CoastalWx Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: METAR KBOS 132300Z 06047G62KT 0SM +TSSN BLSN OVC/// M01/M01 A2916 RMK R04RVR06-V06 TB50 SW MOVG N OCNL LTGIC DRFTG SNW PK WND 0670/33 PRESFR SNOINCR 3/10/11 SLP875 P0028 T10061006 I mean look at that lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 4 minutes ago, FRWEATHA said: Thank social media. Anyway, any last minute changes to the r/s line? I don’t think so. If anything it may be a wetter snow to start, but I think you’regood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I don’t think so. If anything it may be a wetter snow to start, but I think you’regood. Congrats on the new HRRR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Just looking at mesoscale analysis, Model trends,current radar, current observations, i beleive there is a high bust potential on the low side for the eastern Delmarva. Salisbury area,etc and a few other spots may be into the ridiculous rates for several hours tonite, and i see a legit chance for a few spots there to pop 20 inches in a small area just off ocean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 22 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I hate that term bomb cyclone. Does everything have to get absurd these days? The media fears the public wouldn't understand the term "bombogenesis". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 50 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Ya , i mean 952 off hatteras Is an exclamation point on that. When mid levels rapidly explode and close off 500 miles SE of D.C ....its a flag for That ( i have thought) But you did mention last nite there was a signal for banding up to 6 hrs in NE MA/SE NH Yeah, I think 6 would be about the max anyone should be expecting. Which is why we aren't seeing through the roof snowfall forecasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 1 minute ago, 78Blizzard said: The media fears the public wouldn't understand the term "bombogenesis". I mean bomb cyclone is a defined term in the AMS glossary, but I just don't think it rolls off the tongue well. I prefer just to say a bombing low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Yeah, I think 6 would be about the max anyone should be expecting. Which is why we aren't seeing through the roof snowfall forecasts. Conceivably, someone can get 15 inches in these 6 hours and maybe 4 the rest of the storm. 19 inches ain’t hay! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Interested in Euro guidance Beginning to roll Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 53 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: The sheer size of that thing was ridiculous...it literally had a WAA thump like 800 miles out ahead of it...we were getting S+ on a WAA thump while Atlanta was getting a CCB. A true triple phasing hemispheric monster...special kind of event that doesn't really follow the rules of 95% of our storms. Our WAA thump was basically coming from the Caribbean. the amazing thing about the superstorm.....I was in ottawa on the western fringes and i do mean fringe...when the snow started it was a WALL of snow. snowed 20 inches in 10 hours.... that was on the EDGE of the storm hundreds of miles away from the center. never have i seen it snow and blow so hard in ottawa (there is no water or lake enhancement there). total anomaly, death band wasnt really a band, but more like just death....lol. but i dont have the knowledge and understanding to wrap my head around it like yourself... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: Conceivably, someone can get 15 inches in these 6 hours and maybe 4 the rest of the storm. 19 inches ain’t hay! Some will pull 20" imo....scooter and maybe near Kevin or ORH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 I do hate myself for waiting up for the euro. Why not I guess? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Conceivably, someone can get 15 inches in these 6 hours and maybe 4 the rest of the storm. 19 inches ain’t hay! Of course not. But the tendency is for continually pushing the totals up, up, and up. If this was going to town south of LI, I would be on board with 20+, but this is just too far south to be super confident in that right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbear5 Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Can't see vs 12z guidance, but heights along the EC are much better on the Euro at initializtation than yesterday's 00z 24-hr forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 1 minute ago, Organizing Low said: the amazing thing about the superstorm.....I was in ottawa on the western fringes and i do mean fringe...when the snow started it was a WALL of snow. snowed 20 inches in 10 hours.... that was on the EDGE of the storm hundreds of miles away from the center. never have i seen it snow and blow so hard in ottawa. total anomaly, death band wasnt really a band, but more like just death....lol. but i dont have the knowledge and understanding to wrap my head around it like yourself... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Some will pull 20" imo....scooter and maybe near Kevin or ORH. I do think it will happen, I just don't have any confidence in where that will be at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Just now, CT Rain said: I do hate myself for waiting up for the euro. Why not I guess? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Interested in Euro guidance Beginning to roll Looks to be west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 1 minute ago, OceanStWx said: Of course not. But the tendency is for continually pushing the totals up, up, and up. If this was going to town south of LI, I would be on board with 20+, but this is just too far south to be super confident in that right now. If there was a system to pull it off, it would be this one....but agreed, can't forecast over 20". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Just now, OceanStWx said: What else is new. now let’s hope Kevin is sucking exhaust while I rip dendrites. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Euro is juicy. It has come west every single run for like 8 in a row now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Euro juiced up a lot back here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JKEisMan Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 1 minute ago, CT Rain said: What else is new. now let’s hope Kevin is sucking exhaust while I rip dendrites. Spreading that a little further west would also be appreciated! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 A little slower? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 More expansive but not a huge change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 1 minute ago, CT Rain said: Euro is juicy. It has come west every single run for like 8 in a row now? I wonder if it just is behind the curve on the whole setup...it seems after 12-18 hours n every run it tries to drag the thing northeast along that finger of lower pressures...but then as it gets to the next cyle, it maintains the main low longer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 4 minutes ago, CT Rain said: What else is new. now let’s hope Kevin is sucking exhaust while I rip dendrites. HRRR actually really liked his spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Euro is juicy. It has come west every single run for like 8 in a row now? It ticked east once. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Just now, OceanStWx said: HRRR actually really liked his spot. How was that here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: How was that here? Still snowing when it cuts out, but a large area of 8-10 lollis of 12 starting to show up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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