peribonca Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 18z Nam west of 12z Nam/gfs already at 34h Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Just now, Interstate said: The Panic Room is going to be hopping soon. Good news is, our expectations are 0.0". Any accumulating snow is a win here. Just 2 days ago models depicted it as going out towards Bermuda. We'll get our fair share of snow, and from the looks of it, we are entering (after next week) a better period for snow with less frigid temps like we've so far experienced. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 3 minutes ago, Interstate said: The Panic Room is going to be hopping soon. Nothing for me to panic about, I got 2.5 inches of snow on the month and shweet cool refreshing weather. Nothing but supremely happy. By the way, What is panic? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Just now, Jebman said: Nothing for me to panic about, I got 2.5 inches of snow on the month and shweet cool refreshing weather. Nothing but supremely happy. By the way, What is panic? I think he meant "picnic" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 whats our main man DT saying now?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Just now, ryanconway63 said: whats our main man DT saying now?? Nothing yet. Probably still unconvinced. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 low forming just offshore of Miami on the 18z Nam at 57 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 14 minutes ago, Jebman said: Nothing for me to panic about, I got 2.5 inches of snow on the month and shweet cool refreshing weather. Nothing but supremely happy. By the way, What is panic? Mid-Atlantic Winter Weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 1 minute ago, Interstate said: Mid-Atlantic Winter Weather This time of year is blissful and cool. This is the best time of the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 4 minutes ago, ryanconway63 said: low forming just offshore of Miami on the 18z Nam at 57 Yep that low placement is west of 12z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Climate175 Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 This is chapped lips type weather lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 1 minute ago, Climate175 said: This is chapped lips type weather lol. Well we all now know how it feels to live in an average Minnesota winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Just now, Interstate said: Well we all now know how it feels to live in an average Minnesota winter. I guess that's better than feeling what it's like in an average Miami winter like we have the past 3 Decembers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Low right offshore Ft Lauderdale hr 63 NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Just now, Cobalt said: I guess that's better than feeling what it's like in an average Miami winter like we have the past 3 Decembers I think most... not everyone though... would rather have it warm unless it is going to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 3 minutes ago, Interstate said: Well we all now know how it feels to live in an average Minnesota winter. Accurate. Less old snow piles though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanconway63 Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 good snow northern florida, georgia and sc this run of the nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Climate175 Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Just now, Interstate said: I think most... not everyone though... would rather have it warm unless it is going to snow. I mean, it is kinda a waste of cold air if it won't be useful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 1 minute ago, Climate175 said: I mean, it is kinda a waste of cold air if it won't be useful. It's useful to kill off the stink bugs and rats in the subways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 it is just the 84 NAM though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 It’s the NAM and call me crazy, but subtle differences noted on the evolution of the southern stream wave. More vigorous, slower to eject, neutral to even slow neg tilt trend toward hr 75, northern stream a bit further south/southwest. Surface low develops further west. Pieces of energy coming ashore now coming into play with respect to guidance. Not saying it’s gospel, but things are changing and evolving and each run getting more interesting from the MA to SNE. We are a long shot, but still 96 hours out and things can change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 500 closed off on the 18z NAM off the coast of GA/SC. It also has the double barrel low feature. Extrapolating the 84h NAM (lol) would be a good hit for the beaches I’d guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 4 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: It's useful to kill off the stink bugs and rats in the subways. And Bermuda grass. Cold air is never a waste. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Climate175 Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 6 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: It's useful to kill off the stink bugs and rats in the subways. True. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pasnownut Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 10 minutes ago, Interstate said: I think most... not everyone though... would rather have it warm unless it is going to snow. Uhh..... NO!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 3 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: And Bermuda grass. Cold air is never a waste. Cold air is never a waste, you're right. It's like too much of a good thing though, like no SE ridge. You need perfect balance. I'll of course take frigid temps over what we had last year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Climate175 Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 2 minutes ago, Cobalt said: Cold air is never a waste, you're right. It's like too much of a good thing though, like no SE ridge. You need perfect balance. I'll of course take frigid temps over what we had last year For sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 This week's event has all the earmarks of the worst case scenario we talked about when it first started showing up. Nothing but clouds west of the bay and a mod or sig event for NYC on up. Lol. I can help rooting for everyone to miss out... Not a big fan of the eps for the d8 event. Way too many soltuions that perfectly time precip onset happening after we lose the midlevels and surface. That would be the epitome of frustrating winter wx. Crap ton of spread on the evolution though so everything is on the table. Later in the period it really does remind me a bit of what we saw in 13-14. Pna/epo ridge and a +nao/war. Hopefully we can win a gradient battle or 2 if that's where we are going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Here's the money shot, if there is one, on the Nam. 700mb RH. It's 84 hours so use with caution, but it shows deep moisture headed towards us. If you put it in motion at the ncep site, it's even better looking. It's a shame TT doesn't have this on their site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted December 31, 2017 Share Posted December 31, 2017 Just got back home and had a chance to see the Euro. That secondary that tries to form to the west of the primary is in response to the product of the phasing we see with the Southern energy and the Northern energy + the energy trailing that (at this point the trailing energy has been so quick that it and the lead NS energy are virtually indistinguishable). Pretty sloppy phasing overall but again it is an improvement over previous runs and we see that reflected with an improvement on the surface. Seeing the response we get from this sloppy phase actually is quite encouraging for the possibilities if we get a clean phase or even two. My takeaway from this run is if we see even just one good and clean phase into that southern energy we are most definitely in the game. We would most likely either see the primary reform to the west as we now see it attempting to do, or more likely in my mind, we actually see the primary move directly up into roughly that spot from the south. Overall it was a good run to show the possibilities and actually shows another possible way we can score. This morning I had mentioned that we needed more separation with those two pieces of NS energy if we stood a chance (barring major changes to the overall setup). After seeing this run I think I have changed my mind. With just a partial injection of the trailing NS energy into the lead we saw a more potent piece of energy diving into the southern stream piece during the phasing and we saw the results. If we were to see a full injection of that trailing NS energy into the lead before the phase we would end up with quite a potent piece of energy dropping into the southern. Needless to say, that would be a good thing. Add in a clean phase to boot.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.