Bob Chill Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 First returns showing up on klwx radar south of winchester. Let the hallucinations begin. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Light snow started about 10 minutes ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KingJWx Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 20/10, hoping for at least 0.1" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Just now, nj2va said: Light snow started about 10 minutes ago. I gather that you are reporting from McHenry for this event? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 1 minute ago, nj2va said: Light snow started about 10 minutes ago. Was just going to post that there is snow falling in far W Garrett on traffic cam.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: I gather that you are reporting from McHenry for this event? Yeah. Quick coating on shoveled areas already. Flakes are small but mixing with some dendrites now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Just now, nj2va said: Yeah. Quick coating on shoveled areas already. Flakes are small but mixing with some dendrites now. 00z PBZ sounding showed minimal dry air. You should get decent flakes once returns get overhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 This thing's been pretty spot on for our other fail events as in it sniffed out the fail before anyone else. This time it's a bit bullish. https://twitter.com/cody__snell/status/946940472689414144 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 17.6/11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 2 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: This thing's been pretty spot on for our other fail events as in it sniffed out the fail before anyone else. This time it's a bit bullish. https://twitter.com/cody__snell/status/946940472689414144 1-2"? With ratios applied or what? That's probably the most bullish thing I've seen for this event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 5 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: 00z PBZ sounding showed minimal dry air. You should get decent flakes once returns get overhead. Nice, thanks. Looks like a snow globe outside as the wind picks up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 25 minutes ago, PWC Split said: 21/10 in Haymarket. I like my chances for an inch of snow. The HREF says otherwise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 1 minute ago, Cobalt said: 1-2"? With ratios applied or what? That's probably the most bullish thing I've seen for this event. I'm not sure, but it's one of the few short range snow maps that I hedge towards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Returns showing up south of I64 now. Virga for sure but that's pretty far south. Reverse bust incoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormpc Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 That looks about right. Has my area shutout. Good luck to all!! 20/12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RichmondTarHeel Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: Returns showing up south of I64 now. Virga for sure but that's pretty far south. Reverse bust incoming I'll take it as a good sign? Where's that moisture coming from? Seems to be jumping the mountains, which I can't remembering seeing before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 This will be a good test of the short range models. Those of us on the edge will at least get a sense of what to perhaps trust for our next event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATreglown Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 3 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Returns showing up south of I64 now. Virga for sure but that's pretty far south. Reverse bust incoming I just saw that. Even though it's all virga, did not expect that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 the appalachians have an insatiable appetite for clippers, but maybe we'll get some table scraps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 I’m trying to will this stuff east to DC burbs and NoVA. But I’d say based on radar and trajectory it seems there may be some surprises (in a good way) tomorrow back at home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Just now, nj2va said: I’m trying to will this stuff east to DC burbs and NoVA. But I’d say based on radar and trajectory it seems there may be some surprises (in a good way) tomorrow back at home. Yea this seems a tad healtheir than modeled. Not saying this jackpots every, but this might be enough to compensate for the dry air we have overhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_WX10 Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Up in Harrisonburg seeing family. Haven't really looked at this "event" much but as it looks Harrisonburg is a little too far south for this one. Great of luck to all of y'all further north! Hope everyone gets a nice surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Went to the movies...did I miss anything spectacular? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Just now, leesburg 04 said: Went to the movies...did I miss anything spectacular? Radar hallucinations giving snow weenies hope. That's about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Radar looking juicy. Good trajectory aimed right for DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 3 minutes ago, NovaTarHeel said: I'll take it as a good sign? Where's that moisture coming from? Seems to be jumping the mountains, which I can't remembering seeing before. I'd say it's a good sign. Returns over Luray don't even look like virga but probably are. Another thing I noticed is east winds near the blue Ridge. Maybe that's what's going on. Rising air maybe? Didn't really expect to see it this early. If obs start showing some T's shortly then I'd say a possible early start is at least possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 0z GFS sucks just a bit worse than 18z lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 2 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: Went to the movies...did I miss anything spectacular? Radar looks healthy...disaster incoming...virga...over performer...shut out..cross into the light Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWC Split Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 15 minutes ago, BristowWx said: The HREF says otherwise. Fook the HREF. Radar has the proper trajectory for our area to get an inch, unless the apps take too much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Just now, PWC Split said: Fook the HREF. Radar has the proper trajectory for our area to get an inch, unless the apps take too much. That’s the spirit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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