RedSky Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Looking forward to see if the wind verifies, using the ECM the wind should significantly begin blowing before daybreak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Well, KDIX returns over Gloucester County is virga. Booo. TPHL does have some stuff moving in, however. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlsnowman24 Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 First (extremely light) flakes in SW Burlington County, NJ (Cinnaminson area) under the "band" that just pushed through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Plowsman Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Only extremely light flurries past hr in Freehold Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 they better hope the radar rapidly falls apart....I admire your optimism :-)That band lying over central NJ needs to push NW and soon. This is the banding that models had along the Del River with the higher amounts and steep drop-off just west of there. Lower Bucks has been sitting under subsidence between a band to the west and this band to our East. Our snowfall this morning is dependent on this feature. If we arent under the fronto band by 7-8am here my 1-3" for my area is in serious jeopardy. I think it makes it here in time but the lp was about 25 miles East of my threshold and that band is about 25 miles to our East right now and we are under subsidence with an exploding lp starting to pull the best dynamics East closer to it's center. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Dewpoint was 10F about half hour ago...now 13F. This is the dry slot 6abc and FOX29 were referring to which sucks unless it fills in somewhat quickly. It's kinda pissing me off...Subsidence. This may be Action News 6's finest hour if this feature persists. I realize it will probably fill in later this AM as the system begins pulling away but it is going to be gutwrenching to watch and the wait is going to feel like forever. Im feeling really good about 1-3" here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Hrrr ticked totals up here to 5 or 6" with heaviest stuff arriving between 9am and noon. Between now and 9 looks intermittent, not really persistent steady. Still showing patchy subsidence in and around the area. Low is staying farther W than modeled if that helps. Trying to stay along the baroclinic zone and coastal front. You can see it on satellite really trying to resist that jump east that most models had. Cautiously optimistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 37 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: 4 hours ago, Birds~69 said: Dewpoint was 10F about half hour ago...now 13F. This is the dry slot 6abc and FOX29 were referring to which sucks unless it fills in somewhat quickly. It's kinda pissing me off... Subsidence. This may be Action News 6's finest hour if this feature persists. I realize it will probably fill in later this AM as the system begins pulling away but it is going to be gutwrenching to watch and the wait is going to feel like forever. Im feeling really good about 1-3" here. It filled in somewhat and I'm out of it. You can see the heavier bands lining up to come in from off shore. Probably an inch right now winds picking up. (sideways snow) This stuff will really blow around once accumulation and wind increase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Is the storm pulling in drier air? Precip shield looks a little shoddy in Eastern PA. The wind is nasty thus far. Hoping the storm fills in but if it doesn't even those lower totals look in jeopardy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Interesting banding so far - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Latest WXSIM still paints 2" to 4" here in NW Chester County = I am not buying high end - maybe if we are lucky 2" - looks like the moderate band is going to set up just east of me in Chesco - we shall see WXSIM text forecast for East Nantmeal, initialized at 5:54 AM Jan 4, 2018 _______________________________________________________________________________ Today: Dense overcast. Snow likely in the morning, then a chance of snow in the afternoon. High 22, but temperatures falling in the afternoon. Wind chill ranging from 0 to 11. Wind north-northwest around 16 mph, gusting to 23 mph. Chance of precipitation 80 percent. Precipitation (liquid equivalent) mostly around a quarter of an inch. Snow accumulation 2 to 4 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 GOES 16 (which I just saw was officially designated as "GOES East" as of 12/18/17) as a tool has been remarkable this year! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lady Di Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Morning. I'm actually under a good little band for a bit now. She's a blowin! Hard to measure. Should this continue for another hour or two may end up over 2 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SP Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Getting interesting at the shore. Winds cranking and snow picking up. Figure 3-4” so far. Plows just came through. Going to be some serious drifting going on along the county roads not fenced. Vis has dropped to about 1/4M. Thanks for posting the images of this monster. Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Looks like snow starting to decrease out here in NW Chesco...we may have a tough time reaching 2" out this way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Hrrr is jumping all around with qpf. Last run is an extreme SE PA crushing. Bouncing around between 1-3" and 6-10" lol. Simple forecast right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Satellite loop with radar overlay is showing the storm speeding up and really starting to zip off to the ENE last 45 minutes. Im going to venture a guess it is out of SE PA by noon.....1pm latest. That hrrr above wont verify based on current obs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 8 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Satellite loop with radar overlay is showing the storm speeding up and really starting to zip off to the ENE last 45 minutes. Im going to venture a guess it is out of SE PA by noon.....1pm latest. That hrrr above wont verify based on current obs. From the radar loop It looks like it is beginning to break in Lancaster Co and moving east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Vis satellite (GOES 16) - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Is it just me or does satellite show this thing pulling away from the coast with a much more easterly direction than the models have forecast? Edit: Should have read before I posted. Guess it's not just me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 27 minutes ago, BBasile said: Is it just me or does satellite show this thing pulling away from the coast with a much more easterly direction than the models have forecast? Edit: Should have read before I posted. Guess it's not just me. Yeah, last night it was moving northerly, then jogged west a bit, and now has been making a beeline almost due east before moving northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 4 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said: Yeah, last night it was moving northerly, then jogged west a bit, and now has been making a beeline almost due east before moving northeast. Yep, seems to be making a turn back towards the NE again, but not before making a nice little run ots first. With some nice speed, might I add. It's moving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 1 hour ago, BBasile said: Yep, seems to be making a turn back towards the NE again, but not before making a nice little run ots first. With some nice speed, might I add. It's moving. Almost like tracking a hurricane - awesome storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BBasile Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 6 minutes ago, KamuSnow said: Almost like tracking a hurricane - awesome storm. Yeah, she's a beaut! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 While we were never supposed to jackpot from this storm, so glad we're able to pick up a few inches from it. It would have been too painful watching this powerhouse pass by to our east with little more than cirrus to show for it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 31 minutes ago, JTA66 said: While we were never supposed to jackpot from this storm, so glad we're able to pick up a few inches from it. It would have been too painful watching this powerhouse pass by to our east with little more than cirrus to show for it! Yes, and partly because of that, I'm enjoying the heck out of it! I could do this all day, radar checking, storm discussion and observations, watching the snow and wind, getting out in it, just thoroughly enjoying it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 59 minutes ago, BBasile said: Yeah, she's a beaut! 25 here. I don't mean to put a damper on things, but can you believe it's wet? all the way northwest. I wonder if anything like this has happened before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 With some blocking and this thing kicked towards land about 100 miles, I can't imagine what we could have experienced. Well, the next storm is always 7 days away! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 1 hour ago, jwilson said: With some blocking and this thing kicked towards land about 100 miles, I can't imagine what we could have experienced. Well, the next storm is always 7 days away! Yeah, that would have been interesting. I'm curious if the Arctic air would have suppressed the storm, and or induced too much dry air. I prefer just enough cold for storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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