AJF0602 Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Is this a deformation band setting up? The back edge stopped advancing we are getting absolutely ripped on right now jville. I just shoveled the sidewalk and in 15 minutes it already looked like I didn't shovel anything. Amazed at how hard its snowing right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 On 1/4/2018 at 4:41 AM, fountainguy97 said: That radar shows the center heading due north very different look than any HRRR run recently Expand Take a look at that Goes16 clip - it shows the center spinning and moving North North East. It could wobble some though of course. It does look a bit west of modeled though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountainguy97 Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 On 1/4/2018 at 4:46 AM, AJF0602 said: Is this a deformation band setting up? The back edge stopped advancing we are getting absolutely ripped on right now jville. I just shoveled the sidewalk and in 15 minutes it already looked like I didn't shovel anything. Amazed at how hard its snowing right now. Expand there is some backside enhancement right now. in an hour we could see a deform band intensify along the back edge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TARHEELPROGRAMMER88 Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Are we done here in ILM? It sure looks like it wants to build back in to our west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 On 1/4/2018 at 4:46 AM, AJF0602 said: Is this a deformation band setting up? The back edge stopped advancing we are getting absolutely ripped on right now jville. I just shoveled the sidewalk and in 15 minutes it already looked like I didn't shovel anything. Amazed at how hard its snowing right now. Expand You are near the yellow and orange returns on radar. If you are all snow, congratulations you just jackpotted! And yeah it does look like a deformation band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 HRRR predicting snowfall rates per hr.....gives me 2" per hr for 2-3 hrs starting in a couple hrs....hope its right https://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrr/HRRR/jsloopLocalDiskDateDomainZipTZA.cgi?dsKeys=hrrr_ncep_jet:&runTime=2018010403&plotName=1hsnw_t6sfc&fcstInc=60&numFcsts=49&model=hrrr&ptitle=HRRR Model Fields - Experimental&maxFcstLen=48&fcstStrLen=-1&resizePlot=1&domain=t6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mountain_Patch Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 My jealousy is growing rapidly for you guys from Greenville --> virginia beach but GSO dusting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 990 now. Still well south of Hatteras Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJF0602 Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 On 1/4/2018 at 5:06 AM, Jet Stream Rider said: You are near the yellow and orange returns on radar. If you are all snow, congratulations you just jackpotted! And yeah it does look like a deformation band. Expand Its all snow here almost white out, I just went and took a video I'll post it to obs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 4, 2018 Author Share Posted January 4, 2018 Fun storm to track. I know it was frustrating for a lot of us in the RDU area but we did end up with something (not as much as I was hoping when I started the thread...). I'm happy for our friends in the eastern part of NC. This is one hell of a storm for y'all. Y'all still a have a while to go and there should be some good totals. Enjoy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Havent measured anything yet but eyeballing the vehicles and other places the snow stuck the most and its probably 6-8" out there.....it was all powder and the wind is gusting 20-30 so its moving around still Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 On 1/4/2018 at 11:00 AM, downeastnc said: Havent measured anything yet but eyeballing the vehicles and other places the snow stuck the most and its probably 6-8" out there.....it was all powder and the wind is gusting 20-30 so its moving around still Nice! . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Well, 8-9" and one heckuva hangover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YetAnotherRDUGuy Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 On 1/4/2018 at 12:21 PM, tramadoc said: Well, 8-9" and one heckuva hangover. Expand Well that explains the doom and gloom posts from last night. Glad it worked out in the end. It must have piled up quickly! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PortsmouthWeather Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 I measured 10' a couple of hours ago, but its drifting and blowing everywhere. It is snowing again at a pretty good clip so I think we will end up with at least a foot by the time it stops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 On 1/4/2018 at 1:51 PM, PortsmouthWeather said: I measured 10' a couple of hours ago, but its drifting and blowing everywhere. It is snowing again at a pretty good clip so I think we will end up with at least a foot by the time it stops Expand 10 feet? That's biblical! