weathafella Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 I’m not sure about this. I kind of liked 18z better. edit-maybe not-close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Just now, weathafella said: I’m not sure about this. I kind of liked 18z better. It's a little disorganized with the srn s/w, but the nrn one looked better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, weathafella said: I’m not sure about this. I kind of liked 18z better. Ya doesn't look that great to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Northern stream s/w looks better, But that southern s/w not so much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Always something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 F#$* this. See you in the AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Ground truth so far looks a bit better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 This system is growing tiresome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 like every model run we getbetter up until we max out the depth of the trough and then for whatever reason when we start the climb, it gets worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: This system is growing tiresome. It’s got potential but can’t seem to get it done. Oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 I think ppl are weighting the NAM solutions a little too much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 956 at 40/67. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Northern stream vort is really trying to pull this back NW, Is it enough? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Just gonna chase that convection out by the look...we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 It does throw snow very far west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, weathafella said: 956 at 40/67. We'll get some good CAA with our cirrus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Still a few inches though so not terrible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Thats a big hit for DE Maine, Late tug back to the NW actually ends up better up here then 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I think ppl are weighting the NAM solutions a little too much. Mini melt from Ray in the latter half of a NAM run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 I hate this storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarverWX Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 NAM looks decent down this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, WxBlue said: That weird mini-cutoff to NE of the primary coastal low probably caused a slight pull to east, but it still rallied to throw the snow slightly more west. Everyone but E MA had more, we get less, lol. Only the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBinStoughton Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, WxBlue said: That weird mini-cutoff to NE of the primary coastal low probably caused a slight pull to east, but it still rallied to throw the snow slightly more west. Why does that keep showing up and is it likely real or just a model thing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, WxBlue said: That weird mini-cutoff to NE of the primary coastal low probably caused a slight pull to east, but it still rallied to throw the snow slightly more west. If that southern stream s/w would have been better organized, This would have been a big hit for many as that northern stream s/w was much better then 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 1 minute ago, JBinStoughton said: Why does that keep showing up and is it likely real or just a model thing? It's a double-barrel low. Other models pick up on this as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
InstantWeatherMaps Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Snowfall is decent but could be much better with that SLP strength. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 38 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Worse yet ... there's so much instability with all this cold transport heading out over the warm west Atlantic that (I suspect) the fast nature of the flow overtop is contributing to prematurely spinning up and then ejecting the low - i.e. Perhaps too much model sensitivity. Another problem is we don't have much downstream blocking here ... that really would help quite a bit Hi Tip what would it take for it to be all snow for Nova Scotia more of a east track?. Just trying to learn. This system dynamics are very different and the rain/snow can be tricky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 That low is convectively or latent heat induced it seems. It could be correct...but it can be overdone on the NAm too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbear5 Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Big difference in my eyes this run was the location of the trough axis over Ontario. It was definitively shifted west by a noticeable margin, which reduced the confluence over the NW Atlantic allowing heights to rise and the s/w to tilt negative faster. if we got a combination the 00z NAM's depiction of that northern branch and the 18z's better southern branch we'd have something big... at least I'd think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 I like how the hi-res looks better. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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