packbacker Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, Cold Rain said: Maybe, but obsessing is more fun. Thanks for the tip, though. I vote for living and dying with each model run. It’s what we do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 HRRRRRRR is keying in on a south-north strip of heavy totals from Pamlico Sound into Tidewater. Not complaining, nearly s foot on the ground and some more to come at hr 18. Plus, that's in 10:1 ratio. Very happy after today's runs! AKQ went from 4-6" last night to 8-12" at noon update.Do you have the ability to post that HRRR run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteveVa Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, tramadoc said: 3 minutes ago, SteveVa said: HRRRRRRR is keying in on a south-north strip of heavy totals from Pamlico Sound into Tidewater. Not complaining, nearly s foot on the ground and some more to come at hr 18. Plus, that's in 10:1 ratio. Very happy after today's runs! AKQ went from 4-6" last night to 8-12" at noon update. Do you have the ability to post that HRRR run? Snow totals up thru 6am Thursday...some would say we're in a good spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Just now, tramadoc said: 3 minutes ago, SteveVa said: HRRRRRRR is keying in on a south-north strip of heavy totals from Pamlico Sound into Tidewater. Not complaining, nearly s foot on the ground and some more to come at hr 18. Plus, that's in 10:1 ratio. Very happy after today's runs! AKQ went from 4-6" last night to 8-12" at noon update. Do you have the ability to post that HRRR run? Yes I do, good sir. What would you like? Snowfall? Here's the 16z for comparison: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 It was a little bit of a shift west with the precip shield. But the SLP was shift was a little more noticeable. Maybe if the trend continues, the precip shield will reflect it in future runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Yes I do, good sir. What would you like? Snowfall? Here's the 16z for comparison:Extremely awesome of you sir. Uh.... That's one hell of an increase in an hour's time frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthWake33 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 32 minutes ago, PGAWx said: RAH upping totals a bit. I haven’t seen the update. What did they increase it to? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HKY_WX Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Frontogensis band setting up along the Gulf Stream at 18z. Going to be interesting to follow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mountain_Patch Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 2 minutes ago, SouthWake33 said: I haven’t seen the update. What did they increase it to? http://www.weather.gov/rah/winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 My wife is on her mail route in South Mills, NC (just south of Chesapeake, VA) and she has pingers and light snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 She's where those green dots are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 15 minutes ago, packbacker said: I vote for living and dying with each model run. It’s what we do. Dying over the model runs is even better than living Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GunBlade Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, griteater said: Dying over the model runs is even better than living if you're not dying you're not living... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PGAWx Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 This was the latest twitter post but it appears they've changed it back on their site since. For example Tarboro goes from 4-6 to just 4. Lillington from 1-2 to 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 6 minutes ago, HKY_WX said: Frontogensis band setting up along the Gulf Stream at 18z. Going to be interesting to follow... If I understand correctly, this would be the most likely path for a SLP to develop and travel along, correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 if you're not dying you're not living... George Strait said if you're not loving, you're not living. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tar Heel Snow Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Just now, PGAWx said: This was the latest twitter post but it appears they've changed it back on their site since. For example Tarboro goes from 4-6 to just 4. Lillington from 1-2 to 1. If you go to their site, they have different maps. Point maps (that might show 4) and range maps (4-6) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 2 minutes ago, snowlover91 said: If I understand correctly, this would be the most likely path for a SLP to develop and travel along, correct? Gulf stream at 60 miles off shore +/- ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tramadoc Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Gulf stream at 60 miles off shore +/- ?About 35 miles from Buxton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alhooks13 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 9 minutes ago, tramadoc said: My wife is on her mail route in South Mills, NC (just south of Chesapeake, VA) and she has pingers and light snow. Interesting. I'm on the OBX at Kitty Hawk and it is 45 with a few patches of blue sky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, tramadoc said: 4 minutes ago, frazdaddy said: Gulf stream at 60 miles off shore +/- ? About 35 miles from Buxton. I was thinking MHX, either way better than modeled I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CaryWx Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 15 minutes ago, HKY_WX said: Frontogensis band setting up along the Gulf Stream at 18z. Going to be interesting to follow... Any chance we can follow it back to Wake county? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Summey Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 looking at radar it seems this is over for FL and GA - isn't that a touch early? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Convection firing up better along the GA and SC coasts now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackWxMan Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 hour ago, ashhh_2007 said: Snow map from Southeast Weather . As in the former NC Piedmont Weather guy? Ugh, spare us. This call has been calling the storm "since MID JULY!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avid6eek Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 16 minutes ago, tramadoc said: She's where those green dots are. Here in Hampton Roads we have an NE wind off the Cheasapeake Bay/Atlantic, so dry air is not a real problem. Once you see radar echos you will see precip. Same can't be said for those further inland. Later this evening as the precip comes in the windows will turn more out of the north...still directly off the Chesapeake Bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wake4est Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Flurries in durham Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 New HRRR at hour 5 looks great, similar to the 3km nam of last night that we all enjoyed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, snowlover91 said: New HRRR at hour 5 looks great, similar to the 3km nam of last night that we all enjoyed. Yep, another 20 mile or so shift west with the low. The precip shield at hr 6 is much more expansive to the NW than it was at hr 7 on the last run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PGAWx Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, Cold Rain said: Yep, another 20 mile or so shift west with the low. The precip shield at hr 6 is much more expansive to the NW than it was at hr 7 on the last run. Would you mind posting the image? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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