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Upstate/Eastern New York


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For the weekend storm. GFS and Canadian are pretty bullish for 12+ in the ROC area. The 12k NAM is east and dry (weaker LP and east track), the 3k NAM focuses on WNY (stronger LP and a bit more west than 12k), but dry as well. GFS is further west and strong LP (996). 12z Euro will be interesting.

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2 minutes ago, tim123 said:

Gfs picking up on what euro was showing last night. Lots of lake enhanced snow with next storm middle of next week for south shore

Looks like a nice little clipper/Miller B next Tuesday night/Wednesday morning. Perhaps advisory snows. 

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8 minutes ago, tim123 said:

Gfs picking up on what euro was showing last night. Lots of lake enhanced snow with next storm middle of next week for south shore

GFS has a west-to-east LP track just south of NY with a transfer to the coast. ROC does well in those situations. Not sure it's a true Miller B type storm, though.

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This is going to be one of those situations where, regardless of how much snow we get, the roads are going to become treacherous in a hurry tomorrow night as temperatures fall below freezing and the rain changes to ZR/IP then snow. Perfect conditions to get a quick layer of ice on untreated surfaces. 

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4 minutes ago, CNY_WX said:

Here’s the current local TV meteorologists forecasts. 

 

 

I think channel 9 is going to have to adjust their totals south and east. 

4-8" does look a bit low here but their cutoff in heavier snowfalls down in BGM area and NE looks pretty good.

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