wxdawg10 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 looking at the radar, is it just me or does it appear like more precip is blossoming just west of south carolina? not sure if this was modeled Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Lol @ Deep Thunder. I'll bet lots of people will be happy if that one verifies. Can't wait to see the 12z WRF-AWR-2-GEM-OMGITISN'TGOINGTOSNOWINRALEIGH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jet Stream Rider Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Impressive upper level energy traversing the GoM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackWxMan Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 People from NC radar watching Georgia today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdawg10 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Brad P just released a vid and seemed to have increased totals further west..basically splits RDU in half 2-4 inches on the east side and 1-2 inches on the west side. in his first map he had RDU getting flurries. will be interesting how this thing unfolds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 hrrr continues to dry up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FlatLander48 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 A little west of it's 6z run, but not enough to make much of a difference. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoshWeather Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, wxdawg10 said: Brad P just released a vid and seemed to have increased totals further west..basically splits RDU in half 2-4 inches on the east side and 1-2 inches on the west side. in his first map he had RDU getting flurries. will be interesting how this thing unfolds yup. he seems confident its goin to snow in this area...just doesnt think its gonna be much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
broken024 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Union county NC schools being released early Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ragtop50 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 NWS increased expectation for Fayetteville, now saying 60% chance and 1-2 inches of snow tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 0.00" qpf for rdu. oy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sctvman Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Dave Williams (local Charleston meteorologist) just RTed a Mesoscale Discussion saying there was going to be heavy freezing rain for the next few hours for the entire SC coast for the next few hours before the changeover to all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scottk Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Looking at the radar, what’s causing the precipitation to just stop about midways up the SC coast for about the last hour and a half? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmh90 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 There is obviously a lot of bias for Raleigh here because a lot of members are from there but could anyone here update me what the coast is looking like? Have expected snow totals stayed the same, increased or decreased? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Just now, scottk said: Looking at the radar, what’s causing the precipitation to just stop about midways up the SC coast? hrrr showed this nicely, precip just hits a wall and begins to pivot offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jtm12180 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 We just had a few minutes of freezing rain here at the house. We're about halfway between Myrtle Beach and Conway. 30° at the house so it's already about to go downhill here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxFreak11 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 2 minutes ago, sctvman said: Dave Williams (local Charleston meteorologist) just RTed a Mesoscale Discussion saying there was going to be heavy freezing rain for the next few hours for the entire SC coast for the next few hours before the changeover to all snow. So difficult to predict how stubborn the warm nose will be. The sooner we changeover the more snow we get. I certainly would rather have the snow than this ice we're getting now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdawg10 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 3 minutes ago, DopplerWx said: 0.00" qpf for rdu. oy. seems a bit extreme..has areas east of RDU that expect blizzard conditions with low QPF as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sctvman Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Snow starting to mix in around Summerville. Statesboro, GA is covered in snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, sctvman said: Snow starting to mix in around Summerville. Statesboro, GA is covered in snow. summerville is going to jackpot i believe. big totals coming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
scottk Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 4 minutes ago, DopplerWx said: hrrr showed this nicely, precip just hits a wall and begins to pivot offshore. Ok. I guess that “wall” is exptected to wear down at some point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 7 minutes ago, cmh90 said: There is obviously a lot of bias for Raleigh here because a lot of members are from there but could anyone here update me what the coast is looking like? Have expected snow totals stayed the same, increased or decreased? Monitoring from DC but looks like 4-8 is a safe bet for Little Washington Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Nice partly cloudy day here in Raleigh. Always good to see before a big winter storm. Looks like convection clustering along the lower SC coast, att. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmh90 Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 1 minute ago, StantonParkHoya said: Monitoring from DC but looks like 4-8 is a safe bet for Little Washington Thank you. My local news stations have been pretty quiet about this storm and kind of downplaying it and I’m trying to learn here but a lot of the more complex stuff just goes over my head. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PackWxMan Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 Will watch this continue to develop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StantonParkHoya Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 2 minutes ago, PackWxMan said: Will watch this continue to develop. Virga me thinks. Models take this into account and don't reflect it in QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted January 3, 2018 Author Share Posted January 3, 2018 20 minutes ago, cmh90 said: There is obviously a lot of bias for Raleigh here because a lot of members are from there but could anyone here update me what the coast is looking like? Have expected snow totals stayed the same, increased or decreased? I think you're in a good spot. If I were making a call for that area, I'd go with 3 to 5 inches. I do think mixing issues is what's going to keep your totals down. Good luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hrtsdsn Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 I am east of Charlotte. The Weatherbug map shows SC practically covered by snow or mix. Is the snow south of me all virga? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 6 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said: Virga me thinks. Models take this into account and don't reflect it in QPF Yeah HRRR had this feature on it's recent runs, but it doesn't actually amount to much on the ground. There's no real accumulated QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 3, 2018 Share Posted January 3, 2018 22 minutes ago, cmh90 said: There is obviously a lot of bias for Raleigh here because a lot of members are from there but could anyone here update me what the coast is looking like? Have expected snow totals stayed the same, increased or decreased? This is a decent simulation from the RGEM model. IMO you are going to fight some warm nosing there (warm air moving in aloft)...so, I'd go with some light icing (frz rain) and then transitioning to some light snow & sleet accumulations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.