mackerel_sky Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 3 minutes ago, ajr said: Precip shield isn’t moving further inland Unmm, the Vidalia GA /CAE jackpot, says otherwise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Actually not as big of a difference at 54hrs as earlier in the run suggests. Maybe it's one of those trend for the next 2-3 runs kind of a thing because of earlier changes? pretty similar at 54. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disco-lemonade Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 this speaks for itself this always always always happens, as we get closer temp profiles move nw and so does the precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tar Heel Snow Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 As usual, NAM seeming to trend warmer aloft as we come closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 1 minute ago, beanskip said: Not often you can type the following words re: a winter storm: "Nice run for Tallahassee." Where you at in Tallahassee? Definitely away from the water is the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, Poimen said: It would be better, I imagine, if we could get rid of the multiple lows and have the one closest to the coast take over. Indeed. Hr 54 nam has precip over 80% of NC composite radar Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 This is such an anomalous set up, even the NAM is having troubles!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 NAM has a huge warm nose just above the surface at Charleston. Like 5C warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Indeed. Hr 54 nam has precip over 80% of NC composite radarI think you mean SC, not NC.Sent from my Alcatel 6055U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Just now, Queencitywx said: NAM has a huge warm nose just above the surface at Charleston. Like 5C warm. Yeah this setup just doesn’t favor coastal areas IMO. I would be very excited if I’m west of 95 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Develops an 850 low over myrtle beach. Gonna be a warm run for eastern nc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Same warm nose is present at CRE at 57 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 At hour 60 RDU eastward getting wintery precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Sleeting furiously at Cold Rain’s. Never discount the Nam’s warm nose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tar Heel Snow Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Man, as the low comes by the coast, the precip just sucks back in toward the coast along with it! Raleigh bubble never fails. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poimen Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Well, that run of the NAM gets a brief period of snow all the way back to Charlotte/Winston...so there's that at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Warm nose extends all the way to Florence this run at 57 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, Queencitywx said: Same warm nose is present at CRE at 57 Any warm noses over CLT? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tar Heel Snow Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Well this whole thing just went from "it's so cold everywhere" to "rates will overcome" real fast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Looks like there is another wave that acts as a kicker and the storm gets booted ots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Yeah, interesting how the precip vanishes as the surface low proceeds further north up the coast. I would have expected it to continue to fill in as it moved north.Sent from my Alcatel 6055U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 nam has accumulating snow ONE county away here. need only the tiniest of shifts...also ratios on the back end will be impressive. 3km nam precip shield is too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 1 minute ago, Cold Rain said: Sleeting furiously at Cold Rain’s. Never discount the Nam’s warm nose. With what we've been through take it and run. Here's the snowfall map at hour 72. Of course a lot of this is ice SE of RDU. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Remember the NAM is on an island right now... I still think this setup is best for 95 East Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 1 minute ago, calculus1 said: Yeah, interesting how the precip vanishes as the surface low proceeds further north up the coast. I would have expected it to continue to fill in as it moved north. Sent from my Alcatel 6055U using Tapatalk Yeah, there should theoretically be more QPF further west this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Clown is gonna be serious eye candy in NC piedmont Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 Hour 54 showed so much promise if the secondary low tucked in off the GA coast could have been stronger instead of giving way to the primary another few hundred miles off the coast in later frames.Sent from my Alcatel 6055U using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeathermanB Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 NAM low pressure is closer/farther north this run, but i think the precipitation field is way underdone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 973mb off of North Carolina, Does anyone know the record for winter storms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lookout Posted January 1, 2018 Share Posted January 1, 2018 serious ice storm for the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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