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January 2018 Model Discussion Thread


bluewave

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10 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

this map assumes its a 10:1 ratio - do the math if its 15:1 or 20:1 - that would equal MECS possibly HECS BUT PROCEED WITH CAUTION ITS THE CMC

gem_asnow_neus_16.png

I think it will end up as A scraper for most...however the canadians have been hot lately so this is encouraging. Granted a storm forming in the Bahamas not of tropical characteristics and impacting us is pretty ridiculous but with a bomb like this who knows. 

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4 minutes ago, UlsterCountySnowZ said:

Ukie would likely be a miss for everyone imo... outlier as of now, models are trending away from our double barrel UKIE trended towards it

The Ukie prob has a double-barreled/elongation look.   Post it when it comes out on Ryan Maue's site.

 

Post slp and precip

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1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said:

The CRAS was the first model to pick up on the boxing day blizzard, not the GFS.

Obviously not saying it will be right here but would be funny. That storm had a severely negative NAO.

The CRAS has a severe west bias so I'm not surprised it caught that event early.

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