RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 8 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: Really, I get stuck in an advisory?!?! I hope somehow I pull off a foot of snow out of this just so i can point this out....Lol See what moving just east of you to the next over does? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WthrJunkyME Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 3 minutes ago, dryslot said: Plan on 10-14" and possibly with some wind, Unless we can sit under a band, Your a little further NE then me and i'm thinking 12" here Thanks, Jeff, that’s reassuring. Going to be great to watch this play out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Can any mets, experienced hobbyists, weenies, anyone think of any sort of analog to this storm (as modelled...pick a model)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeathermanB Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Further west than models showed??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 28 minutes ago, weathafella said: Glad they’re killing it-really annoying model. Which model is getting killed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowHole413 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, bristolri_wx said: Which model is getting killed? Nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIstoneworkguy Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 I want you all to know I am digging my patio furniture out of storage specifically for snow photographs. I’m very surprised I haven’t been issued a Blizzard Warning yet, considering I can almost see Eastern Long Island from the shore here in Westerly. This is such a fascinating storm. Thanks for all the good information folks! Clarification: A Blizzard warning would help my case calling off some masonry I’m supposed to do tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Just now, Powderboy413 said: Poor James Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 8 minutes ago, nutmegfriar said: How rare for it would it be for Tolland and southeastern CT to fall under the same heavy banding? Would be awesome. Nemo did it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Just now, Damage In Tolland said: Would be awesome. Nemo did it Pivot point at Tolland isn't that unrealistic with this one given current guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 I don't know why some on here are so obsessed about having or not having blizzard warnings, Its not like your getting more snow, Just more wind with blowing and drifting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Well my area went from 3-6 inches to 10-14 inches by the NWS...guess they feel the storm is going to push the snow more west than previously thought. WE take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 3, 2018 Author Share Posted January 3, 2018 Just now, dryslot said: I don't know why some on here are so obsessed about having or not having blizzard warnings, Its not like your getting more snow, Just more wind with blowing and drifting. I still want mine! 1mi is not too much to ask from the NWS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: I don't know why some on here are so obsessed about having or not having blizzard warnings, Its not like your getting more snow, Just more wind with blowing and drifting. It's just the whole idea of the thing....you know...A Blizzard Warning Man...doesn't happen too often so it makes a Weenie feel good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said: I still want mine! 1mi is not too much to ask from the NWS. Do like Jay did, Your close to the WFO just go over there and demand one................ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 9 minutes ago, WeathermanB said: Further west than models showed??? Who posted something about 'hallucinations" posts about to emerge? GYX calling for 10-14" at Pit2. Only 40mph gusts. I thought they'd be stronger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Im going to savor my blizzard warning. Wish i could share Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Summary as we enter the 18z suite: Decent consensus of 12z Euro / 18z NAM / 12z GFS 18z 3k NAM / 6z 12k NAM seem to be most western outliers 0z / 6z / 12z RGEM / CMC consistently drier and eastern outliers, 0z + 12z RGEM most similar While steadiness of Euro makes me favor 12z Euro / 18z NAM / 12z GFS blend, I'm still nervous that chasing convection is confusing guidance and we go apesh*t 3k NAM-style on the one hand or Messenger-style shredded dry RGEM on the other. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 19 minutes ago, dendrite said: I mean...almost every model has the seclusion. It's not tropical. All of the hires models are sub 950 and the globals are 950s. I'm not questioning the pressures. I don't understand the warm seclusion physics leading to rapid intensification. This clearly isn't going through normal mid latitude cyclone/TC development. I did some quick reading up on it; but there doesn't seem to be any text book universal "model" for how these systems strengthen... Additionally this system continues to intensify long after H5 occlusion....What's driving that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 25 minutes ago, dryslot said: Just heard from Steve, (Ginx) He says they have issues at work with frozen sprinkler pipe and a big mess. He has a job? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarverWX Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 14 minutes ago, Powderboy413 said: Seems kinda weak in this area. But we shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Just now, Go Kart Mozart said: He has a job? Seriously? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 13 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Well my area went from 3-6 inches to 10-14 inches by the NWS...guess they feel the storm is going to push the snow more west than previously thought. WE take. Who knows? My take is if this doesn't remain a warm secluded (convoluted) beast, the SLP track should theoretically be 100+ miles further west--where the cold front and warm front intersects....But none of the current guidance is maintaining this look. Instead, guidance appears to be bouncing back and forth, from a warm seclusion to an amplifying wave that packs the thickness gradient.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: It's just the whole idea of the thing....you know...A Blizzard Warning Man...doesn't happen too often so it makes a Weenie feel good. Ya.....it was fun last year walking around downtown Boston by TD Garden in the blizzard last February......IIRC they hoisted the blizzy warning some time that morning as the thing really started cranking.......great scene...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 17 minutes ago, WeathermanB said: Further west than models showed??? By like 250 miles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Most uncertainty, for me, lies in Fairfield and Litchfield counties. I could see pulling that 4-6 east and south, at the same time i was debating 6-12 statewide. Confident in reaching those numbers central on east. For now will leave it as is. Hopefully I won't have to change it tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1804 snow hurricane was only 977Mb. 110mph gusts outer Cape. Warm seclusion = this sukas going to have an eye. Sharpen those GOES-16 links. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, JC-CT said: By like 250 miles You serious? sometimes I can’t tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 16 minutes ago, Powderboy413 said: On BOX they still have the 3am map showing the lower amounts.....where did you get this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.