CAPE Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 1 minute ago, Mdecoy said: Fair point, but DT has been going the whole "No storm" and "Pattern is not good for snow in the mid atlantic" and if you look at the whole whole writeup he still really downplays even coastal chances. So really, I feel he is pretty much all in with the "no storm" idea. Even if this doesn't get back to I-95, if its hits coastal areas, it is STILL a mid atlantic snowstorm. Well that is your interpretation. But don't make posts that are blatantly false. The pattern is not a great one for snow here- this is a very convoluted and touchy setup. It is hardly a slam dunk for even coastal areas of the MA. Look at the ensembles. To me the 60% chance sounds spot on, based on yesterday's 12z runs. Even now I would put it at 60-70% for the immediate coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 I know it's the right thing and even the smart thing to walk in the door saying what can go wrong or what is wrong but I'm going to be honest...when it is over and over and over....meh...old Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I'm IN. And OUT. And hovering around waiting to guide some weenie souls home. What does that make me? A belly button? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 14 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Ok, how seriously are we tracking this because the extended RGEM looks hella beautiful. Think DGEX (extended NAM) and that should give you the answer of how seriously we should probably be taking this map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: It’s too bad I have to work end of week. I’d make a visit to my parents again in a heart beat lol . The sacrifices we all make just to get our snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
birdsofprey02 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 2 hours ago, AfewUniversesBelowNormal said: Did you know I had 25,000 posts on easternuswx.com? but how much Enron stock did you own? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 It’s going to suck to read my family’s text string this week as they’re getting raked in South Jersey while I’ve got some high clouds and brown ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 I need another dusting to freshen up my last dusting. Most of it has sublimated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 4 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: I need another dusting to freshen up my last dusting. Most of it has sublimated. What you need is a home made snow machine like one of our posters used to have (can't remember who it was). Always fun to see his 20 ft high pile of snow in the middle of all the brown grass around it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDM Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: @Midlo Snow Maker! Haven't seen anything from Midlo this year. Normally, with a cold stretch like this he'd been in snowmaker's heaven running 24/7. Maybe he's tending to his setup? If so, wonder how big the pile is? Seem to recall a few years ago he made it last to July one year. Think I may still have a bookmark someplace for a "snowmaker's forum" of sorts. Now if I could only find it... Temping to setup something in our front acre... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
93Blizzard Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 This is going to be great. Boxing Day Part II, and everyone in here is falling hook, line, and sinker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 3 minutes ago, 93Blizzard said: This is going to be great. Boxing Day Part II, and everyone in here is falling hook, line, and sinker. Yeah it’s gonna be wild! Can’t wait! So excited! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 LOL. I knew that before this cold pattern relaxed that the eastern shore / beaches would get pasted once more while us westerners - once again - saw only cirrus clouds and howling NW winds. You can't make this **** up. Good riddance to this pattern next week. From Dec 26 in the Dec Banter thread: There was a discussion several nights ago (don't remember the poster) about snow storms not occurring in droughts. He was met with a volley of ridicule; however, his underlying point was valid. Persistence. And, it is a real thing. The region, as a whole, is below normal with precip the last couple months (and some parts - ahem! - are much, much drier). Dry fits with the Nina base state climo. I see no reason to expect anything else, even when/if some global OP or ENS shows another juiced up STJ. Mercifully, the Seahawks (finally) ended my football-season-long misery, now I wait for a huge eastern ridge to put an end to this miserable Shenandoah Valley winter. Though before that happens, I'm sure we'll get to watch coastal NC / VA tidewater / MD eastern shore get one more paste job while we out here enjoy cirrus clouds and the 30+ mph NW winds that proceed it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 I would never hug the model with the most sno.... OH LOOK GEPS!!!!!!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
93Blizzard Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 I will say this though. If this storm hits, I'll shut my mouth for the rest of winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
93Blizzard Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 7 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: I can have your winter weenie soul? Sure lol, if the storm excitement outweighs the panic you can reap away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Thanks Obama Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vice-Regent Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 It's all about proximity to the ocean in this pattern and maybe even climate. Without the source access you are finished. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 1 hour ago, Vice-Regent said: It's all about proximity to the ocean in this pattern and maybe even climate. Without the source access you are finished. One day you might actually post something that makes a lick of sense. But I won't hold my breath waiting for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 In regards to this week's storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 When srefs are all you’ve got showing you snow...it’s bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Love to do planetary research=weather sometime. So many mathematics with all the angles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Installed my storm glass antique barometer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
birdsofprey02 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 I added my first user to the ignore list today, really couldn't handle the posts in the Jan4th thread. User signed up this morning and was off to the races... nobody has called him/her out yet either. Maybe its just me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 6 minutes ago, birdsofprey02 said: I added my first user to the ignore list today, really couldn't handle the posts in the Jan4th thread. User signed up this morning and was off to the races... nobody has called him/her out yet either. Maybe its just me. Delaware looks really good, did ya hear? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 We need an AmWx Forum Riverdale... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vice-Regent Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 2 hours ago, showmethesnow said: One day you might actually post something that makes a lick of sense. But I won't hold my breath waiting for it. Just look at the US drought monitor. Nearly the entire conus away from the coast is in drought. Have we ever gone into spring/summer with such expansive dryness? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Levi added a new model for us to play with: the HRDPS. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=hrdps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 31 minutes ago, birdsofprey02 said: I added my first user to the ignore list today, really couldn't handle the posts in the Jan4th thread. User signed up this morning and was off to the races... nobody has called him/her out yet either. Maybe its just me. He's clearly got stage 3 Snow Weenie syndrome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 I'm beginning to think some people don't think this storm is going to work out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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