Hurricane Agnes Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 3 minutes ago, Newman said: Wow, Mount Holly Updated AGAIN. More snow for up here! Updated map - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 9 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said: Updated map - Yeah thanks. Deleted my post will need to clear my cache. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Here's the current MSLP for the storm. Love where the isobars are pointing. Right up the coast: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 I really wish that 1010 "low" wasn't up there in the Great lakes... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 6 minutes ago, Voyager said: I really wish that 1010 "low" wasn't up there in the Great lakes... It'd be even better if we had some Atlantic blocking. Holy cow this would have been one for the record books. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 57 minutes ago, Voyager said: Not being the most knowledgeable weenie in the forum, does that allow the storm to push farther north before being shunted east? From reading HM on twitter it's about convection and the precip field expanding west. If I understand him correctly, it's not about the surface low position as much as the explosiveness of the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Glenn's 4pm totals: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 51 minutes ago, hazwoper said: going to be really fun tracking this one tonight The extreme in temperatures and this thing evolving into a beast is what is fascinating to me. Yeah, we're gonna get scrapped but the evolution of this amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ME_wannabe Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 We have Blizzard Warnings! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 18Z RGEM cutting back a tad on totals, at least in SEPA. Not by much though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shemATC Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, Violentweatherfan said: The extreme in temperatures and this thing evolving into a beast is what is fascinating to me. Yeah, we're gonna get scrapped but the evolution of this amazing. Lower Bucks snow hole screw zone, calling it now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 4 minutes ago, shemATC said: Lower Bucks snow hole screw zone, calling it now! Noooo! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 This will over perform, even Glenn is feeling it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 8 minutes ago, ME_wannabe said: We have Blizzard Warnings! Along the coast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ME_wannabe Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, Violentweatherfan said: Along the coast? I'm 15 miles inland from AC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 5 minutes ago, ME_wannabe said: I'm 15 miles inland from AC Nice, enjoy. If you video record the storm. Turn off your camera's auto focus and set it to infinity/infinite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 11 minutes ago, hazwoper said: 18Z RGEM cutting back a tad on totals, at least in SEPA. Not by much though Screw models from here on out...radar watching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 5 minutes ago, Violentweatherfan said: This will over perform, even Glenn is feeling it. There will be meso banding setting up no doubt. Dec 10 storm I was placed perfectly in the heavier banding. Hoping for a repeat in the western precip shield. Hoping i'm not in a subsidence zone, though. Either way this storm was one of the most frustrating yet enjoyable storms to track in a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 17 minutes ago, Newman said: There will be meso banding setting up no doubt. Dec 10 storm I was placed perfectly in the heavier banding. Hoping for a repeat in the western precip shield. Hoping i'm not in a subsidence zone, though. Either way this storm was one of the most frustrating yet enjoyable storms to track in a while. I found out from reading Anthony's tweets that it wasn't going to phase, and not worry about SLP location with something so dynamic. He saved me a lot of aggravation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Accu Weather (Ch6) pretty conservative N and W of Philly... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 very conservative overall. areas in the winter storm warning are for 5-7 and they have 3-6. I think they are a tad low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, The Iceman said: very conservative overall. areas in the winter storm warning are for 5-7 and they have 3-6. I think they are a tad low. They may be correct but at first glance I'm thinking it has fail written all over it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 I think conservative is a fair play for right now. Even some of the meso models aren't in total agreement about placement of precip shield. I think 1-10" is a good call, though not entirely specific. A real shame we don't have some blocking with this storm. Reminds me of those February beasts from 2010. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Just now, jwilson said: I think conservative is a fair play for right now. Even some of the meso models aren't in total agreement about placement of precip shield. I think 1-10" is a good call, though not entirely specific. A real shame we don't have some blocking with this storm. Reminds me of those February beasts from 2010. It's probably due to the dry air and where subsidence might set up.... plus the infamous "dry slots" when you have deathbands setting up over your neighboring forum members whilst screwing others. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Ralph (Steve) must be really busy at work, otherwise head be posting every 30 secs - 1 min. I bet he is in his glory watching from afar right now LOL EDIT I see you lurking buddy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Do you think it is because we have so much dry air in place now and even more being wrapped around the storm that they are being conservative? Just asking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Ch6 sticking with the 1-3 call from the city on N&W. Glenn is going with 4-8 across the same area. Thing is, it's hard to criticize either forecast -- some lifting here, some subsidence there and someone's forecast is going to bust. But who's?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 2 minutes ago, JTA66 said: Ch6 sticking with the 1-3 call from the city on N&W. Glenn is going with 4-8 across the same area. Thing is, it's hard to criticize either forecast -- some lifting here, some subsidence there and someone's forecast is going to bust. But who's?? Looks like they are running most of the city in their 3" - 6" and NW Philly on N & W in the 1" - 3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 With the 18z data not surprisingly beginning to lower forecasts for the NW burbs...a general 3" to 5" for now - still might be a bit high - I am liking a 2" to 4" range WXSIM text forecast for East Nantmeal, initialized at 6:00 PM Jan 3, 2018 _______________________________________________________________________________ Tonight: Mostly cloudy in the evening, becoming dense overcast after midnight. A chance of snow after midnight. Low 17. Wind chill ranging from 6 to 23. Wind north-northeast around 2 mph in the evening, becoming 7 mph, gusting to 16 mph, after midnight. Chance of precipitation 50 percent. Precipitation (liquid equivalent) mostly less than a quarter of an inch. Snow accumulation 1 to 2 inches. Thursday: Dense overcast. Snow likely in the morning, then a chance of snow in the afternoon. High 20. Wind chill around 4. Wind north-northwest around 15 mph, gusting to 23 mph. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Precipitation (liquid equivalent) mostly around a quarter of an inch. Snow accumulation 2 to 3 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maximum lawman Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 PHL is 28/4. DPs are creeping up in DC but a long way to go here. Also broke the AOB 32 today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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