mjd_tech Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Snow reported in Lynchburg VA. That's about 150 miles from the coast. Virginia Beach rains. Is this thing moving west? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 On 1/4/2018 at 1:15 AM, Baroclinic Zone said: I was 3-1/2. Interesting question. That was a Miller B. This storm is more of a hybrid so the comparisons end there. What 1978 did was get cutoff from the flow. Expand Yeah, different animal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 I do believe that there will be some small suprizes with this storm. Just not sure who exactly gets the primary "Death Band" if you will, but final track and wave action definatlely will be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 4, 2018 Author Share Posted January 4, 2018 Much better dead zone disco than last nights. Gearing up for a day at home working and watching the snow dump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBinStoughton Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 On 1/4/2018 at 1:18 AM, Baroclinic Zone said: The RPM would argue as much. Granted it's on it's own but we are entering the maturation process of this storm so we will see. I'm pretty curious to see how the 00z runs play out. It's a fascinating storm. Expand Where does one see the RPM? Did someone post it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 4, 2018 Author Share Posted January 4, 2018 On 1/4/2018 at 1:18 AM, OceanStWx said: Yeah, different animal. Expand I am by no means educated in any of this so if my posts don't make meteorological sense, call me out. I'm learning as I go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 4, 2018 Author Share Posted January 4, 2018 On 1/3/2018 at 11:13 PM, ORH_wxman said: 21z RPM Expand On 1/4/2018 at 1:21 AM, JBinStoughton said: Where does one see the RPM? Did someone post it? Expand It's available privately thru WSI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 On 1/4/2018 at 1:21 AM, JBinStoughton said: Where does one see the RPM? Did someone post it? Expand You’d like it-trust me. Posted a few pages back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 On 1/4/2018 at 1:18 AM, mjd_tech said: Snow reported in Lynchburg VA. That's about 150 miles from the coast. Virginia Beach rains. Is this thing moving west? Expand Yes. Nothing had that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 4, 2018 Author Share Posted January 4, 2018 On 1/4/2018 at 1:18 AM, OceanStWx said: Yeah, different animal. Expand Here's the 500mb evolution of 1978. A beauty. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 On 1/4/2018 at 1:22 AM, Baroclinic Zone said: I am by no means educated in any of this so if my posts don't make meteorological sense, call me out. I'm learning as I go. Expand You know your stuff and your level headed about it...That’s a big plus. I don’t know the complexity of met terms, it just makes sense in my head but I also can get too emotional....it’s a serious time consuming hobby where many hours are spent dodging ghosts while looking to mount the white unicorn. Stressful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 On 1/4/2018 at 1:26 AM, Baroclinic Zone said: Here's the 500mb evolution of 1978. A beauty. Expand What site is that? seen it before. i use psu ewall usually but I like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Greg Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 On 1/4/2018 at 1:26 AM, Baroclinic Zone said: Here's the 500mb evolution of 1978. A beauty. Expand Nice 30"-40", wasn't it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 In many ways, synoptic wise inclusive, combing a+b should result in =c. Think again. IMO we be in uncharted territory in ways one has to think of the results unfathomable, what curve in this event that can't be forecast. Uncharted Dark Territory! Models get one into the ballpark...5-6"/hr rates, gusts as high akin to a CAT3 hurricane. Possibly over-performing in what is forecasted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 4, 2018 Author Share Posted January 4, 2018 On 1/4/2018 at 1:30 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: What site is that? seen it before. i use psu ewall usually but I like this. Expand This is where I found it but I want to say it's the Kocin/Uccellini CD-ROM that it comes from. http://www.greatlakes.salsite.com/Phasing_Storms.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 4, 2018 Author Share Posted January 4, 2018 On 1/4/2018 at 1:31 AM, Greg said: Nice 30"-40", wasn't it. Expand I think I saw more than 40" where I lived in Foxboro. You can ask hubbdave. Don't want to side-track too much. SREFs should be out and the 00z NAM should be running now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 On 1/4/2018 at 1:25 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Yes. Nothing had that. Expand We'll find a new route for it to scoot south of GC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 I don't see any surprises at the moment. Seems like track is more or less in place. Question of how far west the goodies get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 On 1/4/2018 at 1:25 AM, Damage In Tolland said: Yes. Nothing had that. Expand Whether it did or didn't, the NAM is showing it now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 HRRR looks like it would make the Cape and SE Mass crowd happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 0z Nam looks a couple ticks west of the 18z run early on down south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 One thing the 0z suite might clarify: for the RGEM so consistently dry on its own, this will either be a crowning storm or an epic fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 On 1/4/2018 at 1:46 AM, moneypitmike said: Whether it did or didn't, the NAM is showing it now. Expand There’s several inches of snow sw of Raleigh. Even Raleigh wx down there admitted things are verifying quite a bit farther west than he thought. Not sure what if anything it means up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Nam way west at hr 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 That's some consistency in the last 3 SREF runs (mean QPF) for Hartford. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Im waiting for the cyclonic loop east of hatteras and 2' somewhere in bumpkin nc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 NAM west thru 12hrs compared to 18z runDid some wobbling (looked east at 6hrs), convection playing havoc but this seems to want to consolidate west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 On 1/4/2018 at 1:52 AM, ineedsnow said: Nam way west at hr 11 Expand Lemme guess west early, east late Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Also, about 10+ mb deeper at 12hrs compared to earlier runs... so impressive if this continues to intensify thereafter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ariof Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 On 1/4/2018 at 1:54 AM, wxsniss said: NAM west thru 12hrs compared to 18z run Did some wobbling (looked east at 6hrs), convection playing havoc but this seems to want to consolidate west Expand At 11Z Thursday it's west and 8 mb deeper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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