Interstate Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 I like the fighting between high schoolers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Going to be interesting to see if 18z RGEM continues to be rock solid in it' track and accumulations... Yes it's the farthest west, but it hasn't been changing for the past 5 runs now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 3 minutes ago, yoda said: Going to be interesting to see if 18z RGEM continues to be rock solid in it' track and accumulations... Yes it's the farthest west, but it hasn't been changing for the past 5 runs now Looks to be further east. Still has some light snow through DC and west but the QPF will be lower. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 5 minutes ago, yoda said: Going to be interesting to see if 18z RGEM continues to be rock solid in it' track and accumulations... Yes it's the farthest west, but it hasn't been changing for the past 5 runs now I think we've reached consensus now with the globals. We'll see some wobbles but the dreams of Jan 2000 have been squashed like the Raven's playoff hopes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, LP08 said: Looks to be further east. Still has some light snow through DC and west but the QPF will be lower. Where are you looking? TT is only up to hr 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 7 minutes ago, yoda said: Going to be interesting to see if 18z RGEM continues to be rock solid in it' track and accumulations... Yes it's the farthest west, but it hasn't been changing for the past 5 runs now It actually dropped qpf a little from 06z to 12z, and it looks like it's doing it again. At 36 hours, it appears to have made a clear shift towards the stronger, more western track of the low with a tighter gradient. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
B-Paq Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, Cobalt said: Where are you looking? TT is only up to hr 24 Take the rain/snow line off and it goes out further, faster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, cae said: It actually dropped qpf a little from 06z to 12z, and it looks like it's doing it again. At 36 hours, it appears to have made a clear shift towards the stronger, more western track of the low with a tighter gradient. Mods, please feel free to move this post if it contains too much weather discussion. Yeah, you know better then to be discussing weather in a weenie thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cae Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, showmethesnow said: Yeah, you know better then to be discussing weather in a weenie thread. Wow, you were quick! I deleted that soon after posting after deciding we already have enough juvenile snark in this thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 RGEM has the low much farther west and precip on the west side is much weaker and farther east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Still looks like 0.2 QPF at DCA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Just now, yoda said: Still looks like 0.2 QPF at DCA It does but it seems like an incremental step towards everything else. Unless everything else moves towards the rgem of course....heh...nah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGolfBro Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 4 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: RGEM has the low much farther west and precip on the west side is much weaker and farther east. At this rate the low will be coming up the mouth of the Chesapeake Bay and we will get light snow showers because of the poorly placed jet streaks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 3 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: RGEM has the low much farther west and precip on the west side is much weaker and farther east. Sure is counterintuitive, isn't it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Very big ice storm for North Florida. Wonder how they'll cope. Scary stuff, especially for people very unprepared. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Not sure if this belongs in the Disc/Obs thread or here but the cold following the storm is downright “impressive” - Euro has mid-single digit lows even at DCA and highs in the teens on Saturday. Northern tier will probably be below 0. Mountains will have windchills -20 and below. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, SnowGolfBro said: At this rate the low will be coming up the mouth of the Chesapeake Bay and we will get light snow showers because of the poorly placed jet streaks. One more tick west late tonight and then nothing would surprise me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 5 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: RGEM has the low much farther west and precip on the west side is much weaker and farther east. yeah, like 100 miles further west, and 5mb stronger at same time. Now at 957. Man this is a dagger to many hearts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, SnowGolfBro said: At this rate the low will be coming up the mouth of the Chesapeake Bay and we will get light snow showers because of the poorly placed jet streaks. One more tick west late tonight and then nothing would surprise me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 hour ago, nj2va said: Thanks Wes, great post. We normally want that northern jet streak over SNE? Yes but the core of the higher winds over the ocean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Don't look now, but GFS gets snow into DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 We take -- too bad this is not likely but we can pray for it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 GFS Happy Hour! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 8 minutes ago, pasnownut said: yeah, like 100 miles further west, and 5mb stronger at same time. Now at 957. Man this is a dagger to many hearts. There are some folks in a certain part of the US that are literally flying around with joy right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, Scraff said: GFS Happy Hour! So much for it's consistency over the past 3 days, but I'm pretty glad it finally caved. 0z Runs should be telling (as we've said for the past 3 days now) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 17 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: RGEM has the low much farther west and precip on the west side is much weaker and farther east. I tend to think models overdo these cutoffs. Precip always gets a bit more north and west than progged. Nothing major for us but it will happen here, book it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, yoda said: We take -- too bad this is not likely but we can pray for it New GFS? I agree not likely but would love to bust low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, Scraff said: GFS Happy Hour! ~1"+ east of the beltway....not bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 2, 2018 Author Share Posted January 2, 2018 there will be a deathband to the NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Just now, usedtobe said: New GFS? I agree not likely but would love to bust low. Thats the 18z RGEM with Kuchera ratios Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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