NorEastermass128 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Will tblizz find a way to meh the latest RPM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Harvey still keeping his call from yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 21z RPM Thanks Will! We bang hard!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, CT Rain said: Seems like it's keying in on mid-level magic and some of the lowe level forcing over E MAss. Someone in a narrow zone will prob score pretty nicely...hard to say where they might be...might be two zones even. The MLs line up in E MA a bit better on the rpm vs a solution like those westward NAM runs...so they take advantage of both the MLs and some crazy LL stuff at the same time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: You Mentioned This a few Times What time is this suppose to occlude I'd say it begins to occlude once it reaches the Delmarva latitude give or take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 It’s so funny seeing everyone trying to find ways to jack their areas .. even mets. I love it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 NWSOKX said screw it, this doesn't look right... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
duncanwxnh Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Storms like this make forecasting in Concord, NH so much fun. Hmmm!! I doubt I will have any hair left at the end of the winter the way this event and others will likely go. Thanks for all the input and map posts. Let it snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Filthy...... http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/exper/?parms=continental-conus-14-96-1-100 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WthrJunkyME Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Can someone in the know explain why the NWS put out two different products? I kind of get they’re separate agencies within NWS. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 2 minutes ago, WthrJunkyME said: Can someone in the know explain why the NWS put out two different products? I kind of get they’re separate agencies within NWS. Thanks! It’s the same product, just splicing all the offices together in the larger one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, WthrJunkyME said: Can someone in the know explain why the NWS put out two different products? I kind of get they’re separate agencies within NWS. Thanks! Not sure about your question. I notice looking at the big map, the NH/MA border being the cutoff indicates some disagreement between GYX/BOX with BOX being more aggressive with the totals in that area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 28 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Tough call... a lot of what I see makes me want to go higher but the fast motion and the Euro still be a smidge east has me gun shy. I think your amounts right now are perfect! If some later info comes in that looks like it’s coming a bit closer/bands look to set up in certain areas... take em up a bit. I think 8 inches is a good call for my area...hope to get under a band if I could be so fortunate too lol, and get up closer to a foot here in Southington.. Nice discussion on air tonight to btw!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 2 minutes ago, bobbutts said: Not sure about your question. I notice looking at the big map, the NH/MA border being the cutoff indicates some disagreement between GYX/BOX with BOX being more aggressive with the totals in that area. It could also be the difference between 11 inches and 12 inches. Ranges can deceive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 6 minutes ago, WthrJunkyME said: Can someone in the know explain why the NWS put out two different products? I kind of get they’re separate agencies within NWS. Thanks! What's the question? One is a snapshot of the GYX area forecast and the other is a combination of all the NWS office. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNurse Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 35 minutes ago, SJonesWX said: WMUR Manchester going with 4-8” pretty much statewide in NH. Seems low to this weenie Agreed. My seat of the pants armchair observer intuition is going with 11” for my end of the MWV, more at wildcat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WthrJunkyME Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 2 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: It’s the same product, just splicing all the offices together in the larger one. Thanks for replying. The forecasted totals are clearly not in agreement in Maine. I’m not trying to be critical of it, I just find it curious that they’d be a bit off from each other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 That track nearly due north towards LI keeps happening closer and closer to the coast. 18z gfs run is pretty tucked in there through 18 hr. Loop the past 10 or so GFS runs at hr 18....Pretty obvious trend there, and we are now at a point where if this continues every little shift results in significantly more impacts for a lot more people...I wonder if this is what caused OKX to be more aggressive than most guidance... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WthrJunkyME Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 2 minutes ago, powderfreak said: What's the question? One is a snapshot of the GYX area forecast and the other is a combination of all the NWS office. Just that they don’t particularly match. I’m sounding nit picky and their certainly close enough, but just found it odd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Well, I don't know about y'all but I'm riding the 3k NAM into the sunset. If it wins, I crack some Trillium. If it fails, I blame regression and out comes the Turkey. Game on. Option B: take a shot every time Ryan's channel mentions the Snow Monster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 2 minutes ago, jbenedet said: That track nearly due north towards LI keeps happening closer and closer to the coast. 18z gfs run is pretty tucked in there through 18 hr. Loop the past 10 or so GFS runs at hr 18....Pretty obvious trend there, and we are now at a point where if this continues every little shift results in significantly more impacts for a lot more people...I wonder if this is what caused OKX to be more aggressive than most guidance... Nowcast looks like this may be what we need to do... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 It looks on satellite like that burgeoning competing low to the southeast of the main one has sort of washed out. Main low is getting going fast. This is sick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 You can see the low position, at the top of the comma. That’s tucked in there pretty good. I’m mobile so I can’t really compare to model position right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 12 minutes ago, WthrJunkyME said: Thanks for replying. The forecasted totals are clearly not in agreement in Maine. I’m not trying to be critical of it, I just find it curious that they’d be a bit off from each other. I guess I disagree, we look lock step with CAR and maybe the difference of an inch or two with BOX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Looking at the national radar it really does look like the precip shield is well inland and moving due north. Weenie hallucinations or more west than we thought? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizz Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, mahk_webstah said: Looking at the national radar it really does look like the precip shield is well inland and moving due north. Weenie hallucinations or more west than we thought? I think that is virga and most models take that in account. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 52 minutes ago, SJonesWX said: WMUR Manchester going with 4-8” pretty much statewide in NH. Seems low to this weenie Eh, I'd go 6-10'' east of the Cheshire/Hillsborough border and then 8-14'' for eastern Rockingham which isn't that much different from 4-8'' and 8-12''+. I don't think the WMUR crew gets enough love. They're really good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WthrJunkyME Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 5 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: I guess I disagree, we look lock step with CAR and maybe the difference of an inch or two with BOX. I think it’s me and the way it’s represented graphically. Anyway, carry on and thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 3 hours ago, dryslot said: I don't know why some on here are so obsessed about having or not having blizzard warnings, Its not like your getting more snow, Just more wind with blowing and drifting. A blizzard warning is weenie soothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 4, 2018 Author Share Posted January 4, 2018 2 hours ago, WxBlue said: Reports of 5-6" coming in from suburbs of Charleston (SC). This is hilarious because my wife and her gf are scheduled to cruise out of the port on Saturday. They're a bit nervous about how they will get there Saturday. 920AM flight out of Logan. They do have the flight booked through the cruise so that helps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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