nesussxwx Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 3 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Might just be the northern stream forming something on its own. Who knows. It's very likely different from the model consensus, because a phase and track like that near the coast would be a 970s bomb. Agreed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 For reference on the Gefs, well west in group Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 11 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Might just be the northern stream forming something on its own. Who knows. It's very likely different from the model consensus, because a phase and track like that near the coast would be a 970s bomb. Personally, I think if we have a realistic shot, we need to forget the southern Stream, an amplified northern stream feature, and digging trough looks to be what could trend into our threat.. the GFS started towards a much less amplified SSW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 GEFS Ensemble Members. Decent lean west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Night and day from previous runs, easily best GEFS run yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nesussxwx Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 24 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Might just be the northern stream forming something on its own. Who knows. It's very likely different from the model consensus, because a phase and track like that near the coast would be a 970s bomb. Definitely northern stream on second glance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 1 minute ago, nesussxwx said: Definitely northern stream on second glance. Looks then like the southern stream gets so out ahead of the trough that the northern stream can spin something up on its own. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 33 minutes ago, jm1220 said: Might just be the northern stream forming something on its own. Who knows. It's very likely different from the model consensus, because a phase and track like that near the coast would be a 970s bomb. Absolutely. Its where we want to see the low but not the low we would see. It doesn’t make sense. Also that high position isn’t great, nothing keeping anything from escaping east. I agree with snowman for once it’s an arctic wave Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 6hr precip spread on UKIE would crush NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 4 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: 6hr precip spread on UKIE would crush NE Do you have the previous 2 frames? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 This is not done trending guys come on obviously it’s coming west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 4 minutes ago, ag3 said: Do you have the previous 2 frames? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Ok it's not a Miller b Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowLover22 Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 32 minutes ago, nesussxwx said: Definitely northern stream on second glance. I don't think its northern stream... but I could be wrong... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Our northern stream energy is really amplified compared to 12z, and the southern piece is held back, good signs for at least an improved run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Weaker Western Ridge also, so probably not our money run but looks improved Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Things really pump hr 96, ridge pops back to where we were at 12z both streams look stronger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Northern streams really digging hour 108... this will def be better than 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Energy wants to phase imo, it’s so close at 120 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 This was a much better run, a lot of good trends towards faster northern stream involvement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 North Carolina coasts snowing hr 132 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFeen2000 Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Billy, Trough is much sharper and it results a better run definitely almost there with the phase. Still out to sea but we are trending west low is 100 miles or so east of cape. 953 millibar storm that is beautiful Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ericjcrash Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 1 minute ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: This was a much better run, a lot of good trends towards faster northern stream involvement Sounds like it was better aloft, but nothing cooking on the surface? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 1 minute ago, Ericjcrash said: Sounds like it was better aloft, but nothing cooking on the surface? Scrapes by, but it’s a bomb... sub 960 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 953mb... wow... what a fish storm that would be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 EPS should be interesting tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Just now, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Scrapes by, but it’s a bomb... sub 960 We can work with that. Storm signal is still there that’s whats important right now. Having a sub 960 low just missing to the east would be painful though. It would drag down some ridiculously cold air Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Just now, LongBeachSurfFreak said: We can work with that. Storm signal is still there that’s whats important right now. Having a sub 960 low just missing to the east would be painful though. It would drag down some ridiculously cold air I think our shot is the northern stream... getting that to dig further south and be our main player Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Get the northern stream to dig in just a bit quicker and it's game on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfreeeeak Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 12z tomorrow should *hopefully* be fun. Interested to see tonight’s EPS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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