BuffaloWeather Posted January 3, 2018 Author Share Posted January 3, 2018 6 minutes ago, phoenixny said: Let me rephrase that: Here is the first stab from NWS Forecast Offices of the Northeast. Does Bing even have any say in this map? Yeah, I believe this is just the combination of all the NWS forecast offices. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 53 minutes ago, Buffalo Bumble said: I'll add one observation about the blizzard today. Thing that impressed me the most was the wind. It wasn't the strongest I've experienced with heavy snow conditions in my area, but man was it persistent. And there was a very pronounced roar to it for several hours. Absolutely looked and sounded like a blizzard. Super cool. We drove on back streets from NE Buffalo to the Medical Campus around 4. William Gaiter (which I rarely ever use) had very little traffic but was an amazing whiteout. The stretch of the near east side from Kensington to the Fruit Belt was getting pounded. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 That's because the majority of TV meteorologists are just model huggers nowadays. Kinda like Burgundy in Anchorman reading whatever is on the promptor if the Mets see what the models say they go no further than that and then that's what they go with. We could all do the same thing.That's why I no longer call the curriculum, Earth Sciences or Meteorology. I call it Modelology 101, because that's all that goes on these days is model hugging. JB actually likes the GGEM, NAM and the RGEM because they agree with his ideas which I think is straight garbage as you simply cant pick a model because it agrees with your thoughts. That to me, is straight wishcasting and from a public figure like Joe, it shouldn't be done. Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Polarbear Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 35 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Do you have a link for this? I have to travel quite a bit for work between Syracuse and Watertown now so itd be a nice to have... when it works... also for Syracuse area posters, any good links for traffic accidents, webcams for the i81 corridor? Had a front row seat to a 8-10 car pileup just north of parish early this afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Let me rephrase that: Here is the first stab from NWS Forecast Offices of the Northeast. Does Bing even have any say in this map?I doubt there's any collaboration between offices any more and that's a shame.Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 40 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: What else is there to go by though? Models, Ensembles, Analogs, general pattern recognition, and past experience as a Met in any given location. The past experience part and pattern recognition is only by the true AMS certified Mets. I can guarantee you the weather person on wgrz is not a certified met. I was always told by Don Paul that dry air can easily be overcome on lake Erie due to the long fetch and many times that has happened. Point blank they all missed that today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 4 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: That's why I no longer call the curriculum, Earth Sciences or Meteorology. I call it Modelology 101, because that's all that goes on these days is model hugging. JB actually likes the GGEM, NAM and the RGEM because they agree with his ideas which I think is straight garbage as you simply cant pick a model because it agrees with your thoughts. That to me, is straight wishcasting and from a public figure like Joe, it shouldn't be done. Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk More often than not he is correct. Can see pattern way in advance. He is not a god but is good at pattern recognition Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phoenixny Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 5 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: I doubt there's any collaboration between offices any more and that's a shame. Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Looks like a copy paste job to me taken from that map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 55 minutes ago, phoenixny said: First stab from Binghamton for Thursday to Friday. Looks about right. 3" a day, keeps the Spring away... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 3, 2018 Author Share Posted January 3, 2018 12 minutes ago, Polarbear said: Do you have a link for this? I have to travel quite a bit for work between Syracuse and Watertown now so itd be a nice to have... when it works... also for Syracuse area posters, any good links for traffic accidents, webcams for the i81 corridor? Had a front row seat to a 8-10 car pileup just north of parish early this afternoon http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said: That area of orographically enhanced convergence in northern Lewis County is insane. That looks like 5 inch an hour stuff and is basically like a standing wave it’s so persistent And poor swva, he’s being a great sport about this. I’d be absolutely livid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phoenixny Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 49 minutes ago, Syrmax said: Looks about right. 3" a day, keeps the Spring away... If my memory serves it's been almost 3 weeks since Clay/Phoenix had a 6+" snowfall in a day. Nickle and dime continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 29 minutes ago, phoenixny said: If my memory serves it's been almost 3 weeks since Clay/Phoenix had a 6+" snowfall in a day. Nickle and dime continues. I think so. I may have had a 4" day but that was a one off. Dim prospects for any change in that pattern also. The only decent qpf in the offing is next week, which looks right now to be a mix of some sort. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CVA01 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 I guess I have to move to Georgia to catch a break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 I think so. I may have had a 4" day but that was a one off. Dim prospects for any change in that pattern also. The only decent qpf in the offing is next week, which looks right now to be a mix of some sort. I had one 4.5" day but that was a complete surprise to me, which is usually the case!Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 I guess I have to move to Georgia to catch a break. That's funny stuff!Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 25 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: That's funny stuff! Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Forget Philly...How much for North Florida? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 32 minutes ago, CNY-LES FREAK said: I had one 4.5" day but that was a complete surprise to me, which is usually the case! Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Just wait till Thurs & Fri when an hour or two of sorta snow turns into days of crystal meth that accumulates at 1" / week rates (other than in towns of Oswego & Mexico). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Looks like the Lake Erie band is trying to fire back up again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Looks like snow-mix/rain on the Gfs for Monday, it’s close with 850mb temps hanging out in Oswego co, still time for change.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 3, 2018 Author Share Posted January 3, 2018 Yeah GFS looks warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Euro close to a big snowstorm once again, verbatim still a little warm but globals don’t tend to do well with surface temperatures ..Aloft is a close call.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Last image is as warm as 850 mb temps get.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Euro really looks like it wants to hammer south south east of ontario. Has 10 to 20 inches of lake snow and wind gust to 45 mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Gives monroe county .25 in far southwest monroe to .80 in far ne. Ratios probally 30 to 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncforecaster89 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Hi All, Hope everyone is having a good start to the New Year! Just posted a completely unedited and raw cell phone clip of the 12/26/17 LES event. Thought I'd share in case anyone might be interested! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Not much to complain about here, still going with all snow on Sunday/Monday.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Nice looking band on the 3 k nam.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Kind of bummed to see that sharp Western edge of deep synoptic moisture never get past the North Country. Another 100 miles West and the lake would really fire up. Guess there is still some hope but I think we may end up mostly on the sidelines with just nuisance snows. I suppose the winds could bail us out and give us some treacherous whiteouts and travel conditions....it would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 3km nam gives monroe county 10 to 20 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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