Hoth Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 3 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Nam is really amped Yeah that look had me salivating for sure. Just total powder keg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 At the end of the Nam run it's moving almost to East Northeast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Ultimately, i dont think the NAM extrapolated ends up much different than the other models. It still has a phasing issue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBinStoughton Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Why is it scooting basically due east if it’s so amped? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Just now, wxeyeNH said: At the end of the Nam run it's moving almost to East Northeast Not that it means much, but, yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Because it’s the Nam and it can. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 lol the NAM how it just scoots east last frame..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBinStoughton Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 It doesn’t want to phase. It hasn’t wanted to phase. It’s not going to phase. What’s up next? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 its amped, sure. But it almost looks to be moving due east in the final frames... not sure that would get it done for anyone here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 6 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: Ultimately, i dont think the NAM extrapolated ends up much different than the other models. It still has a phasing issue It actually might be worse if it continues as it was in the final frames.... But as you said.. same sh*t different model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 4 minutes ago, JBinStoughton said: It doesn’t want to phase. It hasn’t wanted to phase. It’s not going to phase. What’s up next? Spring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Meh...stop worrying about the NAM’s mslp placement. I thought it looked like more of a phase than previous runs and I think extrapolated this would whack us back with decent snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Fujiwara-ish. I don't really believe it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: Meh...stop worrying about the NAM’s mslp placement. I thought it looked like more of a phase than previous runs and I think extrapolated this would whack us back with decent snow. Is that chestnut chicken sh*t in the snow in your avatar? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: Fujiwara-ish. I don't really believe it. Still a lot of pieces to iron out. That late piece of energy diving into the “southern” s/w kind of gives it a kick east before going mr fuji. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JJBASHB Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Looks like the two lead pieces of energy phase well to the south. Then a third dives in and acts as a kicker, hence the stall and drift east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Is that weak Low near lake Erie/Ontario playing any roll in this track,etc Its a turd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 23 minutes ago, JJBASHB said: Looks like the two lead pieces of energy phase well to the south. Then a third dives in and acts as a kicker, hence the stall and drift east. Here it is.. The third piece is literally touching hands with the two phased pieces, and yet it kicks instead of phases.. WTF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBinStoughton Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 10 minutes ago, CTWeatherFreak said: Here it is.. The third piece is literally touching hands with the two phased pieces, and yet it kicks instead of phases.. WTF. This whole thing seems screwy and set up to frustrate lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2017/12/blizzard-potential-looms-for-eastern.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 13 minutes ago, CTWeatherFreak said: Here it is.. The third piece is literally touching hands with the two phased pieces, and yet it kicks instead of phases.. WTF. The kicker was mentioned and is the last piece to be sampled, So that will come into play with the outcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 5 minutes ago, dryslot said: The kicker was mentioned and is the last piece to be sampled, So that will come into play with the outcome. I Have not heard much talk of a kicker Talk about jumping thru hoops The kicker....?Jesus Is there a way to phase that in should that decide to dig Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 10 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2017/12/blizzard-potential-looms-for-eastern.html Excellent writeup Ray. Fingers crossed back here, but I'd be pretty confident out in your neck of the woods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 5 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I Have not heard much talk of a kicker Talk about jumping thru hoops The kicker....?Jesus Is there a way to phase that in should that decide to dig Yes there is a way to phase that kicker in, in fact the models had that idea in their solutions just the other day. One thing I want to mention is that the trough axis has actually moved further west over the last two days, not by much, but a little at a time and that means a more westward track is happening here, I would go with the track being about 25-50 miles east of the benchmark now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 I’m convinced that we need to invest some money into the American models because there terrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 the GFS is a disaster from DC to New England Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 1 minute ago, dryslot said: I’m convinced that we need to invest some money into the American models because there terrible. The model sensitivity did not flag the PNA ridge, so why is the kicker so important? Unless you are speaking of a system following immediately on the heels of the system in question.....been away most of the day, and getting reoriented. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 GFS looks easy again. A pretty meh solution for most Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 CMC is a blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 GEFS better just keep a western cluster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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