SouthCoastMA Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 0z GFS/RGEM kinda warm here. NAM is much better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNurse Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 I’ve got maybe 2 NNE peeps in these threads. Where are the fellow north country weenies? Everyone hoping to jack down south can please redirect to the whites? Seems reasonable. What can you do with it there besides turn on a snowblower and send your kid out to shovel! Let’s get the bulk of this north. Then we can dine on Hefeweizen and bbq and talk about how fun it was. Final call for 11” on my side of the valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 0z canadian just got a clue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 1 minute ago, JKEisMan said: Painfully annoying. Would love that band to set up 30-50 miles west. Alas, doesn’t seem to want to happen, as usual. Good to see another local, nice weenie spot up there....well, if climo comes back to climo that is and gives that area more goods than exhaust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Just now, SouthCoastMA said: 0z GFS/RGEM kinda warm here. NAM is much better. I think you'll be ok. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah the rgem was amazing. Euro was pretty sweet too. Anyways...it will be a fun storm regardless of where the bands set up. Beats 45F and partly cloudy. NB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 That awkward moment when it's January But there's a pseudo eyewall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 that's been the one defining characteristic in the models, is the lack of defining continuity. so far it's been a bigger monster for the models than any human being. ... pick a cycle, or a model ... different winners and losers with respect to either... the system, as modeled so far, is unique. it's really hyper concentric, and exceptionally concentrated close to core ... similar in a lot of ways like a hybrid storm... One thing that has stood out the whole way is the exceptional depth in pressure, which is really akin to just saying intensity. if not literally, ..symbolically it is as though this thing is too strong... It may not be physically possible to simultaneously maintain that sort of surface pressure and also have the mechanics to 'spread it's influence out' ... A slightly shallower surface pressure might actually spread this beast over a wider areas, as the total mechanics wouldn't be so centroid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Wow this storm has pummeled the deep south with snow and as the storm continues to bomb away the wind will start to ramp up even more, there are buoys gusting to 50 knots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Big jump west with CMC. Just crazy lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: I think you'll be ok. Heavy rates should flash it to snow..but still concerning being right on the line. High stakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 1 minute ago, Ericjcrash said: That awkward moment when it's January But there's a pseudo eyewall. Wish that was the dominant low. Lobe to its east appears to be taking over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, WeatherNurse said: I’ve got maybe 2 NNE peeps in these threads. Where are the fellow north country weenies? Everyone hoping to jack down south can please redirect to the whites? Seems reasonable. What can you do with it there besides turn on a snowblower and send your kid out to shovel! Let’s get the bulk of this north. Then we can dine on Hefeweizen and bbq and talk about how fun it was. Final call for 11” on my side of the valley. Lol I am not surprised. You can come cross country ski, sled or snowmobile in my woods with temps in the above zero teens versus minus zero teens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 No complaints here on any of these runs tonight, I'll nowcast to see where the bands setup in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 The GFS banding sig for mid level stuff is really far west... like into W CT/E NY. The ECMWF has been quite a bit east of that. Just interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 52 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: There's that dual structure everyone said was a model error I don't really see any observational evidence that there is a dual-low structure. Satellite presentation is a classic single low center. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JKEisMan Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 1 minute ago, CT Rain said: The GFS banding sig for mid level stuff is really far west... like into W CT/E NY. The ECMWF has been quite a bit east of that. Just interesting. Tossed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, Hoth said: Wish that was the dominant low. Lobe to its east appears to be taking over. I think its going to be... Just looked and is now the better looking of the two Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 The GGEM shows its colors, Its not good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, CT Rain said: The GFS banding sig for mid level stuff is really far west... like into W CT/E NY. The ECMWF has been quite a bit east of that. Just interesting. I wonder if it's one of those cases where they'll be a few bands of S or even briefly S+, but interspersed with light stuff? I kind of buy the potential that far west....but wonder if the moisture bomb east messes that up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 1 minute ago, OceanStWx said: I don't really see any observational evidence that there is a dual-low structure. Satellite presentation is a classic single low center. Me neither...but I figured I was missing something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Western low taking over https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-73.32,28.14,1721 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 FINAL CALL: http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2018/01/blizzard-of-2018-final-call.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: I don't really see any observational evidence that there is a dual-low structure. Satellite presentation is a classic single low center. Tippy posted a link a few pages back with the wind field. Looked like two with the eastern being the stronger entity. Has induced neurosis in this weenie for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 You could argue something maybe east of the main western low, closer to the WCB well to the east...but I don't know if it's really fighting much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 At what point does the banding take over wrt radar presentation Is there a WAA (thump) till say 1pm, then amounts become primarily banding dependent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 The short range models are coming in colder with the surface low over Cape Cod, cooling the air faster, and 925mb temps go above freezing just for an hour or two now instead of all morning, plus we bottomed out in temps at about 20F this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: FINAL CALL: http://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2018/01/blizzard-of-2018-final-call.html Looks good, hate the cut back here but that’s the play. GL up there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said: The short range models are coming in colder with the surface low over Cape Cod, cooling the air faster, and 925mb temps go above freezing just for an hour or two now instead of all morning, plus we bottomed out in temps at about 20F this evening. Hey buddy, GL. Winds will shake, good snows too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 3 minutes ago, Hoth said: Tippy posted a link a few pages back with the wind field. Looked like two with the eastern being the stronger entity. Has induced neurosis in this weenie for sure. As cool as those nullschool graphics look, it's just the GFS forecast surface winds turns into streamlines. Satellite presentation argues that the low should be sitting somewhere just north of buoy 41002. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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