RikC Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 On 1/3/2018 at 10:44 AM, Baroclinic Zone said: Local Boston affiliates ABC/NBC/CBS all have max snowfall around and just South of Boston. General 10-15”+ from all 3. Ch 7 12-16” Ch 5 10-15” Ch 4 12”+ Expand NBC in Boston is now Ch 10; not 7 (which is independent) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Congrats Hippy for getting into a warning zone. What a thing of beauty seeing the blizzard warning from the MVY to NB. With the exception of Suffolk County which apparently is bothering Jay a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 On 1/3/2018 at 11:24 AM, WeathermanB said: NAM going with ridiculous snow total amounts for my area. Yeah right.Don’t discount it just yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 LOL at BOX's low-end map. It would be very funny if that's what ended up verifying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 On 1/3/2018 at 11:29 AM, WintersComing said: Don’t discount it just yet . Expand Some western revenge there lol we would take with open arms Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 3, 2018 Author Share Posted January 3, 2018 03z SREFs are pretty "juiced" NE DIPA style. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WthrJunkyME Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 On 1/3/2018 at 11:30 AM, moneypitmike said: LOL at BOX's low-end map. It would be very funny if that's what ended up verifying. Expand I bet some wouldn’t be laughing! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeathermanB Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Would be funny if the NAM verifies, textbook scenario when the biggest snow totals occur in a completely different location than forecasted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Johnno Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Wasn’t there a storm in January 2011, maybe 11-12th timeframe, where the nam led the way up to the event and ended up the winner? Blind squirrel type moment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 3, 2018 Author Share Posted January 3, 2018 Hi-Res RGEM spitting out 40mm. ~1.60" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WthrJunkyME Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 On 1/3/2018 at 11:35 AM, WeathermanB said: Would be funny if the NAM verifies, textbook scenario when the biggest snow totals occur in a completely different location than forecasted Expand I’m looking south on that map, places like inside the OBX. I just don’t see a foot and a half of snow there. Could verify, but I think many spots are ridiculous. They would be completely immobilized! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 On 1/3/2018 at 11:32 AM, Johnno said: Some western revenge there lol we would take with open arms No...I just think it all depends on where that deform band sets up. It certainly isn’t out of the realm of possibilities that it rotates into central or western ct or central mass etc.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 On 1/3/2018 at 11:39 AM, Baroclinic Zone said: Hi-Res RGEM spitting out 40mm. ~1.60" Expand Most approve!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 I think the Nam will certainly correct itself a bit but the meso models have been all over this thing much better in my opinion. Think the global s have been struggling to deal with all the convection down south . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WthrJunkyME Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 I’d imagine the wind is really going to toy with ratio numbers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 On 1/3/2018 at 11:43 AM, WintersComing said: I think the Nam will certainly correct itself a bit but the meso models have been all over this thing much better in my opinion. Think the global s have been struggling to deal with all the convection down south . Expand Since the euro is also a meso of sorts it should be the go to and that’s why it almost always is. I think you’ll be able to seal the 12z output today and mail it in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JKEisMan Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 On 1/3/2018 at 11:29 AM, WintersComing said: Don’t discount it just yet . Expand OKX seemed very careful to mention the 6z NAM in their early am discussion. Even seems they delayed their update some (relative to when watches/warnings were issued) to squeeze that one in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 On 1/3/2018 at 11:47 AM, weathafella said: Since the euro is also a meso of sorts it should be the go to and that’s why it almost always is. I think you’ll be able to seal the 12z output today and mail it in.Agree....if things aren’t in better agreement by 12z....well forkit who knows lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WthrJunkyME Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 On 1/3/2018 at 11:47 AM, weathafella said: Since the euro is also a meso of sorts it should be the go to and that’s why it almost always is. I think you’ll be able to seal the 12z output today and mail it in. Expand Well, it better be good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 On 1/3/2018 at 11:24 AM, WeathermanB said: NAM going with ridiculous snow total amounts for my area. Yeah right. Expand New York crew I'm sure will be riding that like Secretariat. We toss for now. Do still expect more ticks west today though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 On 1/3/2018 at 11:33 AM, Baroclinic Zone said: 03z SREFs are pretty "juiced" NE DIPA style. Expand A lot of those members seem to suggest that the northern stream impinges the height field out west. Even the ARW members that usually give Pfreak his fantasy feet. A flag, but not sure it's one I can take seriously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 3, 2018 Author Share Posted January 3, 2018 I like to see this graphic as well. Just for a select few cities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jlauderdal Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 once you have a true center to track you can really lock in, we go through this during every tropical system, trying to pinpoint tracks without a center and the models windshield wiper until they can initialize the center correctly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 On 1/3/2018 at 11:52 AM, Hoth said: New York crew I'm sure will be riding that like Secretariat. We toss for now. Due still expect more ticks west today though. Expand Hell yeah I am lol. But the RGEM and more so hi-res RGEM are pretty damn close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 On 1/3/2018 at 11:47 AM, weathafella said: Since the euro is also a meso of sorts it should be the go to and that’s why it almost always is. I think you’ll be able to seal the 12z output today and mail it in. Expand The euro is hydrostatic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 On 1/3/2018 at 11:39 AM, Johnno said: Wasn’t there a storm in January 2011, maybe 11-12th timeframe, where the nam led the way up to the event and ended up the winner? Blind squirrel type moment Expand I think that one was pretty well done on the globals. Maybe the 27th storm? I recall the globals struggling with that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 On 1/3/2018 at 5:03 AM, STILL N OF PIKE said: What is top analog for a storm coming out of bahamas and railing us @such a low pressure? Hurricane Carol (1954)!? Expand Was wondering the same. Part of why I was rubbing my eyes at first. It's not often we get a miller A originating in Bahamas that seems to occlude by NC/VA yet continues to deepen and jackpots SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Glad we finallly lost that TC look on last night’s euro. Confidence went up dramatically on a signficant snowfall for I95 region since 0z last night. EPS looked more robust as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Question for a Mod: With this approaching 100 pages, are you going to start a new thread to cover the remaining model runs before go-time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 How sick does this anomaly look! Gonna go boom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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