WintersComing Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Kk. Bout to slam someone on twitter who said the new NAM just came out and it’s east. Saying CT only gonna get flurries LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 I'd sell that 957 at hr 48 on the 12z euro. I'm not buying this warm-core TC rapid deepening all the way up to 35N. I don't see the mechanism to drive that type of deepening and it certainly isn't going to be tropically derived forcing in January over 70-75F SST's... This evolution needs to change across guidance and fast because to me, outside of the UL changes through 30 hr--little else makes sense here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 4 minutes ago, WintersComing said: Kk. Bout to slam someone on twitter who said the new NAM just came out and it’s east. Saying CT only gonna get flurries LOL . It's coming out now but he doesn't have it that far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 4 minutes ago, WintersComing said: Kk. Bout to slam someone on twitter who said the new NAM just came out and it’s east. Saying CT only gonna get flurries LOL . It's out to 6 hrs.. should be another 10 before it gets to 36+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 It's out to 12, negligible differences so far. Might be a little more interaction toward a phase than previous run so far. Not much else to speak of. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
S&P Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 2 hours ago, moneypitmike said: My daughter has her admissions interview at Portsmouth Abbey on Saturday. They look to fair pretty well in all this. OT i'll post pics friday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rnaude241 Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 What?!?!?! I was expecting much lower totals down this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Through 21, seems to be getting its' act together a bit earlier than 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 The western/inland weenie bloodlust for more amped solutions is palpable, and James as their sacrificial lamb, but they are willing to sacrifice additional coastal folk if needed. So far through 18h, i dont see many big changes on the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 GYX fired up WS watches. Mentioned possible blizzard conditions along the coastline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Just now, WxBlue said: GYX fired up WS watches. Mentioned possible blizzard conditions along the coastline. Seems very prudent. Should be a very fun event within a couple counties of the coast for the wind/snow combo. *That doesn't mean it won't be a fun event inland, before someone jumps on that. I envision some large cyclonic band paralleling the coastline from Maine through NH and into E.SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Not sure if this was posted: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, powderfreak said: Seems very prudent. Should be a very fun event within a couple counties of the coast for the wind/snow combo. *That doesn't mean it won't be a fun event inland, before someone jumps on that. Right now, it doesn't sound like they'll pull blizzard warnings beyond the coastal zones. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 NAM southern doesn't look quite as good a little less ridging ahead of it... only plus I see is the 50/50 is weaker. Hard to tell through 21 for me... should be somewhat similar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 BOX map looks very reasonable to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 5 minutes ago, WxBlue said: GYX fired up WS watches. Mentioned possible blizzard conditions along the coastline. Skimpy on the snow map. Let's work on that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, skierinvermont said: NAM southern doesn't look quite as good a little less ridging ahead of it... only plus I see is the 50/50 is weaker. Hard to tell through 21 for me... should be somewhat similar Looks like it might go a bit E this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Trough seems less sharp on the NAM down in the south... heights are lower up in New England too so less ridging in front of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, skierinvermont said: NAM southern doesn't look quite as good a little less ridging ahead of it... only plus I see is the 50/50 is weaker. Hard to tell through 21 for me... should be somewhat similar ? NAM looks pretty similar, deeper through 27 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 At least the 18z Nam looks a lot more like a mid latitude cyclone than a TC through 27 hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Just now, NorEastermass128 said: BOX map looks very reasonable to me. Agreed. That's a pretty reasonable forecast, IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skierinvermont Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, sbos_wx said: ? NAM looks pretty similar, deeper through 27 There is substantially less ridging ahead of it... maybe the phase will be better I don't know.. but not looking great so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 yup, agreed ... hard to get upper tier impact from storm moving at ludicrous speed - ... I am wondering .. could there be some poorly modeled QPF lagging back because that is an awful lot of cyclonic curvature and on-going height falls still pushing through after the coastal has transgressed and moved away... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Just now, skierinvermont said: There is substantially less ridging ahead of it... maybe the phase will be better I don't know.. but not looking great so far 35 hours just off HSE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 The one thing with these runs lately, is that the early frames don't necessarily depict what will happen later. Some of these look like they should go one way, then it goes the other way when it reaches our latitude. Hard to say until its actually up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 976 beast a few miles off HSE 36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow1 Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, weathafella said: 976 beast a few miles off HSE 36 Looks like it will end up east of 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Closing off at 39 off VA Beach. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 The nam looks like a Mid latitude cyclone. The result, she comes west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 962mb at hr42. Impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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