yoda Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Just now, mitchnick said: Add another inch since that map stops at 36 hrs. Pleeez Lord!!!!! i'll have pivotal ready in a few to share... both regular and kuchera Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Just now, mitchnick said: Add another inch since that map stops at 36 hrs. Pleeez Lord!!!!! Question, why does it show no snow in between Southern North Carolina and South Carolina? Just noise? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 8 minutes ago, BristowWx said: We moved past that. The RGEM is the new face of weenie RGEM definitely tracks the low east of it's 12z run. Precip is west however. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, Cobalt said: Question, why does it show no snow in between Southern North Carolina and South Carolina? Just noise? Because word got to the Rgem programmers JI would be vacationing at the NC/SC beaches this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 3 minutes ago, Rvarookie said: I think 3-4” is safe call for RIC and DC. Pretty sure the GFS will get folks little excited later I would not make that call. We’ve had the rug pulled out closer than this. GFS has a way of gut punching at the last minute. Now if it holds well I will have to eat it. Gladly of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Feel like we’re about to pull an Ovi in overtime!! We are sooooooo close... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Unless I hear that Norfolk is mixing I'm out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 If you keep getting caught up in exactly where that SLP center is, you'll miss the important details. The important thing on those runs is that the upper levels are much better for snow on the west side of the circulation and that the low is initially anchored to the coastal front instead of further east, which helps put the better f-gen/deformation zones onshore instead of out over the Atlantic or just brushing the beaches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Just now, Scraff said: Feel like we’re about to pull an Ovi in overtime!! We are sooooooo close... It's more like that Seahawks vs Packers game where Matt Hasselback said "We want the ball and we're gonna score". We've just gotta avoid the pick 6 this time.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kleimax Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 we're bringing this one home boys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvarookie Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 5 minutes ago, Cobalt said: We've still got 24 hours of guidance until we can make that answer. Could be a blip, but the trends are still very exciting, so I'm hopeful. Meh...we don’t need guidance. Once that Jebman fella said he was getting that pain in his foot I knew the snow was a lock Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 0.3 thru DC 0.4 thru BWI according to TT https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=rgem®ion=neus&pkg=apcpn&runtime=2018010300&fh=44&xpos=0&ypos=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kleimax Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 3 minutes ago, caviman2201 said: 0.3 thru DC 0.4 thru BWI according to TT https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=rgem®ion=neus&pkg=apcpn&runtime=2018010300&fh=44&xpos=0&ypos=0 Pretty sure that would work Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
THEREALTOR1 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 4 minutes ago, csnavywx said: If you keep getting caught up in exactly where that SLP center is, you'll miss the important details. The important thing on those runs is that the upper levels are much better for snow on the west side of the circulation and that the low is initially anchored to the coastal front instead of further east, which helps put the better f-gen/deformation zones onshore instead of out over the Atlantic or just brushing the beaches. Hopefully you hang out cause what you're talking about sounds like the bomb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, Kleimax said: RGEM The amount the storm has to go farther north to push warning level snows into DC and Baltimore is very, very small. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Just now, Ltrain said: Here is the RGEM at 10:1. If it's posted already I'l delete this. Sure looks nice but I’m taking RGEM QPF with a grain of salt. Way overdone usually but like the trends of the mesos at 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Gfs ready to roll folks. The part that counts will come quick, so please try to keep posts related to gfs so the site doesn't get bogged down. Thanks much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, osfan24 said: The amount the storm has to go farther north to push warning level snows into DC and Baltimore is very, very small. I like where we are sitting right now. GFS looms large... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 FWIW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 FWIW, the RGEM is looking somewhat similar to the one Ukie run that destroyed us several days ago. It's not there yet, but if you just took that basic track and shoved it 100 miles northwest, that's about what you'd get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Pretty sure that would work If we can get 3 more similar trends through 00z tomorrow..Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kleimax Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 7 minutes ago, osfan24 said: The amount the storm has to go farther north to push warning level snows into DC and Baltimore is very, very small. Pretty sure those are warning level right there on the RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 GFS about to throw cold water on your heads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 If the gfs continues the trend then this is a snowball rolling down a steep hill Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Cranky is a smart guy and seems to really like RGEM/NAM combo and also seems to have some thoughts it could still trend west from there. He seems surprised by some of the things he is seeing. Good enough for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATreglown Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Sorry if this is banter, but anyone else hearing en echo? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beachin Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Prob gonna be the higher to verify 8-12+ is solid for the shore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 For the impatient (including me). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Looking at gfs is a waste. It's not the right model to use this close to event Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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