lakeeffectkid383 Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 1 minute ago, coh said: Um, you misread my comment completely. I meant give me a far enough west track to give us rain, NOT an inch and a half of ice. I see that now. My apologies. Snow or rain for me please, no in between. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coh Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 We did install a new standby generator this year, after dealing with the disaster in March...but I'd rather not give it a prolonged test! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 We rain! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 Lots of time guys. The trend today has been ugly. I’m not jumping yet. I do hope the EURO doesn’t show the same. Mantra: “disregard Euro at your peril” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 11 minutes ago, rochesterdave said: Lots of time guys. The trend today has been ugly. I’m not jumping yet. I do hope the EURO doesn’t show the same. Mantra: “disregard Euro at your peril” Watch the Euro have the low passing over Cleveland, lol! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 We will see how this turns out but look at the surface freezing line at hr 90.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 15 minutes ago, CNY_WX said: Watch the Euro have the low passing over Cleveland, lol! I think it was Tim McGraw that sang, I like it I love it I want some more of it...the 12 euro is in the low passes safely over Central Pennsylvania at hour 96, much closer to the gefs and eps ensembles. With each run we are narrowing down onto a track WNY will love imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 You mean love? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 9, 2018 Author Share Posted January 9, 2018 Euro way east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 Low goes east of herkimer county, below freezing at the surface for everyone, I’ll have to check aloft.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 4 minutes ago, Thinksnow18 said: the 12 euro is in the low passes safely over Central Pennsylvania at hour 96, much closer to the gefs and eps ensembles. With each run we are narrowing down onto a track WNY will live imo. From the NE forum: "But you can see early on where the front is setting up. Over SE MA or so. That's prob where the low would track in reality instead of over the Catskills and greens." It moved a bit east...and just when you think all hope is lost...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 Euro is looking better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 Snow map. Or output for Kroc wolfie? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 850mb temps for Fulton between 0and -1c lol Better then 0z for sure.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim123 Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 Looks like alot of ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 Looks to pass close to Albany. Keeps mid levels warmer longer here. Has 0 850 right over me at 12Z Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 Guessing the snow map for Euro will be a big hit for ROC west... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 Let’s hope the “King” is on to something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 12z Saturday LP positions: GFS vs. Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 I hope everyone is only talking about trends as the EURO is horrible for practically all on this board. Basically we warm as the SLP approaches then rain and when its cold enough for snow all the precip is in Ontario and we slot. Yuck, give me rain and get all this horrifically disgusting looking snow out of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 Won't be all white if H850/925 center passes over head or west. Prob wont get consensus on that for another few model cycles. CNY probably the most on the bubble for icing. I do recall slp's that have run right up the apps in recent years despite claims this never happens. As i recall they were disappointing outcomes... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 If u mean freezing rain u would be correct.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vortmax Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 4 minutes ago, wolfie09 said: Interesting the HP didn't budge an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 That’s not even borderline either.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 Antecedent air mass, warm close to the 50's on Friday, before they crash but it undercuts, so lots of ice. I have never seen a low pass to my East with us getting rain. Makes no sense, plain and simple. We need to get the SLP to our immediate South, not SSW or SW, because we will still rain if that occurs, That's why we snow on the GFS. Position of the 850 lp and the 700 lp are huge with this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
katodog Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 we better get a snowstorm. this is our last chance for awhile. last 2 weeks of the month will be warm thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 Theres 6 hours of precip on the EURO, lol but it is an improvement I suppose. I'd rather rain than ice that's for certain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 The 850mb low now goes over us instead of just west and the 925 mb low goes east of us..700 mb low still being a bleep.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-WXFREAK Posted January 9, 2018 Share Posted January 9, 2018 Until we see both the 850 and 700 lp's East of us, we taint! On to the 18Z and the NAM should be coming into better view soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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