LurkerBoy Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 Looks like a two day thaw then a bigger one in the 11-15? Wonder if we'll touch 60. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
masomenos Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 If we had another week of this cold we'd probably start seeing major disruptions to shipping in the NY harbor. Pretty good icing just started reaching NY Bay this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 21 minutes ago, LurkerBoy said: Looks like a two day thaw then a bigger one in the 11-15? Wonder if we'll touch 60. I wouldn't be surprised to see a 60-65F day or two, the warm-ups often over perform. Snow cover will be gone by next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said: I wouldn't be surprised to see a 60-65F day or two, the warm-ups often over perform. Snow cover will be gone by next weekend. To me it’s looked less impressive with each run... remember when it was suppose to be 60 on xmas... 32 and snow lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said: I wouldn't be surprised to see a 60-65F day or two, the warm-ups often over perform. Snow cover will be gone by next weekend. No way is it hitting 60-65 stop wishcasting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 11 minutes ago, WeatherFeen2000 said: No way is it hitting 60-65 stop wishcasting agreed - in fact with how horrible the models have been in the longer range - beyond 3 - 5 days and other conflicting signals - it is still possible the anticipated warmup could be much shorter duration then anyone expects at this point...……………. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 6 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: agreed - in fact with how horrible the models have been in the longer range - beyond 3 - 5 days and other conflicting signals - it is still possible the anticipated warmup could be much shorter then anyone expects at this point...……………. The models last week only had us getting to around 40 degrees this week. That is going to be easily surpassed. Remember, the more extended warm up isn't forecast until mid to late month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 The bigger extended warmup for later in the month seems to be getting delayed. I see the models are now showing the week of the 15th being cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, bluewave said: The models last week only had us getting to around 40 degrees this week. That is going to be easily surpassed. Remember, the extended warm up isn't forecast until mid to late month. that's the problem right there - how can anyone predict for how long or how warm it will get that far down the road when trying to forecast beyond 3 -5 days is a challenge ? Also with how cold it has been and for how long just getting back to normal or a couple of degrees over would be considered a January thaw this season.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: that's the problem right there - how can anyone predict for how long or how warm it will get that far down the road when trying to forecast beyond 3 -5 days is a challenge ? Also with how cold it has been and for how long just getting back to normal or a couple of degrees over would be considered a January thaw this season.... I don't think anyone is putting exact numbers on a forecast that far out in time. But the bigger concern later this week will be temps reaching 50 degrees or higher with rain on this snowpack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 7 minutes ago, bluewave said: The models last week only had us getting to around 40 degrees this week. That is going to be easily surpassed. Remember, the more extended warm up isn't forecast until mid to late month. The EPS is showing some rather impressive warmth Thursday, Friday and into Saturday... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 36 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: To me it’s looked less impressive with each run... remember when it was suppose to be 60 on xmas... 32 and snow lol I hit 57F on the 23rd, not quite Christmas but it def got warm. I'm not sure if the 60-65F temps will happen this week, I'm thinking towards the end of the thaw however 55+ is definitely possible. Current forecast shows 54 for Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 2 minutes ago, snowman19 said: The EPS is showing some rather impressive warmth Thursday, Friday and into Saturday... Euro sucks now and don't ever trust a warm up with rain. Yes it may hit 50 I don't doubt it but it won't feel 50. Plus it' the Euro I don' trust this modem anymore. I thought you were done with the Euro you warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 The precip is looking less and less impressive tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 25 minutes ago, WeatherFeen2000 said: No way is it hitting 60-65 stop wishcasting It's pretty easy to hit 60F during a strong cutter, your snow pack and weeks of cold temps won't save you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 1 minute ago, WeatherFeen2000 said: Euro sucks now and don't ever trust a warm up with rain. Yes it may hit 50 I don't doubt it but it won't feel 50. Plus it' the Euro I don' trust this modem anymore. I thought you were done with the Euro you warm Lol you are something. Trusting the Euro for storms? Yea I’m done, it’s still ok for temp patterns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 13 minutes ago, bluewave said: I don't think anyone is putting exact numbers on a forecast that far out in time. But the bigger concern later this week will be temps reaching 50 degrees or higher with rain on this snowpack. also there are other concerns - with it being so cold for an extended period of time- if it does reach into the 50's later this week there will be a big problem on some roads with pot holes and also water main breaks and gas main breaks - a result of our aging infrastructure in addition with all the salt they have applied to the roads the last couple of weeks that just compounds the problem...…... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 7 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: also there are other concerns - with it being so cold for an extended period of time- if it does reach into the 50's later this week there will be a big problem on some roads with pot holes and also water main breaks and gas main breaks - a result of our aging infrastructure in addition with all the salt they have applied to the roads the last couple of weeks that just compounds the problem...…... Yeah there could be big flooding issues as well even into New England, the Canadian has a lot of rain and is even warmer than the gfs. Near 60F into SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 25 minutes ago, NEG NAO said: also there are other concerns - with it being so cold for an extended period of time- if it does reach into the 50's later this week there will be a big problem on some roads with pot holes and also water main breaks and gas main breaks - a result of our aging infrastructure in addition with all the salt they have applied to the roads the last couple of weeks that just compounds the problem...…... I was under the impression that potholes come about from frequent freezing and thawing. We’ve been below freezing this whole time so a single freeze could actually mitigate potholes. I could be wrong though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHERBUFF Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 53 minutes ago, bluewave said: The models last week only had us getting to around 40 degrees this week. That is going to be easily surpassed. Remember, the more extended warm up isn't forecast until mid to late month. Keeps getting pushed back! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 Tomorrow looks like it may remain at or below freezing extending the streak one more day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 it's going to get warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 6 hours ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: -14 at my House here in Vermont. 2 at home in wantagh. Both underproformed but still pretty solid Frg gpt to 1. I got to 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 A couple peoole i know in northern Nassau got to -4/-5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 This winter is reminding me of 95-96 to a smaller scale Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 Friday should be well into the 50s. Parts of the area could reach or exceed 60 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 36 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: Friday should be well into the 50s. Parts of the area could reach or exceed 60 degrees. It looks like the warmth will last into Saturday as well. 50’s all the way to the US/Canadian border Friday afternoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 1 hour ago, Stormlover74 said: The precip is looking less and less impressive tomorrow Dusting to an inch. Euro shows 2 inches for LI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 51 minutes ago, forkyfork said: it's going to get warm Then back to cold with a snowstorm chance at day 8 -9. CMC and gfs show that potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 7, 2018 Share Posted January 7, 2018 1 hour ago, WEATHERBUFF said: Keeps getting pushed back! Jan 2011 warm-up got pushed back till February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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