RikC Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 10 minutes ago, Roger Smith said: At this point I think the most likely track is probably a lot closer than most models are showing to southern New England, and it may turn into a huge snowfall event. My reasoning is that indications are already showing up that cyclogenesis has started over the eastern GOMEX and both the northern and chasing energy centers will be drawn in at even faster rates than models are showing. This may explode a low near Hatteras rather than out to sea, and lead to a track straight up the Gulf Stream towards Cape Cod. The various model flirtations with extreme low pressure likely mean that this will deepen to the 950s as early as 3rd near Hatteras and the end result will be a widespread northeast U.S. blizzard. It will slide inland over Maine but highly occluded at that point, and end up in the western Gulf of St Lawrence. When will models show this evolution? Late 1st or early 2nd. This may resemble the Jan 1978 superstorm on a track from east of Florida to Maine instead of Alabama to Lake Huron. I think there's too much energy stored up here, waiting to explode, for some of these OTS scenarios, and the SSTs are anomalously warm on the east coast. It will try to hug the coast long enough to force the flow around it rather than pushing it along. I'm voting for this... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheBudMan Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 I would have thought that, too....I apologize, Don...I was just pissed. Honestly not directed at you. My fault.This is all my fault. I was inspired by Jerry and decided to have whiskey with the Euro. Best choice I had was Gentleman Jack and that clearly put a whammy on the 0Z Euro. All will be right with the world at 12Z ! . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 23 minutes ago, weathafella said: At least the Crown Royal is top notch. This Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yeah, I'm pretty sure Norfolk, VA would do the same or worse than E MA anywhere in this setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 4 minutes ago, RikC said: I'm voting for this... RikC!! Reunion of the old old guard from irc. We need Logan11! Sadly, scottne has left this earth.... Happy New Year Eric! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 1 minute ago, weathafella said: RikC!! Reunion of the old old guard from irc. We need Logan11! Sadly, scottne has left this earth.... Happy New Year Eric! Rick is fine and i post with him daily.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enigma Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: RikC!! Reunion of the old old guard from irc. We need Logan11! Sadly, scottne has left this earth.... Happy New Year Eric! mIRC was the best! Hard to believe that was 18 years ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Lol.... the australian model is a BECS. Of course a terrible model shows it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: Rick is fine and i post with him daily.......... Yea, he's on my fb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enigma Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Just now, Thunderblizzard said: Lol.... the australian model is a BECS. Of course a terrible model shows it. Post or it never happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RikC Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 5 minutes ago, weathafella said: RikC!! Reunion of the old old guard from irc. We need Logan11! Happy New Year Eric! .. back at ya... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 1 minute ago, Enigma said: Post or it never happened. No precip maps, but... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Dryslot what happend with the evolution of this terd. Say it was the "kicker " Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, he's on my fb. Yeah, He's all good, Rick is Rick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 I think I’m selling on 952 on the bm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 1 minute ago, Thunderblizzard said: No precip maps, but... yep, that would get 'er done, mate! That would flip our muthafuc*kn' world down under!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enigma Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Australian probably phases and never has double barrel look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Did the navgem go se at 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Just now, Enigma said: Australian probably phases and never has double barrel look. Agree. The double-barrel crap is killing it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Did the navgem go se at 0z Whiff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 EPS individual members will be nice to see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: EPS individual members will be nice to see Waiting on it.....rolling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Whiff. When that is nw of gfs on coastals, some say that means gfs is on a island w se bias Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: When that is nw of gfs on coastals, some say that means gfs is on a island w se bias It was a near miss...brushed se areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: It was a near miss...brushed se areas. It was slightly better vs 18z but far from yesterday’s monster hits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Dryslot what happend with the evolution of this terd. Say it was the "kicker " Have not looked at anything tonight, Was out at a party and on mobile, But i would say the Northern stream vortmax probably looked like crap this run for this to be further east and flat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: Have not looked at anything tonight, Was out at a party and on mobile, But i would say the Northern stream vortmax probably looked like crap this run for this to be further east and flat. N stream was less aggressive, and trough was a bit east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 EPS QPF is much more generous vs euro op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 5 minutes ago, weathafella said: EPS QPF is much more generous vs euro op. When do we start giving the op solutions more weight than ensembles? I feel like that has to start in the next cycle no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.