RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 9 minutes ago, dryslot said: After going back and read thru this thread today, I think every model has been tossed in one run or another...........lol I wouldnt toss it lol but I’m also not locked in on it like years past. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, bboughton said: I think the average consumer of weather is not reading the somewhat jargon-y text of the warnings and most know a WSW as a moderate snowstorm and a Blizzard as a dangerous snow storm regardless of actual criteria met. Blizzard warnings will be w/in 24 hours here. Doesn’t provide a lot of notice. Especially when your average consumer does not even know about this change. Actually the average consumer of weather information doesn't know the difference between a watch and a warning, and generally think all snowstorms are blizzards. And our watch/warning products are probably some of our most plain language products we have now. What, where, when, and additional details. I also don't think we live in a world anymore where we'll be the first word on a storm. Most people are going to hear about it long before we issue a watch for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBinStoughton Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, bboughton said: I think the average consumer of weather is not reading the somewhat jargon-y text of the warnings and most know a WSW as a moderate snowstorm and a Blizzard as a dangerous snow storm regardless of actual criteria met. Blizzard warnings will be w/in 24 hours here. Doesn’t provide a lot of notice. Especially when your average consumer does not even know about this change. I think there’s enough saturation of weather info in the media these days that people don’t need to see the word blizzard to know there’s a storm coming. They tune in to all kinds of media and they will hear all about the potential hazards. Someone who pays no attention to the weather forecasts isn’t going to be swayed to act differently because of terminology. There are plenty of people who stay put in a hurricane because they’re sure it won’t be that bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It could be right, but I am stating why we are seeing some jumpy solutions. Oh for sure it could be right. But it could also be wrong just as easily...being it’s not making a lot of sense from what we’re seeing upstairs??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 What the heck is the HRDRPS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, bboughton said: I think the average consumer of weather is not reading the somewhat jargon-y text of the warnings and most know a WSW as a moderate snowstorm and a Blizzard as a dangerous snow storm regardless of actual criteria met. Blizzard warnings will be w/in 24 hours here. Doesn’t provide a lot of notice. Especially when your average consumer does not even know about this change. This is why IMO it's up to a forecaster to explain the definitions to people so they start to become more familiar with the terms. I hate dumbing things down for people just b/c they're aren't "Weather savoy". Terms have definitions and definitions are meant for a reason. Don't use the term blizzard just to make the people realize the situation is more extreme...if blizzard conditions may be met...then use the term... if its a really big storm but blizzard criteria is apparent not to be meant...don't use it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Just now, HoarfrostHubb said: What the heck is the HRDRPS? The 2.5 km GEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 3 minutes ago, sbos_wx said: I could see the rgem scenario. A lot happyreasonable than 2.5" of QPF over MA. As long as we dont see globals slide 50miles Se in next 24hrs (From our latitude ,not outer banks) ill be Happy That would be a big issue w acummulations, thankfully this idea is tossed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Can someone post the RGEM clownage? I can't figure out how to save an image on a Mac (advice welcomed). It shows the NE jacks as Foster and Pit2 with about 8-12' inside 495, 4-5 CT up through ORH County; 2-3" west of there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: Oh for sure it could be right. But it could also be wrong just as easily...being it’s not making a lot of sense from what we’re seeing upstairs??? I don't see any real glaring issues on if it's right or wrong...it may be a reason to side with globals for now and see how they trend. More stability there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, OceanStWx said: The 2.5 km GEM pretty soon we'll be running sub 1km grids. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WthrJunkyME Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 5 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Maine's cashing in no matter what model you look at. Jeff, Weatherjunky cleaning up. Giddy up! Not making it up here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 RGEM is pretty unspectacular snowfall wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Just now, WthrJunkyME said: Giddy up! Not making it up here? No.....I'm going to be on the sidelines. Fortuantely, I'll be out west during the cutters that (I think) are slated for next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: RGEM is pretty unspectacular. It has been waffling quite a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: RGEM is pretty unspectacular. Yes--very underwhelming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 LOL....GFS at hr 30??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 GFS seems to be doing similar things NAM did early on in the run. Same subtle differences. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PowderBeard Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Interesting movement on the GFS for what its worth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 This will be the best GFS run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WthrJunkyME Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Just now, moneypitmike said: No.....I'm going to be on the sidelines. Fortuantely, I'll be out west during the cutters that (I think) are slated for next week. I do believe you’ll make out well where you are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
husky0101 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Just now, WintersComing said: LOL....GFS at hr 30??? ...? what happened? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 I dont really see a reason to go more than a foot anywhere in SNE. Is that on the table, absolutely Scooters spot is mint here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 GFS is a smidge NW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Closer to the BM this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBinStoughton Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, weathafella said: This will be the best GFS run. Kiss of death lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Well, that's an hour of sleep I've squandered. Congrats easterners--goodnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: RGEM is pretty unspectacular. That model is wonky lately...one run it’s balls to the wall...the next it’s lackluster at best..thing seems to have lost its edge since it’s hey day a couple years back?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Meh, a little northwest of 18z. I think part of the problem for us western folks is the northern stream impinging and squeezing the heights. Maybe that plays into that shunting northeast before slinging into Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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