40/70 Benchmark Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 25 minutes ago, sbos_wx said: You miss my point. I said weenies use it as a crutch often. At this point, it would be a crutch...not at 72 hours+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
noforsnow Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 7 minutes ago, TheSnowman said: So when you live in Florida.... you get a Winter Storm Warning... for this? That's Real Weenies in it's true definition. "Mixed Precipitation" / "One Inch" ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO NOON EST WEDNESDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Plan on difficult travel conditions, including during the morning commute on Wednesday. Total snow accumulations of up to one inch and ice accumulations of one tenth to two tenths of an inch are expected. Not quite to your standards, but FL will do it's best to survive the humiliation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 4 minutes ago, dryslot said: Yeah, Northern stream better, Southern stream better more tucked in, Through sharper, I would be shocked if this doesn't end up west of 18z How is trough axis/ridge axis. Any change, im @grocery store lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: At this point, it would be a crutch...not at 72 hours+. Not for you. But often the setup isn't even really a good one. We'll get people saying, "Maybe it's the sampling"... No, it's just garbage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: How is trough axis/ridge axis. Any change, im @grocery store lol Milk and bread? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 11 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: How is trough axis/ridge axis. Any change, im @grocery store lol Yes looks better a bit.....little deeper and quicker tilt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Just now, sbos_wx said: Not for you. But often the setup isn't even really a good one. We'll get people saying, "Maybe it's the sampling"... No, it's just garbage. Yes...any meteorological principle can be misused and taken out of context. Agreed. This run looks more like 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 I dont want this down to 945 off outer banks thou Thou it's such a fast mover Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 due south of hatteras - wasn't it se of hat before? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 This thing is nuking off of HSE. Man you can see convection playing around with the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 LOL, it's just wobbling around the H5 low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 3, 2018 Author Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I dont want this down to 945 off outer banks thou 969mb off HAT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: This thing is nuking off of HSE. Man you can see convection playing around with the NAM. So much cfi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Hr33 972 southeast of Outer Banks... this still amazes me this could continue to deepen thereafter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Beast down south, Lets see what happens when it starts gaining lat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBinStoughton Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Beast down south, Lets see what happens when it starts gaining lat It’s gonna peter out and exit stage right I’ll bet. I don’t like wobbling. It needs to get up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Just now, JBinStoughton said: It’s gonna peter out and exit stage right I’ll bet I'm shocked you would believe that. Shocked I say! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Weird run. Unlike most all others we've seen at 5h Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 3, 2018 Author Share Posted January 3, 2018 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Beast down south, Lets see what happens when it starts gaining lat It's taking a hard right. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Not a huge difference from 00z. At this stage, the models are gonna waffe a bit I think. It nukes out and then wants to sort of occlude a bit while still intensifying. Almost like a skater extending their arms out and throws back moisture NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: It's taking a hard right. LOL. Don't think so. Thought that might be the case. Seems like plenty of room up into Qc... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: It's taking a hard right. LOL. lol, Its going to be a beast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 3, 2018 Author Share Posted January 3, 2018 It just does not gain any latitude down south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Couple tics west, This should be good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: It just does not gain any latitude down south. You’re getting crushed at 42 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Every run since this morning looks like it's occluded and done by VA/NC... but then it continues to intensify up to our latitude... this is again gonna be a huge hit for SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 3, 2018 Author Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, dryslot said: lol, Its going to be a beast. Oh I agree, it's just not much different than 18z. The 500mb heights would argue it gains more latitude but it ends up occluded and tracks with the 500mb low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 What a blizzard! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 E Ma crushed again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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