WintersComing Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 On 1/2/2018 at 1:31 AM, dendrite said: In the trashcan. Expand haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 On 1/2/2018 at 1:29 AM, weathafella said: FWIW ( not much )--21Z SREFs are more robust vs 15Z. Expand isn't this like the 5th sref run in a row that has increased? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 On 1/2/2018 at 1:29 AM, weathafella said: FWIW ( not much )--21Z SREFs are more robust vs 15Z. Expand If I can get what that's spitting, it's a huge win. Nice hit for all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 On 1/2/2018 at 1:21 AM, Chrisrotary12 said: I love how you guys have suddenly talked yourselves into the CMC being a good model. Expand Whatever it takes to bring the virtual snows down to the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Kidding aside...if they are west again that must mean the NMB members are starting to come on board because almost every ARW member was amped up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 2, 2018 Author Share Posted January 2, 2018 On 1/2/2018 at 1:29 AM, weathafella said: FWIW ( not much )--21Z SREFs are more robust vs 15Z. Expand Jerry, I want to see MOS start throwing out some big numbers again at 00z. 4s, 6s and 8s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 On 1/2/2018 at 1:32 AM, mahk_webstah said: isn't this like the 5th sref run in a row that has increased? Expand Yea but it always is. Once in a while it scores one for the road team though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 2, 2018 Author Share Posted January 2, 2018 On 1/2/2018 at 1:31 AM, dendrite said: In the trashcan. Expand Yeah, not even worth recycling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Briefly....what are the SREF's? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 One member gives me 40 inches.. Ill lock that in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunderblizzard Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 On 1/2/2018 at 1:33 AM, dendrite said: Kidding aside...if they are west again that must mean the NMB members are starting to come on board because almost every ARW member was amped up. Expand Seems like the really west ARWs calmed down a little and the NMB got a lot more hits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 On 1/2/2018 at 1:35 AM, WintersComing said: Briefly....what are the SREF's? Expand http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/SREF21PRSNE_21z/srefloop.html#picture Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 On 1/2/2018 at 1:37 AM, HoarfrostHubb said: http://mp1.met.psu.edu/~fxg1/SREF21PRSNE_21z/srefloop.html#picture Expand TY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 On 1/2/2018 at 1:31 AM, dendrite said: In the trashcan. Expand C'mon now... its not that bad . You are blending in two extremes...the ARW which are amp crazy and the NMM camp which are always so suppressed. I mean, look at this consistency from the latest run. You have the ARW runs bringing 1"+ QPF as far west as BTV and the one on the left even has 1.5" QPF in Syracuse. Then the NMM runs bring it back to earth. Just blend these two camps and you have the SREFS! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 The mean plume for ORH is close to 15” We toss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 On 1/2/2018 at 1:33 AM, dendrite said: Kidding aside...if they are west again that must mean the NMB members are starting to come on board because almost every ARW member was amped up. Expand Removing ARW members, the mean QPF of NMB members still increased. 0.52" to 0.64" for PSM. 0.68" to 0.85" for BOS. 0.45" to 0.62" for PWM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 2, 2018 Author Share Posted January 2, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 On 1/2/2018 at 1:27 AM, klw said: One factor to remember with this and all other storms this season is that this is my winter and everyone else is just living in it. All the snow stolen over the past decade is being returned, all the whiffs and underperformers of yore are all being whiped clean. It is my season and all of the snow shall be mine. All the clippers over perform, the coastals give me a deform band, te cold is unrelenting, the cutters slide trend south, and the pack grows evermore! I am only half joking. Question: why is no one talking about the Swiss model any more? Expand Welcome to the forum! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 On 1/2/2018 at 1:34 AM, Baroclinic Zone said: Jerry, I want to see MOS start throwing out some big numbers again at 00z. 4s, 6s and 8s Expand 12z MEX had me 4+1 so if the trend is real, that seems like a given. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 4+8 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 On 1/2/2018 at 1:39 AM, powderfreak said: C'mon now... its not that bad . You are blending in two extremes...the ARW which are amp crazy and the NMM camp which are always so suppressed. I mean, look at this consistency from the latest run. You have the ARW runs bringing 1"+ QPF as far west as BTV and the one on the left even has 1.5" QPF in Syracuse. Then the NMM runs bring it back to earth. Just blend these two camps and you have the SREFS! Expand Western weenies are going to need to start seeing some bigger movement. Having the CMC, RPM, and SREFs on your team is like trying to win the super bowl with the Browns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Nam just started... Hoping for a west trend with 0z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 On 1/2/2018 at 1:44 AM, dryslot said: 4+8 here Expand Jeff-you may be in a good spot for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 On 1/2/2018 at 1:44 AM, dryslot said: 4+8 here Expand 4+1 or 2+1 depending if I go with ORH or FIT blah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 On 1/2/2018 at 1:46 AM, weathafella said: Jeff-you may be in a good spot for this one. Expand We will see Jerry, I don't need this to go very far west to get the goods, Right now it looks to be a moderate event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 On 1/2/2018 at 1:47 AM, HoarfrostHubb said: 4+1 or 2+1 depending if I go with ORH or FIT blah Expand You're going to need more help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 On 1/2/2018 at 1:45 AM, dendrite said: Western weenies are going to need to start seeing some bigger movement. Having the CMC, RPM, and SREFs on your team is like trying to win the super bowl with the Browns. Expand Or with Nick Foles? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 On 1/2/2018 at 1:09 AM, STILL N OF PIKE said: This is a High intensity cyclone Expand Not down there On 1/2/2018 at 1:14 AM, powderfreak said: Honestly don't remember that storm... but yeah ocean storms can have incredible imagery. Like I said, regardless of track it will look like a beaut. Expand Messenger and I were the only ones that hadn't given up tracking it. Him because of his location and me because I'm a weenie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 Harvey’s twitter suggest a strong chance of plowable or higher in eastern MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 2, 2018 Share Posted January 2, 2018 On 1/2/2018 at 1:45 AM, dendrite said: Western weenies are going to need to start seeing some bigger movement. Having the CMC, RPM, and SREFs on your team is like trying to win the super bowl with the Browns. Expand Oh this was over a long time ago, IMO. Most knew the western half of New England was a long shot for good advisory and warning snows...the Eastern sections are always weary of it, just like western sections are weary of the eastern tracks. But this has had eastern New England written on it for days. I've been on the BOS train with this storm for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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