BuffaloWeather Posted January 17, 2018 Author Share Posted January 17, 2018 Looks like the frontal boundary coming is adding a little lift and picking up a bit more moisture from the lake. Snow rates have increased here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Just now, BuffaloWeather said: Looks like the frontal boundary coming is adding a little lift and picking up a bit more moisture from the lake. Snow rates have increased here. Yes snow pounding pretty good in WS again... will we make 7” which is warning criteria when last night the forecast was for flurries ending by midnight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 4 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: Yes snow pounding pretty good in WS again... will we make 7” which is warning criteria when last night the forecast was for flurries ending by midnight? I remember a quote from an old coworker years back who used to say all the time " I've cleared 7" of clear to partly cloudy off my driveway many times"...so true!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Definitely picked up again this was the boundary I was alluding to earlier, how could the forecast been so wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 17, 2018 Author Share Posted January 17, 2018 Northern portion of the band is strengthening. At least 1" per hour near airport. Still snowing good here too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 8 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Northern portion of the band is strengthening. At least 1" per hour near airport. Still snowing good here too. Snow stopped up at North Campus, and the sun is out. But nice surprise, a few inches here, and when I left for work this morning, about 4.5" since yesterday afternoon in NE Buffalo, with snow still coming down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 17, 2018 Author Share Posted January 17, 2018 Just now, WNash said: Snow stopped up at North Campus, and the sun is out. But nice surprise, a few inches here, and when I left for work this morning, about 4.5" since yesterday afternoon in NE Buffalo, with snow still coming down. Just south of you has the highest rates north of the city so far for the event. Probably at Cleveland drive out across airport. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Just now, BuffaloWeather said: Just south of you has the highest rates north of the city so far for the event. Probably at Cleveland drive out across airport. Yeah, I'm looking at my security camera and it's coming down pretty good at home. We're a few blocks north of Kensington, so not far from the best stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Absolutely ripping in Williamsville at Main and N Forest... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 22 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: Absolutely ripping in Williamsville at Main and N Forest... Moved back over north campus and coming down hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 7” on the dot at my house in WS however the snow looks like nothing but flurries now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 12 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: 7” on the dot at my house in WS however the snow looks like nothing but flurries now. Stopped home for lunch 5 1/2 eyeball looks right in Williamsville. Still snowing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 17, 2018 Share Posted January 17, 2018 Officially 6.3” at KBUF as of 5pm. Finished with 7.1” here. Awesome surprise event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 17, 2018 Author Share Posted January 17, 2018 21 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: Officially 6.3” at KBUF as of 5pm. Finished with 7.1” here. Awesome surprise event. Hopefully this weekend warming over performs because next week has another SW event potential. Expect to see a few scattered showers develop in the vicinity of the warm front across the region on Sunday into Sunday night along with ample cloud cover, although it will not likely be a washout with plenty of dry time. South of Lake Ontario, this would mainly be rain, with a mix of either rain, freezing rain or snow for eastern Lake Ontario. An approaching cold front Monday night, tied to the ejecting trough moving from the central plains to the eastern Great Lakes, will usher in widespread, soaking rain showers. There will be ample moisture to work with as the trough taps into a rich subtropical moisture source from the Gulf of Mexico. Cooler air will rush back into the region with blustery southwest to west winds behind the cold front passage, bringing a return to more seasonable temperatures for mid-week along the potential for more lake effect snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 17, 2018 Author Share Posted January 17, 2018 http://wivb.com/2018/01/17/38-foot-high-ice-mountains-seen-on-lake-erie-shore/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 18, 2018 Share Posted January 18, 2018 So it's snowing again in Williamsville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 18, 2018 Share Posted January 18, 2018 Radar blossomed in the last 20 minutes...my early guess is 3 to 4 inches of clear to partly cloudy today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 18, 2018 Share Posted January 18, 2018 How is no one on her talking about this? The NWS just issued a special weather statement for 1/2" to 1" an our snowfall rates for all of Erie and Genesee counties through this afternoon. We are looking at decent snowfall not all being forecast. This is crazy to think that if we duplicated yesterday's totals we'd see a foot of unforecasted snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 18, 2018 Share Posted January 18, 2018 Newly added WWA for northern Erie 3 to 5 inches through this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 