Sn0waddict Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Hi res NAM at hr 60 looks really nice, wish it went out a few more hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Lol. 948 way down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 On 1/2/2018 at 2:52 AM, weatherbear5 said: Big difference in my eyes this run was the location of the trough axis over Ontario. It was definitively shifted west by a noticeable margin, which reduced the confluence over the NW Atlantic allowing heights to rise and the s/w to tilt negative faster. if we got a combination the 00z NAM's depiction of that northern branch and the 18z's better southern branch we'd have something big... at least I'd think Expand Those were my exact thoughts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 On 1/2/2018 at 2:42 AM, ineedsnow said: Still a few inches though so not terrible Expand Yeah, there has been consistency with secondary maxes way W of SLP and a broad stroke of .25" qpf back to Albany, let's hope it continues. I assume most of us would be thrilled with 2-4" back here? Adjust up if necessary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 On 1/2/2018 at 2:52 AM, weatherbear5 said: Big difference in my eyes this run was the location of the trough axis over Ontario. It was definitively shifted west by a noticeable margin, which reduced the confluence over the NW Atlantic allowing heights to rise and the s/w to tilt negative faster. if we got a combination the 00z NAM's depiction of that northern branch and the 18z's better southern branch we'd have something big... at least I'd think Expand You is right, agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 On 1/2/2018 at 2:51 AM, InstantWeatherMaps said: Snowfall is decent but could be much better with that SLP strength. Expand That would be a nice refresh up this way. Cyclonic flow from ocean storm, going to be some orographic snows for sure... just hope it isn't too cold for some decent snow growth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 00Z RPM is epic again if any1 cares. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 On 1/2/2018 at 2:54 AM, Thunderblizzard said: I like how the hi-res looks better. Lol Expand Likely way overdone, unfortunately. Apparently, according to Levi (developer of TropicalTidbits), latent heat fluxes doesn't shut off even at high relative humidity. This lead to convective feedback issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 On 1/2/2018 at 2:52 AM, weatherbear5 said: Big difference in my eyes this run was the location of the trough axis over Ontario. It was definitively shifted west by a noticeable margin, which reduced the confluence over the NW Atlantic allowing heights to rise and the s/w to tilt negative faster. if we got a combination the 00z NAM's depiction of that northern branch and the 18z's better southern branch we'd have something big... at least I'd think Expand Agreed. 18z southern stream looked great, almost closed at 500mb. Combine that with the improvements in the northern stream at 00z and you'd have ignition. I am encouraged that the northern stream came in hot initially. That's a useful takeaway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 If it’s not one thing it’s another. One feature looks better... the other.. naso much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 On 1/2/2018 at 2:50 AM, dryslot said: If that southern stream s/w would have been better organized, This would have been a big hit for many as that northern stream s/w was much better then 18z. Expand Agree with you. We're not too far off from good totals from NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 On 1/2/2018 at 2:55 AM, The 4 Seasons said: 00Z RPM is epic again if any1 cares. Expand Really , interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 'Cane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 On 1/2/2018 at 2:56 AM, WxBlue said: Likely way overdone, unfortunately. Apparently, according to Levi (developer of TropicalTidbits), latent heat fluxes doesn't shut off even at high relative humidity. This lead to convective feedback issues. Expand Yeah good luck with that save in mid-September with '38 revisited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 On 1/2/2018 at 2:56 AM, WxBlue said: Likely way overdone, unfortunately. Apparently, according to Levi (developer of TropicalTidbits), latent heat fluxes doesn't shut off even at high relative humidity. This lead to convective feedback issues. Expand Yep, mostly eye-candy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 On 1/2/2018 at 2:55 AM, The 4 Seasons said: 00Z RPM is epic again if any1 cares. Expand Post por favor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 On 1/2/2018 at 2:51 AM, leo2000 said: Hi Tip what would it take for it to be all snow for Nova Scotia more of a east track?. Just trying to learn. This system dynamics are very different and the rain/snow can be tricky. You already answered your own question earlier. "Too much warm air. Rain for everyone. Next". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 On 1/2/2018 at 2:58 AM, WxBlue said: Agree with you. We're not too far off from good totals from NAM. Expand That would have been a powder keg run up here if that s/w down south stayed intact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Not a bad track, afterall. Toss the qpf it looks too swiss cheesey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 On 1/2/2018 at 2:55 AM, The 4 Seasons said: 00Z RPM is epic again if any1 cares. Expand Screeny please? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo2000 Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 On 1/2/2018 at 2:59 AM, Hazey said: You already answered your own question earlier. "Too much warm air. Rain for everyone. Next". Expand No I didn't that was an amateur's guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Maybe this model can score a coup for once. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 On 1/2/2018 at 2:58 AM, STILL N OF PIKE said: Really , interesting Expand Low is well east of 21Z but thats not saying a whole lot since it went over ack at 21Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 I like how it goes east, but throws an area of IP well west. Very cute. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoth Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 On 1/2/2018 at 3:04 AM, CoastalWx said: I like how it goes east, but throws an area of IP well west. Very cute. Expand Wet and wild night in Harwich, MA, USA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 FWIW...latest NAM QPF SOLD! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hazey Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 In my opinion the models are zeroing in on a track east of the bm and then crossing NS. Best snows de Maine and NB. You guys get a light to mod event west to east. I get snow to rain with high winds. Been thinking that for a while now. That's how it appears to me. See how it works out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 On 1/2/2018 at 3:04 AM, CoastalWx said: I like how it goes east, but throws an area of IP well west. Very cute. Expand Pellets for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 On 1/2/2018 at 3:10 AM, CT Rain said: Pellets for you Expand On 50 knotters. We peal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BRSno Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 NAM very GGEM-esque? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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