Enigma Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 0z Euro not as amped as 12z. EPS actually more impressive and shows a SECS for most posters in this subforum. H5 looks great on EPS with surface just not as organized. GEFS H5 looks better also but still unimpressive at surface, much like GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enigma Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 6z NAM seems to be heading towards Euro with sharper H5 trof heading SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 6 minutes ago, Enigma said: 6z NAM seems to be heading towards Euro with sharper H5 trof heading SE. One of the analogs showing up down in the SE is the Jan 2014 snow...the one which shut Atlanta down. I believe that system went on to miss us up this way passing SE of the benchmark Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enigma Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 6 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: One of the analogs showing up down in the SE is the Jan 2014 snow...the one which shut Atlanta down. I believe that system went on to miss us up this way passing SE of the benchmark Yep. I could see coastal SE having SECS event and N MA missing out while NE gets hit as SLP heads just east of BM. Potency of H5 energy and wavelength of trough still need to be ironed out. Euro with shorter WL forces amplification and less progressiveness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 8 hours ago, Enigma said: Yep. I could see coastal SE having SECS event and N MA missing out while NE gets hit as SLP heads just east of BM. Potency of H5 energy and wavelength of trough still need to be ironed out. Euro with shorter WL forces amplification and less progressiveness. What's with so many storms missing or giving the brunt SE and E of many of us? North Central NJ for example seems to struggle to be in the bullseye most of the with a few notable exceptions. I don't mind the 3-6 inch events, but we are way overdue for anything approaching a foot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Enigma Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 13 minutes ago, weatherpruf said: What's with so many storms missing or giving the brunt SE and E of many of us? North Central NJ for example seems to struggle to be in the bullseye most of the with a few notable exceptions. I don't mind the 3-6 inch events, but we are way overdue for anything approaching a foot. Overdue for a foot in CNJ? You should review your climo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 2 minutes ago, Enigma said: Overdue for a foot in CNJ? You should review your climo. That and the weather is indifferent to human desires. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 And the Euro caves to the other models again. Shocker. Way too overamped as usual yesterday. The beat goes on. Smh. Wtf happened to that model?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 22 minutes ago, snowman19 said: And the Euro caves to the other models again. Shocker. Way too overamped as usual yesterday. The beat goes on. Smh. Wtf happened to that model?? GFS is showing 1 to 2 inches with the clipper, and long range NAM looks like that as well. Hopefully we can pick up some light accumulations on tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 49 minutes ago, snowman19 said: And the Euro caves to the other models again. Shocker. Way too overamped as usual yesterday. The beat goes on. Smh. Wtf happened to that model?? The upgrade ruined this model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 1 hour ago, Wetbulbs88 said: That and the weather is indifferent to human desires. Really? i never would have guessed.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 1 hour ago, Enigma said: Overdue for a foot in CNJ? You should review your climo. Not in my area for the last winter at least. Of course we did have the Jan 2016 storm....but that's over two feet. Don't expect to see that very often.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 Not in my area for the last winter at least. Of course we did have the Jan 2016 storm....but that's over two feet. Don't expect to see that very often....We had a foot at MMU in mid-March. Are you nearby?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 1 hour ago, Snow88 said: The upgrade ruined this model It’s been relatively lousy now for 5-6 years in regards to blowing up systems. It’s been exacerbated by the fact we’ve had a few La Niñas in there where the GFS and Euro have generally always done better and worse respectively. Even back in the early to middle 2000s the GFS tended to perform better in La Niñas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 45 minutes ago, North and West said: We had a foot at MMU in mid-March. Are you nearby? . We had about 5-6, mostly sleet. Often we are too far north, too far south, or too far west for the best snows. But sometimes we get a big snow, we cashed in on Boxing Day by a few miles; we had the Jan 2011 event and the Jan 2016 events. Most other storms leave us shy of the bigger totals, not sure why. We were only a few miles from the best bands during the last storm, leaving the area with a general 6-8. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 1 hour ago, Snow88 said: The upgrade ruined this model Funny thing is the media is talking snow....these boards are always way ahead of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 Things look pretty bleak for winter lovers for the next 2-3 weeks. Looks very torchy next weekend and beyond. I have a feeling we'll hit 70F this month, it would've been easily accomplished yesterday if we had some sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 18 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Things look pretty bleak for winter lovers for the next 2-3 weeks. Looks very torchy next weekend and beyond. I have a feeling we'll hit 70F this month, it would've been easily accomplished yesterday if we had some sun. I’ve seen worse patterns. Nothing really locks in. It seems to be fluid where it’ll be warm then cold then warm then cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 12 minutes ago, SnowGoose69 said: I’ve seen worse patterns. Nothing really locks in. It seems to be fluid where it’ll be warm then cold then warm then cold The -AO helps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wetbulbs88 Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 Some mets have been saying that the models would lose this storm before bringing it back. But I'm not sure they meant all the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 18 minutes ago, Wetbulbs88 said: Some mets have been saying that the models would lose this storm before bringing it back. But I'm not sure they meant all the models. It's possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 18 minutes ago, Wetbulbs88 said: Some mets have been saying that the models would lose this storm before bringing it back. But I'm not sure they meant all the models. Unfortunately no, it may actually really be gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 51 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Things look pretty bleak for winter lovers for the next 2-3 weeks. Looks very torchy next weekend and beyond. I have a feeling we'll hit 70F this month, it would've been easily accomplished yesterday if we had some sun. You have been saying this since December . It still can snow in terrible patterns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 5 minutes ago, JetsPens87 said: Unfortunately no, it may actually really be gone. Too early to say this . Many people said the same thing with the last storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bigfoot Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 I think he meant this past storm...lol,it may be gone Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bigfoot Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 I can’t believe that nyc has more snow this year so far than Albany,Hate Dry Cold Winters! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JetsPens87 Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 25 minutes ago, Snow88 said: Too early to say this . Many people said the same thing with the last storm. That’s why I said “may” lol. If all models agree... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Plowsman Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 Not in my area for the last winter at least. Of course we did have the Jan 2016 storm....but that's over two feet. Don't expect to see that very often....CNJ had ...offically...16.5" on 1/4 storm!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 40 minutes ago, The Plowsman said: 3 hours ago, weatherpruf said: Not in my area for the last winter at least. Of course we did have the Jan 2016 storm....but that's over two feet. Don't expect to see that very often.... CNJ had ...offically...16.5" on 1/4 storm!! CNJ is a big area.....you can go see where RU in Metuchen measured 6.5 and RT in Carteret measured 7....officially Elizabeth had 8.5 but most would consider it to be NNJ but I'm south of there near SI. I remember being in Jackson 29 years ago teaching on my first job and the director said it was a typical CNJ town ( which wasn't true back then ) but what floored me was they considered Jackson CNJ...we always considered it southern....its an hour south of me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Plowsman Posted January 13, 2018 Share Posted January 13, 2018 CNJ is a big area.....you can go see where RU in Metuchen measured 6.5 and RT in Carteret measured 7....officially Elizabeth had 8.5 but most would consider it to be NNJ but I'm south of there near SI. I remember being in Jackson 29 years ago teaching on my first job and the director said it was a typical CNJ town ( which wasn't true back then ) but what floored me was they considered Jackson CNJ...we always considered it southern....its an hour south of meThose aforementioned towns are clearly part of the North jersey crowd! Monmouth, Mercer, Middlesex counties define Central Jersey. I'm in Freehold - center of Monmouth. See attached! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.