JERSEYSNOWROB Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 2 hours ago, The Plowsman said: Those aforementioned towns are clearly part of the North jersey crowd! Monmouth, Mercer, Middlesex counties define Central Jersey. I'm in Freehold - center of Monmouth. See attached! We should just go back to when it was east and west jersey!! Hahaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 2 hours ago, The Plowsman said: Those aforementioned towns are clearly part of the North jersey crowd! Monmouth, Mercer, Middlesex counties define Central Jersey. I'm in Freehold - center of Monmouth. See attached! Metuchen, Colonia, and Carteret are all Middlesex Co. Elizabeth is Union Co. In fact, we go by Mt Holly while Elizabeth is covered by Upton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 9 minutes ago, JERSEYSNOWROB said: We should just go back to when it was east and west jersey!! Hahaha Indeed! But no one in Metuchen or Colonia would say we are in North Jersey....I believe that Elizabeth is the traditional beginning ( though Elizabeth and Rahway maxed out on Boxing Day; Rahway is the next town over from me and there were storms like Feb 2006 where we had significantly less. Throw Edison in the mix too they would consider themselves CNJ as well, "crossroads of NJ" and all...Thing is, we don't get the same storm amounts as NNJ either. It really is kinda weird I think it has something to do with the geography of Raritan Bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 2 hours ago, The Plowsman said: Those aforementioned towns are clearly part of the North jersey crowd! Monmouth, Mercer, Middlesex counties define Central Jersey. I'm in Freehold - center of Monmouth. See attached! LOL if you are south of the Driscoll Bridge you're south to me....but yeah Monmouth really is central NJ, but so is the southern portion of Hunterdon and Somerset. Guess I'm an IMBY weenie at heart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 what exit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 Just now, Dan76 said: what exit 130 something..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 1 minute ago, Dan76 said: what exit 11 on NJTPK...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 Nam, GFS and CMC with some nice improvements tonight with wave 1 It's too early to give up on any of the waves . We have seen big shifts very close to an event this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 0z German is west 2+ for NYC with more in eastern SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 Outside of a light event, I don’t see how far we could shift in this range... imo, best shot is a deeper area of low pressure developing as our clipper pushes through, that second wave is far too progressive on all models, Euro was wayyy too amped and held back, and it corrected Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 7 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Outside of a light event, I don’t see how far we could shift in this range... imo, best shot is a deeper area of low pressure developing as our clipper pushes through, that second wave is far too progressive on all models, Euro was wayyy too amped and held back, and it corrected Agreed. There are major problems with the Tuesday - Thursday time frame, the flow is very flat and fast, the whole pattern is real progressive. The trough has a strong positive tilt and you have a major storm crashing into the +PNA ridge out west, deamplifying it and knocking it down. Aside from a very light clipper event I don’t see how that time frame produces anything more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 UKMET has snow at 72....can't see yet where its headed after that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB COLTS NECK NJ Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 35 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Agreed. There are major problems with the Tuesday - Thursday time frame, the flow is very flat and fast, the whole pattern is real progressive. The trough has a strong positive tilt and you have a major storm crashing into the +PNA ridge out west, deamplifying it and knocking it down. Aside from a very light clipper event I don’t see how that time frame produces anything more I just can't. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 GEFS also looks better than previous runs Great trends tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB COLTS NECK NJ Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 2 minutes ago, snowman19 said: Really? Like this weekend? The entire metro didn’t even see a pellet of sleet let alone a flake of snow. 60 degrees and driving rain yesterday. Epic fail. You and him thought it was going to snow lol Wait what ? i thought it was gona snow this past weekend? I will give you 5k right now if you find any post even alluding to that. I mean this seriously, I haven't come close to missing anything this year Go find the post , I will wait Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Plowsman Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 11 on NJTPK......I think his question was referring to the long running jersey joke! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 6 minutes ago, Snow88 said: GEFS also looks better than previous runs Great trends tonight New vs old Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 44 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: UKMET has snow at 72....can't see yet where its headed after that It has .40 for the area Very nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 46 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: UKMET has snow at 72....can't see yet where its headed after that Ukie drops a couple clipper inches, maybe a tad more for eastern sections with some enhancement over warmer waters...but the low we need from our digging trough is about 800 miles offshore lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 1 minute ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Ukie drops a couple clipper inches, maybe a tad more for eastern sections with some enhancement over warmer waters...but the low we need from our digging trough is about 800 miles offshore lol It's a low along the front + a clipper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 Just now, Snow88 said: It's a low along the front + a clipper. Extremely weak tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 Just now, UlsterCountySnowZ said: Extremely weak tho Right now it is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 2 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Right now it is It’s not even sub 1020, ukie has a long way to go, gfs looks better imo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 Euro shifted west and has a weak low near our area. Very nice trends tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 Euro has 1-2 inches for NYC 2-4 inches for areas west and east of NYC Several inches for SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SHELEG Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 2-4 inches for areas west and east of NYC West And East? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 14, 2018 Share Posted January 14, 2018 10 hours ago, The Plowsman said: 13 hours ago, weatherpruf said: 11 on NJTPK...... I think his question was referring to the long running jersey joke! I have no doubt....and that's how I respond I think being right on exit 11 is often being on the transition line with snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB COLTS NECK NJ Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 On 1/13/2018 at 11:34 PM, snowman19 said: Agreed. There are major problems with the Tuesday - Thursday time frame, the flow is very flat and fast, the whole pattern is real progressive. The trough has a strong positive tilt and you have a major storm crashing into the +PNA ridge out west, deamplifying it and knocking it down. Aside from a very light clipper event I don’t see how that time frame produces anything more Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 15, 2018 Share Posted January 15, 2018 15 minutes ago, PB COLTS NECK NJ said: Spiking the football before it happens. Anyway, here is the SREF greatest probability of seeing 4 or more inches of snow, nowhere near the metro area as you can see and even there, it’s a low probability. :-) This is a very minor system Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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