18, 2018 Share Posted January 18, 2018 23 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: How is no one on her talking about this? The NWS just issued a special weather statement for 1/2" to 1" an our snowfall rates for all of Erie and Genesee counties through this afternoon. We are looking at decent snowfall not all being forecast. This is crazy to think that if we duplicated yesterday's totals we'd see a foot of unforecasted snowfall. I’ll take credit for this...I leave town for work in winter, it snows. Told my wife when I left Monday it would be clear all week, certainly NO chance she would have to shovel. Just got a nasty text that she’s shoveled 3 times already and I don’t know jack sh$&t about the weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vicarious Posted January 18, 2018 Share Posted January 18, 2018 28 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: How is no one on her talking about this? The NWS just issued a special weather statement for 1/2" to 1" an our snowfall rates for all of Erie and Genesee counties through this afternoon. We are looking at decent snowfall not all being forecast. This is crazy to think that if we duplicated yesterday's totals we'd see a foot of unforecasted snowfall. you need 12+ potential to get anyone excited around here it seems. The potential for large storms from LE makes people a little spoiled I think lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coh Posted January 18, 2018 Share Posted January 18, 2018 Sorry but it's just "mood flakes" here where I am, hard to get excited about that. If it snows all day at this rate, we might pick up an inch. Might... Generally requires a "threat" of about 4" before I take notice, otherwise it's just another winter day in western NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 18, 2018 Author Share Posted January 18, 2018 21 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: Newly added WWA for northern Erie 3 to 5 inches through this afternoon. I saw the potential last night but figured Lake is 95-98% frozen. Lake Erie always surprises. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 18, 2018 Author Share Posted January 18, 2018 The last 2 days show you KBUF potential if you can somehow get a SW flow when the lake is unfrozen. The lake can somehow produce 1" per hour being 95% frozen. Maybe next year will be there year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 18, 2018 Author Share Posted January 18, 2018 KBUF as expected... As expected...increasing low level moisture has once again allowed areas of low-topped lake effect snow to redevelop rather nicely east/northeast of both lakes this morning...as sufficiently cold air and a deep enough snow growth region both remain intact beneath a capping inversion running only around 3-4 kft. Based on past/current radar trends and surface observations...we will likely see light to moderate snow continue downwind of the lakes through the majority of today...with the activity off Lake Erie then tending to weaken late today/early this evening as low level warming helps to gradually erode away the supporting snow growth layer. With this in mind...have hoisted another Winter Weather Advisory for the Lake Erie lake snows...which will be likely to produce 3-5 inches across northern Erie and far western Genesee counties before winding down late this afternoon/early this evening. Meanwhile east of Lake Ontario total daytime accumulations of 4-6 inches still look to be a good bet...thereby warranting continued Winter Weather Advisories there as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 18, 2018 Author Share Posted January 18, 2018 31 minutes ago, Buffalo Bumble said: I’ll take credit for this...I leave town for work in winter, it snows. Told my wife when I left Monday it would be clear all week, certainly NO chance she would have to shovel. Just got a nasty text that she’s shoveled 3 times already and I don’t know jack sh$&t about the weather. You need to leave more often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 18, 2018 Share Posted January 18, 2018 Not too impressed with today’s lake effect, as to be expected with 95% ice cover. Snowing light but steady but not really accumulating all that much at my house in WS or in Williamsville. Thinking the WWA will bust for sure with most areas only seeing 1-2” at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 18, 2018 Author Share Posted January 18, 2018 5 days above 32 degrees should pretty much destroy all snowpack besides the Tug and ski country. I count 3 cutters on GFS and Euro next 2 weeks. Pattern probably reloads in early February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 18, 2018 Author Share Posted January 18, 2018 Off topic but if you guys had to pick a vacation to go to in March early/mid march would you choose St Lucia, Hawaii, or Iceland? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 18, 2018 Share Posted January 18, 2018 23 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Off topic but if you guys had to pick a vacation to go to in March early/mid march would you choose St Lucia, Hawaii, or Iceland? I did St Lucia for my wedding two years ago. It was pretty awesome. We did the sandals Grande St lucian which I thought was very nice and is of course all inclusive. That said, other people have told me about better options on the island but overall i was very happy with our stay. Hawaii is great but expensive af and can be very touristy and hard to get around. Iceland is on my bucketlist for sure but seems like the last place you'll want to go after a long cold winter. You love the heat. If I ever do iceland it will be during the next solar maximum when the Auroras will be almost a guarantee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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