tomcatct Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 10 minutes ago, CT Rain said: The GFS banding sig for mid level stuff is really far west... like into W CT/E NY. The ECMWF has been quite a bit east of that. Just interesting. No complaints here Ryan...and a late congrats for taking over for Brad..he was a class act! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 14 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: Heavy rates should flash it to snow..but still concerning being right on the line. High stakes We may need to drink together Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 8 minutes ago, Hoth said: Tippy posted a link a few pages back with the wind field. Looked like two with the eastern being the stronger entity. Has induced neurosis in this weenie for sure. well .. i wasn't making a statement with it i just thought it was an interesting if not mesmerizing product to look at... I'm not sure what that's really from - so don't quote me on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: FINAL CALL: http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2018/01/blizzard-of-2018-final-call.html Nice work RAY. This storm is Quite the challenge I believe the euro Could Blink west tonite I cant recall ensembles with this much spread at 24-36hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: FINAL CALL: http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2018/01/blizzard-of-2018-final-call.html Ray it's kind of comical but you have the 12-20" line a nd the 10-16" line disecting Wilmington. Litterally. Not sure you did that consciously or not. We'll see what the banding actually truely does in the end. I think we do just fine in the end. Good luck and Enjoy the storm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Wierd when a progressive model that was east for 28 runs is now the furthest west with mid level fronto banding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBinStoughton Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 10 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: FINAL CALL: http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2018/01/blizzard-of-2018-final-call.html CF gold FTW. Love it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, Greg said: Ray it's kind of comical but you have the 12-20" line a nd the 10-16" line disecting Wilmington. Litterally. Not sure you did that consciously or not. We'll see whqt the banding actually truely does in the end. I think we do just fine in the end. Good luck and Enjoy the storm! I thought about that lol....was waiting for someone to call me on it, but just called it as I saw it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Wierd when a progressive model that was east for 28 runs is now the furthest west with mid level fronto banding. Which are you referring to?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Wierd when a progressive model that was east for 28 runs is now the furthest west with mid level fronto banding. You dont say That is Why i believe there is solid chance Euro Shifts west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 NCEP guidance has been trash....don't trust them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Just now, WintersComing said: Which are you referring to? . The GFS I'd assume. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 14 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: FINAL CALL: http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2018/01/blizzard-of-2018-final-call.html Ray going all out, I like your thinking, hope you're spot on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Wow the latest HRDPS (Hi-res Canadian) Is pretty. How accurate is that new model? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Tail end of the HRRR with some 50 knot gusts for Scooter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNurse Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 23 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Lol I am not surprised. You can come cross country ski, sled or snowmobile in my woods with temps in the above zero teens versus minus zero teens. My woods are better!! And I know your woods....grew up in SE CT!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: Tail end of the HRRR with some 50 knot gusts for Scooter. Hopefully it's in the 20s by then. I don't need any power issues. I have chaos in this house with illness all over...lol. I just want a good snow event to keep my sanity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 If you can wrap your head around the 0z UKMET, It looks like its west of 12z, But pretty tough to tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 OZ HDRPS looks pretty tucked in and sharing the wealth further west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 7 minutes ago, WintersComing said: Which are you referring to? . GFS. Agree with N Pike, euro should come west a bit. I need to stop looking at the nam, it gives me seizures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 23 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: FINAL CALL: http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2018/01/blizzard-of-2018-final-call.html Your 12-20" call for us will easily challenge January 2016 storm as my greatest single storm snowfall total. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 i like Ray's call, hard to say if that is the final outcome, it nudges slightly west or slightly east, only time will tell. if you ask me as a pattern/model peruser (and not analyzer)...eliminating the noise, you won't get a better shot at more severe winter weather down in SE mass and metro boston , good luck enjoy the storm, look forward to radar posts, obs and pics Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, CTValleySnowMan said: OZ HDRPS looks pretty tucked in and sharing the wealth further west. Really resembles my final call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 6 minutes ago, CTValleySnowMan said: OZ HDRPS looks pretty tucked in and sharing the wealth further west. Looks great for CT on that...abd 948mb is just outrageous lol...I still have a hard time thinking that actually can happen here!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Really resembles my final call.I’ll take it!. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Models are now taking turns trying to impress each other. RGEM found the highest cliff and did a sextuple back flip. This 949 mb depiction at 24h has superstorm potential, wind impacts may have considerable public safety implications. Could see this setting up 3-5" an hour snowfall bands, only short duration prevents this from going to record totals, but even so some jackpots near 30" likely. Severe blowing and drifting and lethal cold during and after snowfall. I know you're ready but is New England ready? Would hope there's a total travel ban issued, almost any travel would probably be pointless and would lead to many people getting stranded, or worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 6 minutes ago, WxBlue said: Your 12-20" call for us will easily challenge January 2016 storm as my greatest single storm snowfall total. Wow. Congrats, dude! Heck of a way to christen your first NE winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 1 minute ago, Roger Smith said: Models are now taking turns trying to impress each other. RGEM found the highest cliff and did a sextuple back flip. This 949 mb depiction at 24h has superstorm potential, wind impacts may have considerable public safety implications. Could see this setting up 3-5" an hour snowfall bands, only short duration prevents this from going to record totals, but even so some jackpots near 30" likely. Severe blowing and drifting and lethal cold during and after snowfall. I know you're ready but is New England ready? Would hope there's a total travel ban issued, almost any travel would probably be pointless and would lead to many people getting stranded, or worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 With an “eye wall” like that it’s possible. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 15 minutes ago, weatherfreeeeak said: Wow the latest HRDPS (Hi-res Canadian) Is pretty. How accurate is that new model? It’s been around for years on meteocentre. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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