Bob Chill Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 10 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: I'm doing my homework Just tell your parents you're headin to the "library" with some friends. And make sure to bring Visine and Altoids. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 29, 2017 Share Posted December 29, 2017 There are some pretty big differences between the short range models. RGEM/NAM's are drier than the HRRR and RAP. I think I know which pair I will be believing? I would be happy with an inch and a half. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 3 hours ago, mitchnick said: I would think there aren't a lot of year round jobs in those parts. 3 hours ago, leesburg 04 said: Lol jobs in Deep Creek? 2 hours ago, nj2va said: Unless your job is tied to tourism (lake or Wisp or rental homes) or general contracting I would think it’s hard to find jobs here. Last summer was our first summer having the house and I couldn’t believe how pleasant the temperatures were - upper 70s during the day and upper 50s at night. A few occasional days in the low 80s (lol). No, the job was in Luke. 20 miles to Oakland or the SE side of the lake. Ultimately, decided that the tenuous nature of jobs in the paper industry (as a whole) and that mill in particular was too great a risk to uproot my family.....despite my desperate longing to live in the Garrett Co. climate. It was a gut-wrenching decision. Other than the Verso mill in Luke, and Simon Pierce near Oakland, there certainly isn't much else outside of retail or tourism. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 6 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said: No, the job was in Luke. 20 miles to Oakland or the SE side of the lake. Ultimately, decided that the tenuous nature of jobs in the paper industry (as a whole) and that mill in particular was too great a risk to uproot my family.....despite my desperate longing to live in the Garrett Co. climate. It was a gut-wrenching decision. Other than the Verso mill in Luke, and Simon Pierce near Oakland, there certainly isn't much else outside of retail or tourism. You were probably aware that Verso is under bankruptcy protection. They have also been under a lot of scrutiny for polluting the river. Not sure if they have been sanctioned for that ? I haven't been there in years, but when WestVaco had the mill when I was a kid there were days you couldn't visit the town of Luke without feeling sick from the smell. Hopefully they have at least improved on that since the 70s. Given everything, I think you made the right decision. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 I will happily take 1-2” Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Kinda curious to see how the Swiss model does. Still available for free on weather.us & it would be nice to have another short-range model to glance at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 HRRR likes hours and hours of virga here. I would be pretty surprised to see 1/2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 I’d just like to wake up tomorrow morning and not be disappointed when I look out the window... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 12k NAM kinda sucks for anyone not in N MD. Up there they get an inch (so says Kuchera) and less so as you go southward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 ...and the RAP is basically a miss for D.C. Not inspiring anywhere really. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: ...and the RAP is basically a miss for D.C. Not inspiring anywhere really. Here we go....the last second negative shifts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Negnao Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Time to watch the radar and hope to get lucky. Last few runs of the high res stuff didn't look too good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 25 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: HRRR likes hours and hours of virga here. I would be pretty surprised to see 1/2". Nasty dry layer in there. Hey it'll probably be snowing like hell at the top of that tower along Rt. 50 a little past 404. Nobody will notice if you climb it. I can almost guarantee you a nice flat place at the top to relax and drink beer. You can send us some pics too. Careful with that first step on the way down though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sparky Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 If I get an inch of snow and see it blowing around afterwards in sub 20 temps it will suffice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 It seems the models always trend dryer at the very last minute. Sometimes not accurately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 14 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: I’d just like to wake up tomorrow morning and not be disappointed when I look out the window... I’d just like to wake up tomorrow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Here we go....the last second negative shiftsI already know I’m gonna wake up to nothing so I might as well hope everyone else gets screwed. According to the Reaper I’m dead so I might as well bring everyone down with me.... ...on that note the 3k is also garbage for everyone. Good night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 6 minutes ago, Negnao said: Time to watch the radar and hope to get lucky. Last few runs of the high res stuff didn't look too good. Its going to be a close call for DC to BWI, but probably should see a solid coating. I honestly have had no expectations for here since the Euro lost the nice vort tracking through southern VA a few days ago. Totally lost interest after that. Weak sauce clippers tracking north and redeveloping well off the coast are mighty dry on the south/east side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 My bar is 1 inch. So far I have only had 2 dusting this December. Would gladly take an inch and hope for more as the cold begins to relax in about a week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Based off of surface obs in eastern Ohio and far Western PA, it seems that once the dew point gets to the 11 - 13 degree range the snow starts falling. That's not terrible, but the 00z IAD sounding shows some incredibly dry air over us. We're definitely going to be fighting that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Just a disaster of a storm Sent from my SM-G930V using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Every model I can find gives my yard 0.1" of liquid. Hoping to ride the ratios to a decent covering on the ground in the a.m. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 9 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: I already know I’m gonna wake up to nothing so I might as well hope everyone else gets screwed. According to the Reaper I’m dead so I might as well bring everyone down with me.... ...on that note the 3k is also garbage for everyone. Good night. Ok. This is a free for all thread now. Good to know.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 13 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: I already know I’m gonna wake up to nothing so I might as well hope everyone else gets screwed. According to the Reaper I’m dead so I might as well bring everyone down with me.... ...on that note the 3k is also garbage for everyone. Good night. Chin up lad. No one is getting very much from this "event". The best is yet to come. It's a bit frustrating to have all this cold and minimal prospects for snow, but it looks like the general pattern going forward will become more conducive for bigger storms, with the more typical p-type issues. Always trade-offs in this region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Ok. This is a free for all thread now. Good to know....Yeah sorry. That post was garbage. Feel free to delete. Point is that things haven’t improved. IMO the issue we always forget until the last moment is dry air. Seems to be the last-second killer. I wonder how the short-range models predict the DP 24hrs out vs 6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 1 hour ago, WVclimo said: You were probably aware that Verso is under bankruptcy protection. They have also been under a lot of scrutiny for polluting the river. Not sure if they have been sanctioned for that ? I haven't been there in years, but when WestVaco had the mill when I was a kid there were days you couldn't visit the town of Luke without feeling sick from the smell. Hopefully they have at least improved on that since the 70s. Given everything, I think you made the right decision. Yep, well aware. They were one our customers at my old company. Paper mills are pretty foul places. Too bad, because there would/will be little left of that area if/when that mill shuts down. Fortunately, found another job locally that paid even more than the offer from Verso. Somehow, even managed to shorten my commute from here to Middletown. LOL. Avoided the hassle of moving, especially now that the oldest has started Kindergarten, but I'm left living in the desert. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 Chin up lad. No one is getting very much from this "event". The best is yet to come. It's a bit frustrating to have all this cold and minimal prospects for snow, but it looks like the general pattern going forward will become more conducive for bigger storms, with the more typical p-type issues. Always trade-offs in this region.Yeah, I agree with you. Better times ahead. Some of our most typical largerstorms always have ptype issues. We've got so much winter ahead of us, and there's always gonna be a bust or 2 along the way, just as there are reverse busts. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 12 degrees. DP up to 9. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 12 minutes ago, Cobalt said: Yeah, I agree with you. Better times ahead. Some of our most typical largerstorms always have ptype issues. We've got so much winter ahead of us, and there's always gonna be a bust or 2 along the way, just as there are reverse busts. . Few and far between, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWC Split Posted December 30, 2017 Share Posted December 30, 2017 21/10 in Haymarket. I like my chances for an inch of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.