rochesterdave Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 On 1/7/2018 at 12:09 PM, rochesterdave said: Putting up the big maps? Eh Livingston? Lol I love it. That’s a once every 5 year track. It’s hard to get. Would be an absolute crush job for WNY. Pretty much as good a set up as we can get. I too get nervous when we are the bullseye 130 hrs out. But the setup is advertised across models and it’s actually one I’ve seen a few time- wave rides up stalled front...etc. I like it. I’m bullish. Put me down as a yes. I’ve been happy with my analysis of this event going back 4-5 days I was very optimistic... I think the cake is mostly baked now. Snow maps will fluxuate back and forth but overall I like WNY for a 1-2’ deal. I expect Warnings will fly with the late package. They may opt to keep the far NW counties a Watch for now but they too will be upgraded I think. Exciting times. At least we can say the big motion to the east has halted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 Site is acting really clunky. I bet it crashes again. HDRPS (?) map. I don’t think anybody has posted it. Has a deeper LP that moves from WV to just North of Philly on its way to NYC. A great track and good strength which gives lots of love. Syr should do better than this map suggests. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 Warnings up for KROC they go big then heavy snow expected Friday night through Saturday. Travel will be very difficult to impossible. Total snow accumulations of 9 to 17 in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 11, 2018 Author Share Posted January 11, 2018 4 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Warnings up for KROC they go big then heavy snow expected Friday night through Saturday. Travel will be very difficult to impossible. Total snow accumulations of 9 to 17 in Yeah think Roc Jackpots. Good place for synoptic and lake effect on back side. Possible 20" amounts just east of city. Roc is probably best location for synoptic in New York State. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 We set up nice for synoptic storms with tracks like this. Even if the Western cutoff moves in a bit we should overcome it with enhancement. I’ve said 18-24 for days now. 24 might be obtainable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 20 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Starting to get a bit excited about this one...especially for the LE portion - it can sometimes produce more than expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 I prolly post way too much. Hope you guys dont mind. Its my infatuation hobby. 18z NAM came in great. It actually comes close to closing off again. Its a big one. Hands down. Id be surprised (and super sad) if it bustedit busted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 New map...waiting for pink to start showing up... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 Channel 9’s new snowfall map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 I bet ROC ends up with over 2' by SUNDAY....SYR 11"....BUF 7".....just a preliminary......good slug of ice for some at first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ayuud11 Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 Good trend for western counties on the 18z model suite, infamous last minute 50 mile jog incoming? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 30 minutes ago, CNY_WX said: Channel 9’s new snowfall map. That transition in colors is right over my place. Just to taunt me I am sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 11, 2018 Author Share Posted January 11, 2018 GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 4 minutes ago, Syrmax said: That transition in colors is right over my place. Just to taunt me I am sure. I’m just south of the change, where 81 crosses the west end of Oneida Lake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 11, 2018 Author Share Posted January 11, 2018 NAM NAM 3KM RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 LEK has finally graced us with his presence, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LakeEffectKing Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 1 minute ago, CNY-WXFREAK said: LEK has finally graced us with his presence, lol! Settle down Ty! Crapload of life sh!t been going on...all is well, however! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 1 minute ago, LakeEffectKing said: Settle down Ty! Crapload of life sh!t been going on...all is well, however! we all figured as much, Hope all is well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 11, 2018 Author Share Posted January 11, 2018 Snow is gone IMBY. Ice on Lake Erie is way down. 90% to 42% in a 3 day warmup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 4 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Snow is gone IMBY. Ice on Lake Erie is way down. 90% to 42% in a 3 day warmup. Back in business. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 11, 2018 Author Share Posted January 11, 2018 Start a new thread for this event or keep this one going? Also the in house models for 2 and 4 are quite a bit farther NW. Matches NAM 4km. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 11, 2018 Author Share Posted January 11, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 37 minutes ago, CNY_WX said: I’m just south of the change, where 81 crosses the west end of Oneida Lake. Enjoy your 5" of snow then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 7 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said: Start a new thread for this event or keep this one going? Also the in house models for 2 and 4 are quite a bit farther NW. Matches NAM 4km. Seems like the higher res models all have it further Nw and the lower resolution global have it further east. Should be interesting to see which ones end up more right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 4 minutes ago, Syrmax said: Enjoy your 5" of snow then. I’m ready for that while Wolfie gets 15. Story of this winter, lol!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 55 minutes ago, LakeEffectKing said: I bet ROC ends up with over 2' by SUNDAY....SYR 11"....BUF 7".....just a preliminary......good slug of ice for some at first. Where the hell have you been King!? We mention you often. Welcome back! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 11, 2018 Share Posted January 11, 2018 7 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Where the hell have you been King!? We mention you often. Welcome back! Lets be clear. We don't mention him in a good way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 11, 2018 Author Share Posted January 11, 2018 Caz creek is about to explode lol. That ice jam looks insane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 11, 2018 Author Share Posted January 11, 2018 I feel like 12+ for a majority of this forum is worthy of new thread, any votes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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