Buffalo Bumble Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 This was discussed earlier, but was there some sort of meteorological phenomenon last night that caused an atomic thunder clap? So many people in my office from the West Seneca to Lockport we’re talking about getting woken up by the huge boom. Maybe some frictional convergence off the frozen lake causing extreme cloud charge??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthBuffaloSteve Posted January 23, 2018 Share Posted January 23, 2018 On 1/23/2018 at 11:05 PM, Buffalo Bumble said: This was discussed earlier, but was there some sort of meteorological phenomenon last night that caused an atomic thunder clap? So many people in my office from the West Seneca to Lockport we’re talking about getting woken up by the huge boom. Maybe some frictional convergence off the frozen lake causing extreme cloud charge??? Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 24, 2018 Author Share Posted January 24, 2018 Lock it in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 24, 2018 Share Posted January 24, 2018 Euro has a couple/few inches for Sunday/Monday time frame, just misses us with the bulk of precipitation to the south..The Canadian also misses us to the SE.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY_WX Posted January 24, 2018 Share Posted January 24, 2018 FWIW, Montague radar’s down again. 000 NOUS61 KBTV 241338 FTMTYX Message Date: Jan 24 2018 13:44:54 KTYX WILL BE DOWN UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE AS RADAR TECHS ARE WORKING ON ROUTINE MAI NTENANCE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 24, 2018 Author Share Posted January 24, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 24, 2018 Author Share Posted January 24, 2018 I need to visit France. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 24, 2018 Share Posted January 24, 2018 On 1/24/2018 at 4:11 PM, BuffaloWeather said: I need to visit France. Expand That, right there is meteorlogical nirvana Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 24, 2018 Author Share Posted January 24, 2018 The Euro basically gets rid of the warm up completely. Breaks 40 once the next 10 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 24, 2018 Share Posted January 24, 2018 Anyone notice on the 12z GFS how close in the 240 hour snowfall cumulative WNY is to very heavy snowfall amounts? It has KBUF at 7" and about 80 miles west is 17" +.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 24, 2018 Author Share Posted January 24, 2018 On 1/24/2018 at 7:19 PM, Thinksnow18 said: Anyone notice on the 12z GFS how close in the 240 hour snowfall cumulative WNY is to very heavy snowfall amounts? It has KBUF at 7" and about 80 miles west is 17" +.... Expand Euro looked good too, just a bit more SE. Wolfie you have qpf/snowfall map for Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted January 24, 2018 Share Posted January 24, 2018 Thats an interesting write-up and one I had not heard before. I've also wondered if elevated convection has stronger cloud to ground lightning strikes as a higher cloud base might require more charge before it can "jump the gap" to ground. Much like positive lightning strikes from the top of thunder clouds are more powerful than normal strikes. Perhaps this combined with the mentioned refractive enhancement created the "atomic booms" heard in your area the other day. On 1/23/2018 at 11:25 PM, SouthBuffaloSteve said: Expand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 25, 2018 Share Posted January 25, 2018 Nice light snow event on the Gfs for Monday, 3”-4” type a deal.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 25, 2018 Share Posted January 25, 2018 gonna come out in full force.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 25, 2018 Author Share Posted January 25, 2018 GEFS for Feb 2nd look good, that is our next possible event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 25, 2018 Author Share Posted January 25, 2018 Nice gradient pattern setting up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 25, 2018 Author Share Posted January 25, 2018 I am going somewhere warm in March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 Below average temperatures start around the 29th (minus one day) according to the EPS.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 Latest Gfs for day 7/8 Little west and we be in business.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 As BuffaloWeather has previously discussed, the February 2nd system is our next real chance at a decent snow event and with it now being 1 week away it is starting to have that look and path that our storm a few weeks ago had. The front pushes through WNY and the LP rides up giving most of WNY and CNY another decent event. 6z shows this perfectly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 26, 2018 Author Share Posted January 26, 2018 On 1/26/2018 at 5:53 AM, wolfie09 said: Latest Gfs for day 7/8 Little west and we be in business.. Expand 6Z went west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 26, 2018 Author Share Posted January 26, 2018 Wow lake Erie lost a lot of ice. Between today and tomorrows sun and 50 degree weather I expect most of the ice might be gone by next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted January 26, 2018 Author Share Posted January 26, 2018 12Z even further west. Has a high end winter storm warning for our entire area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 On 1/26/2018 at 4:48 PM, BuffaloWeather said: 12Z even further west. Has a high end winter storm warning for our entire area. Expand Canadian a complete miss for all but eastern NY (but still shows a good storm). Long way to go on this one. That said, I'm out of town for work next Thu and Fri, so BUF should just go ahead and hoist WS Warnings right now for 8-16" region-wide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 Euro definitely isn’t the Gfs lol pretty much a strung out mess, maybe couple inches down in the Mid Atlantic ..It does have few inches or so on Monday/Tuesday, maybe 3”-5” kroc-kbuf, idk hard to predict ivt.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 On 1/26/2018 at 7:04 PM, wolfie09 said: Euro definitely isn’t the Gfs lol pretty much a strung out mess, maybe couple inches down in the Mid Atlantic ..It does have few inches or so on Monday/Tuesday, maybe 3”-5” kroc-kbuf, idk hard to predict ivt.. Expand Yeah, GFS is a big dog for all, Canadian hit for eastern areas, and Euro looks like non-event everywhere. Will be interesting to see which way this trends next couple days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thinksnow18 Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 On 1/26/2018 at 7:49 PM, Buffalo Bumble said: Yeah, GFS is a big dog for all, Canadian hit for eastern areas, and Euro looks like non-event everywhere. Will be interesting to see which way this trends next couple days. Expand Hands down GFS has been the best model this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CNY-LES FREAK Posted January 26, 2018 Share Posted January 26, 2018 Who has the verification page?Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 Gfs trending in the wrong direction, 0z Canadian similar to 12z.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfie09 Posted January 27, 2018 Share Posted January 27, 2018 0z euro is pretty blah unless u live in the MA-SNE, gradient type pattern at the end of the run which we are the dividing line.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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