Baroclinic Zone Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 Models have been showing a s/w diving out of Canada developing a low as it exits the coast. Some models are hanging back an inverted trough with the parent low over the GL. It's a delicate set up that could still go either way but I think it warrants a thread since we are now in the day 4 period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 We snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 27, 2017 Author Share Posted December 27, 2017 Can you re-post the EPS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 Some low probs for 3" in SE MA, but they drop quickly for 6"+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 I’m on the fence still here... I think this is either going to be a solid event or basically nothing... the Euro is decent...but kind of a weird look. Nothing is really screaming “good storm” at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 Ride a Euro/Canadian solution? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 I don't expect a large event, but a few inches would be nice to go along with this cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 I’d like to see the eps get a little tighter and closer today. too many whiffs still but a nice clustering for a light event is there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersComing Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 I'll take another nice little 2-4! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 It's worth mentioning that snow ratios are more complicated than just cold temps = high ratio. That temp profile aloft needs to be more isothermal with surface temps when it is a really cold air mass. Otherwise, you end up with your best lift above the DGZ, and that's no good for anyone. Now it's hard to get a sense of what the models are really showing, without Euro forecast soundings, and the GFS being a clean whiff obviously not showing any RH in the DGZ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 I will be honest, I’ve kind of had enough of the 1” or whatever clipper events. I’d like to think this could produce more than that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 10 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I will be honest, I’ve kind of had enough of the 1” or whatever clipper events. I’d like to think this could produce more than that Just collect the pennies and save up enough to spend it all on a quarter event later in season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 I’ll take what I get. All snow is good. I don’t know how many winters I have left in me so snow is to be savored. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 00z guidance suggests it may be another 48 hours before a coherent signal shows up, but when the parent shortwave isn't arriving in the Pac NW until about 30.12z... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 Extended Reggie has it too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 20 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Extended Reggie has it too What is represented with various the colors on this one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 That isn't the 12z reg. Is that an old run? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 12z GFS should be a little better than 6z..which isn't saying a whole lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 4 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said: That isn't the 12z reg. Is that an old run? I'm pretty sure that's the 00z canadian. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 http://labanimator.cmc.ec.gc.ca/wind/synoptic_e.html Old looking progs. But they do work and come out quickly. This isn't just a gfs is suppressed situation. There's a lot of disagreement on lots of non-gfs guidance too. Lots of cooks in the kitchen with fast flow. I'm thinking a light event is most likely. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 Well a little snow for the islands, but not enough change on the GFS yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 27, 2017 Author Share Posted December 27, 2017 GGEM lost the inv trough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 Just now, Baroclinic Zone said: GGEM lost the inv trough Shocker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 Canadian is pretty flat too. Maybe an inch or two on the south coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 It will be fun watching the snow sublimate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 27, 2017 Author Share Posted December 27, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: It will be fun watching the snow sublimate. I got no snow to sublimate now so no loss here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It will be fun watching the snow sublimate. If it fails, it fails...move onto to 1/4, which I think is the last good threat before we break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 27, 2017 Author Share Posted December 27, 2017 GGEM blows up the follow-up wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted December 27, 2017 Share Posted December 27, 2017 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: If it fails, it fails...move onto to 1/4, which I think is the last good threat before we break. break the cold? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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