Bob Chill Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: That's how I feel about it right now. Bummed about late week but still hopeful about the pattern in general. Several threats coming. Active enough. We should luck into something. You know what would boost spirits exponentially? Picking up 1" on wed. Euro tried to do it today. We've done well with sneaky no-nothings becoming a little sumpin sump'n. That's some teknal analamasis right der Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wkd Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Need to have Anthony stop in occasionally to add some optimism. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 We gotta remember what happened, especially with the GFS, for the storm tonight/tomorrow. GFS had the storm very weak and off the coast. Could be the same here as well, but with the Euro in that boat too, it makes me lose a tad bit of confidence. Still 5 days out, which is good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Give it a couple of days, the models will catch on and bring the storm back, We'll have good consensus by Tue night. The bar is open, its happy hour because its Xmas eve, and we are gonna celebrate this right thru the next 2-3 weeks. Don't worry, be happy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 1 minute ago, Jebman said: Give it a couple of days, the models will catch on and bring the storm back, We'll have good consensus by Wed night. The bar is open, its happy hour because its Xmas eve, and we are gonna celebrate this right thru the next 2-3 weeks. Don't worry, be happy It's obviously setting up to be a Christmas gift. Models bring the storm back by tomorrow Christmas morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 16 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: You know what would boost spirits exponentially? Picking up 1" on wed. Euro tried to do it today. We've done well with sneaky no-nothings becoming a little sumpin sump'n. That's some teknal analamasis right der Oh so that's how you spell that? Lol And while the sneaky events are nice little surprises...it'll take more than an inch to lift the snow spirits, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Accuweather graphic is hopeful, to say the least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Late weak deal obviously got worse but miller A signal Jan 3-6th. Under 15 days! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 2 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: Late weak deal obviously got worse but miller A signal Jan 3-6th. Under 15 days! Most of our biggest events had a small system before them (Jan 22-24 with that Jan 21st clipper, or Feb 5-6 with the Feb 3rd wet snowfall), so maybe this is the case, and we get a couple inches of powdery snow on Friday to lay the groundwork Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Just now, Cobalt said: Most of our biggest events had a small system before them (Jan 22-24 with that Jan 21st clipper, or Feb 5-6 with the Feb 3rd wet snowfall), so maybe this is the case, and we get a couple inches of powdery snow in Friday to lay the groundwork Yes, that is often the case. I would mention a few others but I'm guessing you're a little to young to remember. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AfewUniversesBelowNormal Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Cool, models are right where we want them at the day 5-6 range. The cold may be overdone, so that would move everything north. I'd be interested in seeing what the pattern change is, 5/6 days have been +9 or greater. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Just now, AfewUniversesBelowNormal said: Cool, models are right where we want them at the day 5-6 range. The cold may be overdone, so that would move everything north. I'd be interested in seeing what the pattern change is, 5/6 days have been +9 or greater. For once, I agree with you. Cold is typically overdone, but I don't agree with you that the cold ends and leads to historic warmth (+30 departures) like you said. This winter has proven to be much different compared to the past 2 winters as of now. More abundant cold. This means that we should be able to nickel and dime our way to climo (or maybe launch our way to climo with the Miller A Jan 3-6th?). Cold should come and go, and it looks like we even have a chance of January being colder than average, along with December. If I were to guess, Feb will be +1-2 departure for the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Days like today makes me wish there was a Santa Claus......oops sorry Cobalt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 18z coming in a little less suppressed with heights in the east @hr72 and shortwave slightly slower. This run marks the slow tick N with the southern wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Days like today makes me wish there was a Santa Claus......oops sorry Cobalt Pretty sure I stopped believing in Santa when I found out it could be 70 on Christmas . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 7 minutes ago, Cobalt said: Pretty sure I stopped believing in Santa when I found out it could be 70 on Christmas . BUT—Hanukkah Harry is real. So don’t even... GFS looking better? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Time to start rooting for the big dig in the NS. Heh. Not an easy thing to do here.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Just now, Bob Chill said: Time to start rooting for the big dig in the NS. Heh. Not an easy thing to do here.... Gfs going hulk mode with precip at 105 man dang! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Models will catch on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Happy hour GFS delivers. Can't post pics since I'm at my grandparents house, but take my word for it . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 3 minutes ago, Buddy1987 said: Gfs going hulk mode with precip at 105 man dang! No man's land in these parts. Light event and better than nothing but it's a classic too far north and too far south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 5 minutes ago, Cobalt said: Happy hour GFS delivers. Can't post pics since I'm at my grandparents house, but take my word for it . Your grandparents don’t like weather porn? ETA: I mean sort of rated PG kissing a la 16 Candles. It’s trending back though. LOLz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Right or wrong you could see the height pattern setting up to bring the southern wave further north. Still not a great run but compared to 12z I should be doing jumping jacks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 GFS applied the tourniquet for happy hour on xmas eve... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Your grandparents don’t like weather porn?No, I'm on mobile. Just realized I can post screenshots too, so I'll post it soon . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Negnao Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 It's a positive trend for sure. Don't understand the hyperbolic excitement as if it delivered a digital blizzard though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buddy1987 Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: No man's land in these parts. Light event and better than nothing but it's a classic too far north and too far south Trends.. that is all! Give it Time. WPC sees something apparently as well in their pm discussion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 3 minutes ago, poolz1 said: GFS applied the tourniquet for happy hour on xmas eve... The damage has been done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 Just now, Buddy1987 said: Trends.. that is all! Give it Time. WPC sees something apparently as well in their pm discussion. I don't see a lot of upside unless we get a flush hit from the southern wave. It's too easy to see how it might happen though....the MA gets skipped between streams. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted December 24, 2017 Share Posted December 24, 2017 2 minutes ago, Cobalt said: No, I'm on mobile. Just realized I can post screenshots too, so I'll post it soon Thanks, but we can all see what we need on TT. Take a break tonight and enjoy time with your family. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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