BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 DT sounds mellow in his video... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 I might try and walk across the half-mile inlet this weekend. Especially if it doesn’t snow, who gives a s hit anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 14 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Time to get up in front of class.... I publicly admit I blew it and let my conservative odds approach to events here get in the way of what was really possible with this coastal. I was literally 100% sure nobody along 95 stood a chance. There was literally nothing about the setup that led me to believe there was a chance in the medium range. I'll remember this event because I can't remember the last time I was 100% sure about something in the med range when there was obviously a way to get it done. Everything broke right and it's happening. Maybe I get skunked but some areas west of the bay are all but guaranteed a memorable event and not a paltry dusting at this point. With that said, IF there's ever another setup like this I'm going to be 99% sure and just keep my mouth shut. LOL I wouldn’t declare failure until tomorrow. I still think this has huge busy potential although I admit I’m foolishly getting my hopes up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Just now, WxUSAF said: I wouldn’t declare failure until tomorrow. I still think this has huge busy potential although I admit I’m foolishly getting my hopes up. To be fair, what it looks like Bob is saying is he failed to see a way for the storm to happen so whether it happens tomorrow or not, there was a way. So he wouldn't be wrong to say he was wrong even if technically he wasn't wrong. Am I wrong? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: I wouldn’t declare failure until tomorrow. I still think this has huge busy potential although I admit I’m foolishly getting my hopes up. Failure west of the bay in general looks pretty unlikely at this point but yea, we have a knack for last minute disasters....lol Even if that happens I never and I mean NEVER thought the storm would track this close to the coast. In my head the best case scenario was a coastal precip scraper with the low center way too far away to even present a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 15 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: DT sounds mellow in his video... He's having flashbacks of 4 days ago where he said that this storm couldn't hit more than SE New England Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 That’s an awful title for an obs thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Really hoping for a bust now just so that thread doesn't get any replies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Almost exactly one year ago, we were sweating almost exactly the same 0.1" cutoff line location on the models from a westward trending precip stripe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 That thread needs to be deleted STAT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 14 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Failure west of the bay in general looks pretty unlikely at this point but yea, we have a knack for last minute disasters....lol Even if that happens I never and I mean NEVER thought the storm would track this close to the coast. In my head the best case scenario was a coastal precip scraper with the low center way too far away to even present a chance. there are too many model runs with a cutoff so sharp Lorena Bobbit is jealous. i'm on the edge and a wall of snow dying out right along the Potomac would be one of the most painful wx moments in the history of MBY. I can only shake my head that so far I have been too south and east for the Dec event, too south for the little clipper and now I might be too far west? Many other people have a bigger gripe than me over lack of snow(Wes for example) but to dance around 3 events and end up getting shafted? Man, this gonna sting if it does dry up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 I remember an event when the weather (and the MODELS!) delivered me a serious low blow. I was on tap to receive a decent snow event and it ended up being sleet and freezing rain. Can't really describe the pain, but my family and co-workers noticed it over the next several days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 13 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: That thread needs to be deleted STAT. fixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Just now, mappy said: fixed What'd I miss? What'd I miss? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Just now, showmethesnow said: What'd I miss? What'd I miss? just cleaning up the place a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, mappy said: just cleaning up the place a bit. A parents work is never done. Especially when they have a bunch of kids to clean up after. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 The high resolution NAM gives 5 inches to the DC/Balt axis and much more to extreme NE MD. Hugging that model so hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isohume Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Can we rename that thread "Postal"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 #teamdeepthunder #euronever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Just want you all to know that the RGEM/3K Nam/Deep Thunder team is undefeated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 I wish i could start a new thread now. One poster would see his post count drop dramatically. All roads lead to this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 2 minutes ago, H2O said: I wish i could start a new thread now. One poster would see his post count drop dramatically. All roads lead to this. If you just want me to quit posting I will. You don't have to beat around the bush. I am a big boy I can handle it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 No, its not you. i would have said so. No INTER-office memos going around secretly. I STATE things clearly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jandurin Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 lmao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Crankywx's tweets over last few hours giving me some hope. Probably false hope. Radar hallucinations are welcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Petition to call it the Cobalt storm. If it works out, we get to say enthusiasm works. If it fails, we blame Cobalt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 4 minutes ago, H2O said: No, its not you. i would have said so. No INTER-office memos going around secretly. I STATE things clearly. I see. Spoken like a true politician. There's a conspiracy going on here and we the public have the right to know. Release the e-mails so we can sort through all the sordid details and decide for ourselves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 My recently broken ankle is really starting to ache. Like Jebman, I take this as a good sign. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Petition to call it the Cobalt storm. If it works out, we get to say enthusiasm works. If it fails, we blame Cobalt. NO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Just now, NovaTarHeel said: My recently broken ankle is really starting to ache. Like Jebman, I take this as a good sign. My hemorrhoids are acting up. Is that a good sign as well? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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