DCA, ticked up a little less at Baltimore. Both around 3.5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Road trip to Indian River Inlet. If we walk out to the tip of the jetty we might get in on the best snows. Who's in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Bravo, @H2O, bravo. You killed it. Dead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Just now, mattie g said: Bravo, @H2O, bravo. You killed it. Dead. he's the worst unpaid wanna-be mod ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Road trip to Indian River Inlet. If we walk out to the tip of the jetty we might get in on the best snows. Who's in? I think we might have to walk out to the tip, hop in a boat, and head east 50 miles or so. Lets do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 hour ago, mappy said: these two posts back to back are lol I dont know what is lol about talking about what a model is showing. Isnt that what this thread is for? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Just now, clskinsfan said: I dont know what is lol about talking about what a model is showing. Isnt that what this thread is for? i found the "RGEM has been good here" vs" RGEM has been bad here" back to back, to be funny. Sorry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 No humor allowed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 12z NAM is rolling. Who has the pbp? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Just now, C.A.P.E. said: 12z NAM is rolling. Who has the pbp? Hopefully someone with a vocabulary deeper than tick, hair tad or meh and oh yeah disaster...next, over, dead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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