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PortsmouthWeather Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 On 1/4/2018 at 2:14 PM, superjames1992 said: 10 feet? That's biblical! Expand LOL, I wish!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Coastal areas, and just inland did very well with this storm. Interior Piedmont paltry to none. I'm right on the dividing line Coastal plain and Piedmont and ended up right around 4-5 inches. Great storm to track and a great air mass to work with. Lets do it again! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 On 1/4/2018 at 1:15 PM, YetAnotherRDUGuy said: Well that explains the doom and gloom posts from last night. Glad it worked out in the end. It must have piled up quickly!Still snowing hard right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Wonder if we can make a run at sub zero temps Fri or Sat night with this deep snow cover.....it shouldnt melt much over the next few days...only the CMC suggest this is possible but most models has us 10 degrees to warm the last few nights before the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Looking at the GFS/Euro/NAM from 72 hours out...the NAM was by the closest with the SLP track. Not taking into account surface, just the track. What happened to the Euro, can we revert back to the old Euro. Here is what the Euro initialized the SLP for the 0z run this morning. Here is NAM/GFS/Euro from 0z Jan 1 model runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 On 1/4/2018 at 2:55 PM, downeastnc said: Wonder if we can make a run at sub zero temps Fri or Sat night with this deep snow cover.....it shouldnt melt much over the next few days...only the CMC suggest this is possible but most models has us 10 degrees to warm the last few nights before the storm. Expand I would say that subzero is maybe possible Saturday or even Sunday morning if snow cover remains but single digits are more likely. Edit: just checked our forecast and they have us going down to 5F Sunday morning so below zero is definitely possible for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 On 1/4/2018 at 4:02 PM, packbacker said: Looking at the GFS/Euro/NAM from 72 hours out...the NAM was by the closest with the SLP track. Not taking into account surface, just the track. What happened to the Euro, can we revert back to the old Euro. Here is what the Euro initialized the SLP for the 0z run this morning. Here is NAM/GFS/Euro from 0z Jan 1 model runs. Expand Euro ain’t what it used to be since the upgrade. It struggled mightily with this storm, as did the GFS, in not showing much qpf inland until about 24-30 hours out. Terrible performance by them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 Last year Raleigh had the over performing warm nose that flipped us to mostly rain...this year we had the snowhole. What will it be next... 3-6" just to our east, 3-6" just to our southwest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 On 1/4/2018 at 8:18 PM, packbacker said: Last year Raleigh had the over performing warm nose that flipped us to mostly rain...this year we had the snowhole. What will it be next... 3-6" just to our east, 3-6" just to our southwest. We definitely got more than what that map shows. Had another band of snow move through about an hour ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 On 1/4/2018 at 8:18 PM, packbacker said: Last year Raleigh had the over performing warm nose that flipped us to mostly rain...this year we had the snowhole. What will it be next... 3-6" just to our east, 3-6" just to our southwest. Expand Ive never seen a bigger screw job that watching radar last night before dinner I guess and snow circling Raleigh and then closing in. Craziest loop Ive ever seen in my life. Hopefully the tide will flip soon for you guys and for once you get an over perfomer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 I guess we will never just have a simple noreaster like we used to have. 21st century America is based on hype and it extends into all areas of life. This morning my barber who is a little old lady asked me about the "snow hurricane" that was moving up the coast. CNN's version "As the "bomb cyclone" ripped into the northeastern seaboard, pummeling New York City with snow and wind," ugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted January 4, 2018 Share Posted January 4, 2018 On 1/4/2018 at 10:24 PM, jburns said: I guess we will never just have a simple noreaster like we used to have. 21st century America is based on hype and it extends into all areas of life. This morning my barber who is a little old lady asked me about the "snow hurricane" that was moving up the coast. CNN's version "As the "bomb cyclone" ripped into the northeastern seaboard, pummeling New York City with snow and wind," ugh Expand lol that's CNN for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted January 5, 2018 Share Posted January 5, 2018 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted January 5, 2018 Share Posted January 5, 2018 NAM was much better on the slp track per reanalysis Check out @BMcNoldy’s Tweet: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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