BuffaloWeather Posted January 11, 2018 Author Share Posted January 11, 2018 No drought worries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 11, 2018 Author Share Posted January 11, 2018 What kind of map is this? The Zebra pattern of freezing rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 11, 2018 Author Share Posted January 11, 2018 This includes the clipper. Get ready Rochester folk possible 3' totals by next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 7 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: I feel like 12+ for a majority of this forum is worthy of new thread, any votes? I say do it! It can be the storm and then then the long thaw thread. I'm finally back on top of things post illness, have missed most of this storm analysis but needless to say I'm pretty excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 13 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Caz creek is about to explode lol. That ice jam looks insane. Where are you seeing it and where on Caz is it located? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 11, 2018 Author Share Posted January 11, 2018 31 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: Where are you seeing it and where on Caz is it located? Saw it on channel 2 and 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 1 minute ago, BuffaloWeather said: Saw it on channel 2 and 4 Weird lol. Checked the gauge for Caz creek and it looked like there was a small 1-2 foot rapid rise earlier cause by a jam but then quickly dropped off and is now back down to below where it was this morning. I live very close to it and drove by it on my way home and it didn't seem very high at all to me. Maybe it's further downstream in Caz Park or further... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 34 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: Weird lol. Checked the gauge for Caz creek and it looked like there was a small 1-2 foot rapid rise earlier cause by a jam but then quickly dropped off and is now back down to below where it was this morning. I live very close to it and drove by it on my way home and it didn't seem very high at all to me. Maybe it's further downstream in Caz Park or further... The Caz gauge is worthless for Ice Jam levels except for what it's like near Southgate in West Seneca. Just did a drive around and the big jam at the moment is right in the park and back through the golf course. The park is taking on quite a bit of water already. Up along the slants by me the ice hasn't even broken yet... Once the jam in the park let's loose and piles up under Stevenson we may have some issues especially looking at that slug of rain moving in... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Few pics from the ice jam behind my work in Silver Creek. They really lucked out that the jam cleared before the rain came in. Heard Sunset Bay may be in for some flooding issues tonight... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phoenixny Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Everybody enjoy their snow but I am thinking jackpot is west of a Phoenix and Auburn line. Would not be surprised that we mix longer than anticipated and cut back on snow here. Gonna go with 4 to 8 for Phoenix. Main storm over mid-morning with snow-shield. See what happens and hope I am wrong. Regardless, just had an area wide 10 to 20 last week and another 5 to 16 modeled so very nice! If it's snowing here by 8PM then all bets off. Quick wave, quick hitter with somebody getting 2" + per hour for a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 25 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: The Caz gauge is worthless for Ice Jam levels except for what it's like near Southgate in West Seneca. Just did a drive around and the big jam at the moment is right in the park and back through the golf course. The park is taking on quite a bit of water already. Up along the slants by me the ice hasn't even broken yet... Once the jam in the park let's loose and piles up under Stevenson we may have some issues especially looking at that slug of rain moving in... Wow. Thanks for the info. Hopefully things don't get too bad down there. May have to take a drive to see it in a little bit if it does jam up at Stevenson bridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 6 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: Wow. Thanks for the info. Hopefully things don't get too bad down there. May have to take a drive to see it in a little bit if it does jam up at Stevenson bridge. I'll let you know. Right at the end of my street so I'll be popping down pretty much every hour. Look at all the rain comming in! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 57 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: Wow. Thanks for the info. Hopefully things don't get too bad down there. May have to take a drive to see it in a little bit if it does jam up at Stevenson bridge. She's jammed up tight right now. This is as good as it gets if your planning to come down... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 24 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: She's jammed up tight right now. This is as good as it gets if your planning to come down... Leaving in a minute, going to Caz to see the flooding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 12, 2018 Author Share Posted January 12, 2018 New thread to discuss this storm. All other talk can go here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 19 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: Leaving in a minute, going to Caz to see the flooding. Biggest jam I've seen in a while... It's about to over run Stevenson Bridge... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 4 minutes ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Biggest jam I've seen in a while... It's about to over run Stevenson Bridge... Hey that’s where I am! If you see a red F-150 with a guy taking video, that’s me lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 2 minutes ago, WesterlyWx said: Hey that’s where I am! If you see a red F-150 with a guy taking video, that’s me lol! U down there right now? South or North Legion? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 1 minute ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: U down there right now? South or North Legion? Yes I’m at the bridge at Stevenson and S Legion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Just now, WesterlyWx said: Yes I’m at the bridge at Stevenson and S Legion. Let me finish my beer I'll come meet up with you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 1 minute ago, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Let me finish my beer I'll come meet up with you! Sounds good I’ll be here for a little bit longer! I’ll be in my truck or you’ll see me standing right next to the caution tape taking video lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 12, 2018 Author Share Posted January 12, 2018 Courtesy of WesterlyWx (change your name) Video as the ice jam breaks in South Buffalo https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oya8RL-muVM&feature=youtu.be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 1 hour ago, WesterlyWx said: Leaving in a minute, going to Caz to see the flooding. We were down in WS dealing with a broken sump pump at my in laws and there was a huge crew in the parking lot at the Creekside on Union. Is Cayuga Creek jammed up as well? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 21 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Courtesy of WesterlyWx (change your name) Video as the ice jam breaks in South Buffalo https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oya8RL-muVM&feature=youtu.be Wow. Impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 1 hour ago, WesterlyWx said: Sounds good I’ll be here for a little bit longer! I’ll be in my truck or you’ll see me standing right next to the caution tape taking video lol. Good times meeting up! I'll have to get that video of the jet ski posted... Can't believe another flow broke lose and jammed right back up under Stevenson again. Just took this at 11:15. Water rose a good 3 feet in 5 minutes... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 12, 2018 Share Posted January 12, 2018 Spliced together my video clips from tonight... And yes there was in fact TWO jet skis that we saw get sucked under that bridge! 1 hour ago, WesterlyWx said: Sounds good I’ll be here for a little bit longer! I’ll be in my truck or you’ll see me standing right next to the caution tape taking video lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 13, 2018 Author Share Posted January 13, 2018 A little late but here is the video from the Christmas Lake effect event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 13, 2018 Author Share Posted January 13, 2018 Next event looks like Monday-Tuesday with a clipper. Lake enhancement in front and lake effect behind. Widespread light snow will move into Western NY Monday evening ahead of an advancing cold front. Light snow will move from west to east across the region Monday night and snow will likely be east of Lake Ontario by Tuesday morning. Widespread accumulating snow is possible and may impact the Monday afternoon/evening and Tuesday morning commute Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 Pretty neat, last nights Euro extending a band of lake effect precipitation to the precip from a coastal storm..All models showing activity off Ontario after the passage of the clipper/Miller B.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 6 hours ago, wolfie09 said: Pretty neat, last nights Euro extending a band of lake effect precipitation to the precip from a coastal storm..All models showing activity off Ontario after the passage of the clipper/Miller B.. Updated map courtesy of KBOX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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