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Upstate/Eastern New York


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1 hour ago, BuffaloWeather said:

Yeah anywhere from Chicago to Albany are still in game. Don't think east coast has a chance. 

Clearly, you haven't spent enough time perusing  coastal forums, where all storms are destined to end up riding near the Benchmark.  Somehow though, they seem to end up right half the damn time. ;)

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6 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

This storm starts on Friday, so not much time left. Should have a much better handle by Weds night. 

96 hours is still a ton of time lol. Obviously we’re going to see something from this storm but it could be rain, ice, snow or we could be smoking cirrus while Boston racks up another 1 foot plus...

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54 minutes ago, BuffaloWeather said:

This storm starts on Friday, so not much time left. Should have a much better handle by Weds night. 

When the pieces of energy hit the west coast grid is usually when models zero in. 12z Wed. will probably be a good time, even for the mesos.

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The consistency on GFS is remarkable!!!! I can’t remember seeing this many runs in a row with no changes. Unbelievable. 

EURO just caved BTW. It would be one of the American models biggest coups for this region. 

EURO shows 999 LP over WVa. That’s a perfect location for us. Hope it doesn’t transfer too quickly. 

Im still betting big on this one. A track like the GFS and Canadian would bury BUF and ROC. We’re talking well over a foot. Maybe 2. Real snow. 

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2 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said:

Theres a pretty classic pna spike and nao rise proceeding the storm.  Cips threat guidance is decent. It does have a pretty classic look on how wny has gotten good ones In the past.  Shortwave digs into Texas and the northern gulf and runs it strong confluent pos nao flow over Quebec.  

This is the kind of data that, for me, makes this threat more plausible - the larger picture so to speak. Thanks for sharing!

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